Prospect Predictions for 2010 – Part II

Before the minor league season gets underway, InsidePitchMagazine.com offers this last look at preseason predictions. In Part Two, we offer a look at the superlatives including who will be the first to debut at the big league level, who will back from injury, who will have the big bounce-back season, and more.

The Superlatives

First Player to be Called Up to the Major Leagues: Ike Davis - Ruben Tejada and Jenrry Mejia would have been two of the top choices to fit the bill in this category. However, they are out of the running, and for good reason, after making the Opening Day roster. Fernando Martinez and Josh Thole made their big league debuts last season and are both only misstep by a member of the 25-man roster from getting a call up. The goal of this category is to pick the prospect that will make his big league debut.

Since Tejada, Mejia, Thole and Martinez have all suited up in New York once before, Davis is the obvious choice. It may only take one slow month from Mike Jacobs and/or Daniel Murphy combined with one strong month from Davis to bring the first baseman to New York. It's an easy choice and is a prediction without much risk, but it does make the most sense.

Comeback from Injury: Brant Rustich - There are not too many prospects coming back from significant injury, but Rustich still fights his way back from the very detailed arm injury which has plagued him for over a year. Rustich is not expected to start the season on time, but should be back by May. If Rustich can prove he is healthy and pitch effectively upon his return, there will be little to keep him in St. Lucie. As long as he healthy, Rustich should pitch in Binghamton and possibly higher. There are high hopes for Rustich, but nothing can be fulfilled until he pitches pain-free.

Best Bounce-Back Season: Wilmer Flores – It's not that Flores did anything to disappoint last season. He was a teenager playing at a level well ahead of his age curve. Nonetheless, Flores' 2009 season came with tough stretches and inconsistencies. That should change this season as a return to Savannah will provide Flores the comfort to have a very productive season. There is no harm in having him repeating the South Atlantic League and expectations are that he will have a highly productive if not breakout year.

International Signing to Move Up the Ranks: Juan Urbina – Like last season, this is an easy pick in that Urbina's name dominated the Mets international free agent class. It remains to be seen where Urbina will begin his career, but the best bet is that he remains in the Dominican Complex and pitches in the DSL with a possible late move to the Gulf Coast League to get him some more developed competition. Urbina was left off last fall's Top 50 so not to jump the gun with only limited information out there about him. But that will change this upcoming season. By the time Extended Spring Training and the rookie league season are over, Urbina should be planted well inside the top 20.

Current Prospect to Crack the Top Ten: Cesar Puello – There are a number solid bets to fill this categories. A number of prospects on the fringe of the Top 10 will be helped simply by the graduation of those ahead of him, including Jeurys Familia and Kyle Allen. Therefore, let's dip a little further down the list and reach for the high-upside outfielder. Puello will be off to Savannah this season where the long-season schedule will provide him the opportunity to emerge on more prospect radars. Reports of added weight and strength should help him maintain over the long season and put together a year worthy of him entering the top ten.

Breakout Player: Kyle Allen – Allen is a safe bet for the previous category, but a move to the Florida State League (and possibly beyond ) in 2010 should allow Allen to emerge as one of the best pitching prospects in the organization. He already has the 91-93 MPH fastball and a near plus changeup which should help him find his way early in the Florida State League. If all goes well, Allen could be off to Binghamton by mid-June with a chance to make an even larger impression in 2010.

Current Non-Top 50 to Break Into the Top 50 Next Season: Nelfi Zapata – Zapata is a young catcher selected in the 19th round of last year's draft. He is still raw defensively, but his plus power upside and strong arm behind the plate make him a very likely candidate to get into the Top 50 next season. Zapata will likely repeat the rookie ball level, but could maybe sneak onto the Brooklyn roster and gain more recognition.

Top Prospect for 2009: This is perhaps the most debatable category of all the predictions and that's because Fernando Martinez, Jenrry Mejia, and Josh Thole will all likely log enough big league time to formally graduate. The best bet is Ike Davis, but again that could change depending on what happens at first base. Conservative prediction is Ike Davis. Otherwise look for Wilmer Flores or a resurgent Brad Holt to stake his claim as the organization's top prospect.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nThe Superlatives
\r\n
\r\nFirst Player to be Called Up to the Major Leagues: Ike Davis - Ruben Tejada and Jenrry Mejia would have been two of the top choices to fit the bill in this category. However, they are out of the running, and for good reason, after making the Opening Day roster. Fernando Martinez and Josh Thole made their big league debuts last season and are both only misstep by a member of the 25-man roster from getting a call up. The goal of this category is to pick the prospect that will make his big league debut.
\r\n
\r\nSince Tejada, Mejia, Thole and Martinez have all suited up in New York once before, Davis is the obvious choice. It may only take one slow month from Mike Jacobs and/or Daniel Murphy combined with one strong month from Davis to bring the first baseman to New York. It's an easy choice and is a prediction without much risk, but it does make the most sense.
\r\n
\r\nComeback from Injury: Brant Rustich - There are not too many prospects coming back from significant injury, but Rustich still fights his way back from the very detailed arm injury which has plagued him for over a year. Rustich is not expected to start the season on time, but should be back by May. If Rustich can prove he is healthy and pitch effectively upon his return, there will be little to keep him in St. Lucie. As long as he healthy, Rustich should pitch in Binghamton and possibly higher. There are high hopes for Rustich, but nothing can be fulfilled until he pitches pain-free.
\r\n
\r\nBest Bounce-Back Season: Wilmer Flores – It's not that Flores did anything to disappoint last season. He was a teenager playing at a level well ahead of his age curve. Nonetheless, Flores' 2009 season came with tough stretches and inconsistencies. That should change this season as a return to Savannah will provide Flores the comfort to have a very productive season. There is no harm in having him repeating the South Atlantic League and expectations are that he will have a highly productive if not breakout year.
\r\n
\r\nInternational Signing to Move Up the Ranks: Juan Urbina – Like last season, this is an easy pick in that Urbina's name dominated the Mets international free agent class. It remains to be seen where Urbina will begin his career, but the best bet is that he remains in the Dominican Complex and pitches in the DSL with a possible late move to the Gulf Coast League to get him some more developed competition. Urbina was left off last fall's Top 50 so not to jump the gun with only limited information out there about him. But that will change this upcoming season. By the time Extended Spring Training and the rookie league season are over, Urbina should be planted well inside the top 20.
\r\n
\r\nCurrent Prospect to Crack the Top Ten: Cesar Puello – There are a number solid bets to fill this categories. A number of prospects on the fringe of the Top 10 will be helped simply by the graduation of those ahead of him, including Jeurys Familia and Kyle Allen. Therefore, let's dip a little further down the list and reach for the high-upside outfielder. Puello will be off to Savannah this season where the long-season schedule will provide him the opportunity to emerge on more prospect radars. Reports of added weight and strength should help him maintain over the long season and put together a year worthy of him entering the top ten.
\r\n
\r\nBreakout Player: Kyle Allen – Allen is a safe bet for the previous category, but a move to the Florida State League (and possibly beyond ) in 2010 should allow Allen to emerge as one of the best pitching prospects in the organization. He already has the 91-93 MPH fastball and a near plus changeup which should help him find his way early in the Florida State League. If all goes well, Allen could be off to Binghamton by mid-June with a chance to make an even larger impression in 2010.
\r\n
\r\nCurrent Non-Top 50 to Break Into the Top 50 Next Season: Nelfi Zapata – Zapata is a young catcher selected in the 19th round of last year's draft. He is still raw defensively, but his plus power upside and strong arm behind the plate make him a very likely candidate to get into the Top 50 next season. Zapata will likely repeat the rookie ball level, but could maybe sneak onto the Brooklyn roster and gain more recognition.
\r\n
\r\nTop Prospect for 2009: This is perhaps the most debatable category of all the predictions and that's because Fernando Martinez, Jenrry Mejia, and Josh Thole will all likely log enough big league time to formally graduate. The best bet is Ike Davis, but again that could change depending on what happens at first base. Conservative prediction is Ike Davis. Otherwise look for Wilmer Flores or a resurgent Brad Holt to stake his claim as the organization's top prospect.
\r\n
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