Final Draft Analysis

Much coverage has been given to the MLB draft since last month, but none of the players selected will contribute to an organization's success before they sign to a contract. The Reds lost a few ambitious picks to college options and ultimately reached deals with twenty new prospects.

Even though the MLB draft was held early last month, now teams have a clearer idea on the full impact it will have on their organizations. Player selection is obviously important, but none selected will impact a team before they sign a contract. Now that the signing deadline is past everyone knows exactly what adjustments need to be made for the new additions.

The Reds came to agreement with 20 of their 41 selections including everyone in their first thirteen rounds plus their competitive balance pick. UCLA pitcher Zach Weiss was the last to sign and he's already debuted in the Arizona League. He and Mississippi State pitcher Evan Mitchell had signings postponed due to their participation in the College World Series.

Only four players drafted after the seventeenth round signed and they all had completed a senior season and did not have the option to return to college. It's uncertain the interest level the Reds had in this bunch, but they probably would have preferred bring some more of them into the fold.

One player upon who they definitely had interest was 14th rounder Willie Abreu who was their earliest selection to turn them down. This was clearly an ambitious pick and would have been a real coup to dissuade him from following his commitment to the University of Miami. A couple other flyers they missed with were Brett Morales (24th round, bound for Florida State) and Zack Collins (27th, also committed to Miami). They probably would have liked to have kept home the Ohio High School record holder for hits, Andrew Benintendi (31st), but it appears he's headed to the University of Arkansas. 15th rounder Jarrett Freeland missed his senior high school season to Tommy John surgery and probably felt he could improve his stock later by playing at the University of Georgia.

It's also hard to tell how much the packages offered unsuccessfully to the ones that got away limited the bonus money available for the latter unsigned picks. The final pick, P.J. Cerretto finished an impressive four-year career at a small college and there must have been some question on 39th rounder Manny Cruz's competition because he's headed to another small college after putting up Superman-like stats in high school.

Unsigned pick totals were up compared to last year when only thirteen selections pursued other options. This year's draft for the Reds was similar to what they did two years ago when nineteen got away, but a dozen of them were in their final thirteen picks while they took care of business in the earlier rounds. Toronto was the only team failing to sign its top selection this year and overall teams were successful at reaching agreements with all but nine of the selections in the first ten rounds. The Reds have successfully signed all selections in their first twelve rounds since 2007.

Other Organizational News:

The Reds will go into the All Star break on a winning note after an 8-4 victory, splitting their series at Atlanta. They took the lead with a four-run rally in the fourth inning when a double by Joey Votto plated the first run and a home run by Jay Bruce added two more. Shin-soo Choo added on by leading off the next frame with a homer. Brandon Phillips had three RBI on the day including a two-run double in the ninth and Todd Frazier plated him with their final run off his single. Tony Cingrani got the start and allowed only two runs (one earned) on four hits, but he ran his pitch count high and did not last long enough to qualify for the win which the scorekeeper gave to Logan Ondrusek who threw two scoreless innings.

Louisville took a two-run lead early, but gave up four in the third and again in the fifth innings in their 11-3 loss to visiting Toledo. Chad Rogers got roughed up for the loss in his third AAA start, allowing eight runs in four-plus innings. Neftali Soto and Jason Donald both had two hits for the Bats and their three runs came from solo homers by those two and Nevin Ashley.

Penascola took an early lead and rolled to a 7-0 win at Montgomery. Ryan Dennick started the game and got the win by tossing five shutout innings, allowing only two hits and two walks. Four Wahoo relievers combined for four innings to finish the shutout. Singles by Donald Lutz, Tucker Barnhart, and Travis Mattair plated runs in a three-run first inning rally for the fish and Brodie Greene added on the next frame when he doubled, stole third and scored on a groundout. Mike Costanzo and Ryan LaMarre had RBI-singles when they plated three more in the eighth. The offense had fourteen hits, led by Corey Wimberly with three while Lutz, Barnhart, Mattair, and Costanzo added two apiece.

Bakersfield fell behind by four after two innings and lost 4-1 at Rancho Cucamonga. David Vidal doubled twice and scored the only Blaze run. Jake Johnson took the loss, allowing four runs in four innings. Kyle Lotzkar, Jimmy Moran and Pat Doyle combined for four scoreless innings of relief.

Dayton never really threatened in their 9-2 loss at Quad Cities. Leadoff hitter Beau Amaral had a nice day with three hits while Jeff Gelalich had a double, sac fly, and both Dragon RBI. Jackson Stephens took the loss for allowing the first five runs in four innings pitched.

Billings fell behind when they allowed four in the seventh inning and came up short in their comeback attempt in an 8-6 loss at Orem. Carlos Sanchez (2 hits/2 walks) and Ty Washington (2H/1BB) were frequent base-runners for the Mustangs. Starter Amir Garret was lifted in the fifth inning and got no decision after allowing three runs. Scott Brattvet relieved him and allowed three in one-plus innings pitched for the loss.

The AZL Reds had an offday and will play the AZL Brewers on Monday.

The DSL Reds fell behind in the top of the ninth, tied the game in the bottom of the inning and lost 5-4 in eleven innings against the DSL Diamondbacks. Geraldo Valor, Hector Vargas, and Derik Capitillo had two hits each for the Reds. Jose Veras threw the first four innings, allowed three runs, and got no decision. Joyce Hernandez relieved him with three perfect innings of relief including three strikeouts. Adolfi Telleria tossed the final frame and gave up the game-winner for the loss.

The DSL Rojos were idle and will resume their schedule against the DSL Blue Jays on Monday.


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