MMLN - Midseason Top 50 Review Part I

The second half of the minor league season is officially underway, so now is as good of a time as any to look back at InsidePitchMagazine.com's Top 50 Prospects List from last fall. Does our list continue to hold water? Did some guys turn out to be rated too high or too low? Looking inside is the only way you'll find out.

50. James Fuller (SAV) - 7-3, 2.06 ERA, 17 GS, 96.1 IP, 89 K, 28 BB, 8.31 K/9, .229 OBA

Fuller slid into the Savannah rotation where he has enjoyed a very good year for the Sand Gnats. However for a third-year pitcher who recently turned 23 success was expected at that level. Fuller's fastball still ranges in the high-80s and tops out at 91. His changeup remains a very reliable pitch and one he has used more as the season went on, leaving his breaking ball to remain rather unrefined.

It appears as if Fuller will remain in Savannah for the length of the season. A left-hander reaching 91 MPH may still get his chance at making it, but Fuller's ceiling remains low as a lefty specialist.

STOCK: Down. His repertoire has not developed much and there is not enough differentiation year over year.

49. Roy Merritt (BNG/BUF) - 2-5, 5.34 ERA, 43 G, 59 IP, 41 K, 19 BB, 6.25 K/9, .266 OBA

Merritt's projection was limited before the season and that hasn't changed this year. Merritt's fastball still tops out at 88 MPH and his slider is what it is-a frisbee like break which is effective against lefties but can be hittable versus righties. He doesn't struggle much with command, but he relies on deception with his sidearm movement. However, that deception is mitigated by lack of fastball velocity.

STOCK: Steady. There isn't much room for Merritt to develop. He's a pitcher who will likely hang on because he's got some uniqueness about him. If he ever finds it he at least has a shot at become a lefty specialist for a brief stretches at a time.

48. Chris Schwinden (SLU/BNG) - 7-5, 3.81 ERA, 18 G, 11 GS, 89.2 IP, 65 K, 15 BB, 6.5 K/9, .287 OBA

Schwinden was one of the pleasant surprises of the first six weeks in St. Lucie. He got off to a 3-0 start with a 1.83 ERA in 34.1 innings in High-A with an impressive 1.66 GB/FB ratio and 23 strikeouts and only five walks. That prompted the organization to test him in Double-A. There, Schwinden has struggled despite sprinkling in a few sharp outings. He is 4-5 with a 5.04 ERA for the B-Mets yet his 42/10 K/BB ratio in 55.1 innings is in step with his trends.

Schwinden's fastball velocity remains 90-91, but he has a better feel for all four of pitches which led to his early success. Schwinden is a notorious strike-thrower with some of the best command in the system, but is still up against the learning curve in Double-A.

STOCK: Steady. Schwinden is a no frills pitcher who relies on command and trusts in stuff to beat hitters. That's what organizational coaches like about him and why he remains in the rotation despite the turnover in Binghamton. A strong pitching I.Q. has coaches hoping that one day it will all come together for him.

47. Dylan Owen (BNG/BUF) - 6-5, 4.58 ERA, 22 G, 13 GS, 88.1 IP, 75 K, 34 BB, 7.6 K/9, .249 OBA

Owen opened the season with a 2-1 record and 2.81 ERA in the first two months in Double-A prompting a move up to Buffalo. Owen was roughed up for a 6.17 ERA in 42.1 innings in Triple-A for a 3-4 record before returning to the B-Mets where he has since pitched in relief. Owen appears to have figured out the Double-A level where he is 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA and a .189 OBA in 46 innings.

Owen's game has not changed much year over year. He still relies on his breaking pitches to keep hitters off his fastball. The good news is that he has begun to trust his fastball more this season. The bad news is that none of his pitches are that overpowering.

STOCK: Steady. Owen showed he is not yet ready for Triple-A, but has shown enough to become a steady organizational guy. Perhaps there's a slight chance he gets his cup of coffee as a long man, but Owen should get his chances to hang on at the upper levels of the system.

46. Chase Greene (KNG) - .286 (4-for-14), 2 RBI, 2 2B, 3 R, BB, .333 OBP

Predictably Greene began the season in the Extended Spring Training before going up to Kingsport. Unfortunately, the second-year outfielder appeared in just four games before going down with an injury. Greene's projection hasn't changed. He is a slap/gap hitter who utilizes his speed and offers very good range in the outfield.

STOCK: Steady. Greene had a good camp season, but cannot go up or down as of now due to injury.

45. Alonzo Harris (SAV) - .231, 4 HR, 38 RBI, 35 R, 13 2B, 13 SB, .271 OBP

The knock on Harris last fall was that he was a free swinger. That has not changed much this season as he as struck out 69 times in 303 at-bats and has trouble consistently hitting his way on base. Harris needs to show he can shorten up, make adjustments and adapt to more of a contact approach. Harris is serviceable as a second baseman, but a shift to the outfield to take advantage of his speed cannot be ruled out for the future.

STOCK: Down. Harris' speed is a great asset and at 21 years old he has time to figure it out, but his 2010 season is a disappointment to some and was expected to others. I'm in the latter in this regard.

44. Jordany Valdespin (SLU) - .297, 5 HR, 28 RBI, 35 R, 11 SB, .333 OBP

Valdespin is having a very solid season St. Lucie, showing some good qualities with the bat including a good contact stroke and some deceptive power. He does not strikeout a lot yet walks even less (31/7 K/BB) which speaks to his ability to put the bat on the ball. However, greater plate awareness and some added patience would make him a much more capable hitter not just with his on-base percentage but as a whole. Defensively, Valdespin has logged some time at shortstop which to me is a value move. Valdespin is a second baseman and not a terribly impressive one at that.

STOCK: Up. His stock is up but Valdespin better come into 2011 ready to hit and make a serious move. He will be 23 this offseason and does not fit the mold of a utility infielder and could be really exposed at Double-A with his lack of plate discipline. His stock is up...for now.

43. Eduardo Aldama (GCL/KNG) - 1-1, 6.00 ERA, 6 G, 1 GS, 9.0 IP, 8 K, 4 BB

Aldama was sidetracked by a shoulder injury this offseason which forced him out of all of Spring Training and delayed his started to Extended Spring Training. Aldama made three rehab appearances in the Gulf Coast League before turning to Kingsport.

The concern with Aldama last fall still exists today. At his list 6-foot-1 and 175 pound frame (the latter which is generous), Aldama unsurprisingly ran into shoulder issues. He is at times a max effort pitcher with a hitch in his delivery which may have contributed to his injury. Regardless, Aldama is a thinly framed pitcher who will have to be followed to see if the injury reappears.

STOCK: Steady. Aldama's combination of a low-90s fastball with a above-average changeup makes him an interesting commodity, but there isn't yet enough to be too excited over. His ranking last fall spoke to that and the injury just confirms he's best ranked at this position until he proves otherwise.

42. Brandon Moore (SAV/SLU) - 5-5, 2.32 ERA, 16 GS, 104.2 IP, 122 K, 10.5 K/9, 20 BB, .217 OBA

Moore has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the organization this season. He began the year with a 3-4 start with a 2.49 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 79.2 innings Savannah before translating that success to St. Lucie. There he is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 24 strikeouts in four starts.

Moore's 89-92 MPH fastball velocity isn't overwhelming, but he has very good pitchability with his curveball, changeup and big slider. It's one step at a time for Moore who will not fly up the system. He had a very impressive start in Savannah and it is so far so good for him St. Lucie. The best prediction regarding Moore likely will not be made until he reaches Binghamton, but so far he is exceeding expectations.

STOCK: Up. Moore does not possess front line stuff, but the amount of strikeouts are a good sign despite the level. Moore has enough movement to miss bats and that should at least carry him for a little while longer.

41. Nick Santomauro (SAV) - .173, 9 RBI, 18 R, 8 2B, 2 SB, 11 BB

Santomauro missed the start of the season due to an elbow injury, but has struggled mightily since he returned to the lineup. Despite his .173 average, Santomauro remains in the everyday lineup but has been a disappointment. Santomauro, 22, turned pro with comparatively limited experience coming out of the Ivy League. Nevertheless, Santomauro has more pop and better contact skills than his stats let on.

STOCK: Down. There's no way around it. Santomauro has better skills, including solid defense in left field but he is not playing to his potential at the moment. There isn't news that the elbow continues to bother him, but this entire season may be a mulligan given his injury. Even if that's the case, it does not bode well for him.


Amazin Clubhouse Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\n50. James Fuller (SAV) - 7-3, 2.06 ERA, 17 GS, 96.1 IP, 89 K, 28 BB, 8.31 K/9, .229 OBA
\r\n
\u000bFuller slid into the Savannah rotation where he has enjoyed a very good year for the Sand Gnats. However for a third-year pitcher who recently turned 23 success was expected at that level. Fuller's fastball still ranges in the high-80s and tops out at 91. His changeup remains a very reliable pitch and one he has used more as the season went on, leaving his breaking ball to remain rather unrefined.
\u000b\r\n
\r\n\u000bIt appears as if Fuller will remain in Savannah for the length of the season. A left-hander reaching 91 MPH may still get his chance at making it, but Fuller's ceiling remains low as a lefty specialist.
\u000b\r\n
\u000b\r\nSTOCK: Down. His repertoire has not developed much and there is not enough differentiation year over year.
\u000b\r\n
\r\n49. Roy Merritt (BNG/BUF) - 2-5, 5.34 ERA, 43 G, 59 IP, 41 K, 19 BB, 6.25 K/9, .266 OBA
\r\n
\r\nMerritt's projection was limited before the season and that hasn't changed this year. Merritt's fastball still tops out at 88 MPH and his slider is what it is-a frisbee like break which is effective against lefties but can be hittable versus righties. He doesn't struggle much with command, but he relies on deception with his sidearm movement. However, that deception is mitigated by lack of fastball velocity.
\r\n
\u000bSTOCK: Steady. There isn't much room for Merritt to develop. He's a pitcher who will likely hang on because he's got some uniqueness about him. If he ever finds it he at least has a shot at become a lefty specialist for a brief stretches at a time.
\u000b
\u000b48. Chris Schwinden (SLU/BNG) - 7-5, 3.81 ERA, 18 G, 11 GS, 89.2 IP, 65 K, 15 BB, 6.5 K/9, .287 OBA
\u000b
\u000bSchwinden was one of the pleasant surprises of the first six weeks in St. Lucie. He got off to a 3-0 start with a 1.83 ERA in 34.1 innings in High-A with an impressive 1.66 GB/FB ratio and 23 strikeouts and only five walks. That prompted the organization to test him in Double-A. There, Schwinden has struggled despite sprinkling in a few sharp outings. He is 4-5 with a 5.04 ERA for the B-Mets yet his 42/10 K/BB ratio in 55.1 innings is in step with his trends.
\u000b
\u000bSchwinden's fastball velocity remains 90-91, but he has a better feel for all four of pitches which led to his early success. Schwinden is a notorious strike-thrower with some of the best command in the system, but is still up against the learning curve in Double-A.
\u000b
\u000bSTOCK: Steady. Schwinden is a no frills pitcher who relies on command and trusts in stuff to beat hitters. That's what organizational coaches like about him and why he remains in the rotation despite the turnover in Binghamton. A strong pitching I.Q. has coaches hoping that one day it will all come together for him.
\u000b
\u000b47. Dylan Owen (BNG/BUF) - 6-5, 4.58 ERA, 22 G, 13 GS, 88.1 IP, 75 K, 34 BB, 7.6 K/9, .249 OBA
\u000b
\u000bOwen opened the season with a 2-1 record and 2.81 ERA in the first two months in Double-A prompting a move up to Buffalo. Owen was roughed up for a 6.17 ERA in 42.1 innings in Triple-A for a 3-4 record before returning to the B-Mets where he has since pitched in relief. Owen appears to have figured out the Double-A level where he is 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA and a .189 OBA in 46 innings.
\u000b
\u000bOwen's game has not changed much year over year. He still relies on his breaking pitches to keep hitters off his fastball. The good news is that he has begun to trust his fastball more this season. The bad news is that none of his pitches are that overpowering.
\u000b
\u000bSTOCK: Steady. Owen showed he is not yet ready for Triple-A, but has shown enough to become a steady organizational guy. Perhaps there's a slight chance he gets his cup of coffee as a long man, but Owen should get his chances to hang on at the upper levels of the system.
\u000b
\u000b46. Chase Greene (KNG) - .286 (4-for-14), 2 RBI, 2 2B, 3 R, BB, .333 OBP
\u000b
\u000bPredictably Greene began the season in the Extended Spring Training before going up to Kingsport. Unfortunately, the second-year outfielder appeared in just four games before going down with an injury. Greene's projection hasn't changed. He is a slap/gap hitter who utilizes his speed and offers very good range in the outfield.
\u000b
\u000bSTOCK: Steady. Greene had a good camp season, but cannot go up or down as of now due to injury.
\u000b
\u000b45. Alonzo Harris (SAV) - .231, 4 HR, 38 RBI, 35 R, 13 2B, 13 SB, .271 OBP
\u000b
\u000bThe knock on Harris last fall was that he was a free swinger. That has not changed much this season as he as struck out 69 times in 303 at-bats and has trouble consistently hitting his way on base. Harris needs to show he can shorten up, make adjustments and adapt to more of a contact approach. Harris is serviceable as a second baseman, but a shift to the outfield to take advantage of his speed cannot be ruled out for the future.
\r\n
\r\nSTOCK: Down. Harris' speed is a great asset and at 21 years old he has time to figure it out, but his 2010 season is a disappointment to some and was expected to others. I'm in the latter in this regard.
\u000b
\u000b44. Jordany Valdespin (SLU) - .297, 5 HR, 28 RBI, 35 R, 11 SB, .333 OBP
\u000b
\u000bValdespin is having a very solid season St. Lucie, showing some good qualities with the bat including a good contact stroke and some deceptive power. He does not strikeout a lot yet walks even less (31/7 K/BB) which speaks to his ability to put the bat on the ball. However, greater plate awareness and some added patience would make him a much more capable hitter not just with his on-base percentage but as a whole. Defensively, Valdespin has logged some time at shortstop which to me is a value move. Valdespin is a second baseman and not a terribly impressive one at that.
\u000b
\u000bSTOCK: Up. His stock is up but Valdespin better come into 2011 ready to hit and make a serious move. He will be 23 this offseason and does not fit the mold of a utility infielder and could be really exposed at Double-A with his lack of plate discipline. His stock is up...for now.
\u000b
\u000b43. Eduardo Aldama (GCL/KNG) - 1-1, 6.00 ERA, 6 G, 1 GS, 9.0 IP, 8 K, 4 BB
\u000b
\u000bAldama was sidetracked by a shoulder injury this offseason which forced him out of all of Spring Training and delayed his started to Extended Spring Training. Aldama made three rehab appearances in the Gulf Coast League before turning to Kingsport.
\u000b
\u000bThe concern with Aldama last fall still exists today. At his list 6-foot-1 and 175 pound frame (the latter which is generous), Aldama unsurprisingly ran into shoulder issues. He is at times a max effort pitcher with a hitch in his delivery which may have contributed to his injury. Regardless, Aldama is a thinly framed pitcher who will have to be followed to see if the injury reappears.
\u000b
\u000bSTOCK: Steady. Aldama's combination of a low-90s fastball with a above-average changeup makes him an interesting commodity, but there isn't yet enough to be too excited over. His ranking last fall spoke to that and the injury just confirms he's best ranked at this position until he proves otherwise.
\u000b
\u000b42. Brandon Moore (SAV/SLU) - 5-5, 2.32 ERA, 16 GS, 104.2 IP, 122 K, 10.5 K/9, 20 BB, .217 OBA
\u000b
\u000bMoore has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the organization this season. He began the year with a 3-4 start with a 2.49 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 79.2 innings Savannah before translating that success to St. Lucie. There he is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 24 strikeouts in four starts.
\u000b
\u000bMoore's 89-92 MPH fastball velocity isn't overwhelming, but he has very good pitchability with his curveball, changeup and big slider. It's one step at a time for Moore who will not fly up the system. He had a very impressive start in Savannah and it is so far so good for him St. Lucie. The best prediction regarding Moore likely will not be made until he reaches Binghamton, but so far he is exceeding expectations.
\u000b
\u000bSTOCK: Up. Moore does not possess front line stuff, but the amount of strikeouts are a good sign despite the level. Moore has enough movement to miss bats and that should at least carry him for a little while longer.
\u000b
\u000b41. Nick Santomauro (SAV) - .173, 9 RBI, 18 R, 8 2B, 2 SB, 11 BB
\u000b
\u000bSantomauro missed the start of the season due to an elbow injury, but has struggled mightily since he returned to the lineup. Despite his .173 average, Santomauro remains in the everyday lineup but has been a disappointment. Santomauro, 22, turned pro with comparatively limited experience coming out of the Ivy League. Nevertheless, Santomauro has more pop and better contact skills than his stats let on.
\u000b
\u000bSTOCK: Down. There's no way around it. Santomauro has better skills, including solid defense in left field but he is not playing to his potential at the moment. There isn't news that the elbow continues to bother him, but this entire season may be a mulligan given his injury. Even if that's the case, it does not bode well for him.
\u000b
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