Re: Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres (June 6 - 8)
FENN68 wrote: Nice comeback for both Cashner and the team! Also, give credit to the team not just folding after Vincent blew the lead and after some bad games the past few days … looks like a group that are just not quitters and that is good for the long haul.FENN, I'm usually terminally optimistic as you & Pads fans almost have to be, but what I see is:
My positive observation for the day … and why we will not see any breaking up of the club in the near term:
1. The Padres are still only 4 games out of the wild card slot with just under 4 months to go … one really good hot streak or think of last year's final months … and there is a chance;
2. Can't go further unless you get in the playoffs … so just getting is a decent objective for this team given SF is blowing away everyone with the best record in baseball …. making the playoffs would be a major plus for the ownership (even if artistically not good);
3. Considering my earlier post highlighting the 8 of 10 Padre hitters performing way below their 3-year histories … a move towards the norm of just some of them may get the Padres back winning …. gaining ground …. again there is a chance.
May not look pretty …. but winning is not out of the question …. yet. The Padres will not throw in the towel if there is a chance.
Where are my playoff tickets
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Our Ace pitcher pitches brilliant game, at home, against .500ish team with a no-name pitcher....
.... and it takes a 2 out 9th inning homer to tie, and 11 innings to win.
In other words, our best is barely good enough.
I'm guessing Pads have had 5? 6? resounding wins all year. HAVE played a lot of close games to pitching staff's credit, but have probably 2-3 times the number of resounding losses. We don't have an outstanding position player at any single position, and obviously aren't really a team that makes up for that by scratching & clawing or whatever....
- BULLPEN: Excellent. Top 5-6, but overworked. Depth is OK at best.
- SP 1: Good. Cashner clearly has #1 stuff & Ace potential, still a little inconsistent & injury history looms
- SP 2: Good. Kennedy has really turned it around for the better
- SP 3: OK. Ross clearly has stuff to be good #3+ pitcher, but inconsistent; trouble getting through 5th/6th
- SP 4: Atrocious. Stults is not good enough to be a #5, should be a long man at best, but can't due to SP Actual depth below....
- SP 5: Atrocious (OK). Erlin was really pitching well, looking like a good #4 before DL. Replacements have been generally bad due to....
- SP Potential Depth: Outstanding! Wisler, Burch Smith, Casey Kelly, Joe Wieland, Keyvious Sampson, Juan Oramas, Jesse Hahn, Despaigne... what could go wrong?
- SP Actual Depth: Atrocious. Injury & underperfomance everywhere have led to Billy Buckner! IMO seriously they should have optioned Quack & kept Jason Lane for the upcoming #5 spot. NO good options I can see, and whoever it is has to go every 5th day... no more schedule breaks. This spot behind Stults for a few weeks could get disastrously ugly. Not 2 long guys in pen anymore either.
- C: OK offense / Good "defense". 1 C of 3 (now 2) has been hot hitting at a time. But overall position a team strength even with Grandal's slump
- 1B: Way below average: Alonso coming around, but his best still below average offensively
- 2B: Atrocious.
- SS: Average. Cabrera maddening with inability to BB & use his best tool; speed.
- 3B: Atrocious.
- LF: Good (OK): Quentin / Smith = Likely above avg production even for LF
- CF: Very Good: Maybin one of the few bright spots so far
- RF: Below Average: Usually above avg production of last few yrs via "Venorfia" platoon has dropped with Venable's poor prodcution.
- BENCH: OK: Decent production despite awkward configuration with 3 C's & probably bad choice of Nady & Medica over Blanks initially
- DEFENSE: OK. Quentin bringing back Klesko memories in LF. Overall not as good as past yrs.
- TEAM SPEED: Below Average. Should be Way above average. ECab beginning to roll, but not as impactful as could be due to low OBP. Denorfia & Alonso(!) chipping in, but getting nothing from Maybin (no run orders due to shoulder?) & Venable. Pads really have to be a team that runs... and they're not.
Summary: Better than Average: Bullpen, Top 3 SP, CF, LF (offense only)
Average: (Erlin), C, SS, Bench, Defense
Below Average - Atrocious: SP 4, current SP 5 / actual SP depth, 1B, 2B, 3B, RF
Ironically, we are composed to succeed as a playoff team with good top 3 SP & pen.
But reality of atrociously bad offense & SP 4 & 5 for forseeable future (June) IMO makes playoffs a pipe dream.
Everybody's favorite whipping boy Maybin right now looks like the only above average player at his position.
He's probably been told not to run (steal bases) due to shoulder... which is his fault.