Padres Draft Primer: The Friar Way

The San Diego Padres are not known for leaping to draft players based on projection alone that have the potential to flame out in the early rounds of the MLB Draft. They prefer players with established track records who may not reach super stardom but will be solid players in the majors.

"The draft – one way to look at it – is like a deck of cards," Padres scouting director Bill Gayton said. "It is constantly changing depending on what somebody does with the hand that they are dealt. One move might create 30 new moves by the rest of baseball. You are constantly adjusting."

FIRST ROUND

23rd overall selection:
Ike Davis
Outfielder/First baseman
Arizona State

Davis has a smooth swing but is not a fast starter. He has plus raw power that will improve even more. He can throw 87-89 MPH on the mound so he has the arm to play right field. He range at right field is solid and he is fluid at first base. Davis also comes from good bloodlines, his dad, Ron Davis, pitched in the major leagues. He has an athletic body that has a lot of projection to it.

SUPPLEMENTAL FIRST ROUND

42nd overall selection:
Jordan Danks
Outfielder
Texas

His brother John pitches for the White Sox. The 6-foot-5, 210-pounder is a five-tool player (his power should had been better by now but is getting better). He has plus speed with his long-legged stride. Has a great eye and will take a walk. He can gain some weight to have more power, but you have to like what he can do right now.

46th overall selection:
David Duncan
Left-handed pitcher
Georgia Tech

He was drafted in the 23rd-round last year by the Nationals .He has a low-90s fastball, and a good change that might get better. He has a split-fingered fastball and a curveball. He throws strikes. Last year, he did have some control problems. He had to fix his control issues this year. He has a lot of projection on his 6-foot-9, 215-pound frame. Is an ace in a very tough Atlantic Coast Conference.

SECOND ROUND

69th overall selection:
Brandon Crawford
Shortstop
UCLA

Crawford is a five-tool player. The problem is he has not put all those tools together. He has good raw power, good speed that can steal some bases, and plays solid defense. He has to cut his strikeout totals down. He will be gone in the third-round, and the Padres really need some depth at the shortstop position. If he can get back the way he played as a sophomore, the Padres will have a very good player. If not, he will be at least solid.

THIRD ROUND

101st overall selection:
Ryan Lavarnway
Catcher
Yale

The Padres always love to draft catchers and Lavernway fit their mold. He has plus plus power and will hit for average. He is an average runner. He has good hands, a good arm and has good accuracy. He has a great eye (he has 10 more walks then strikeouts). He is a smart player (he goes to Yale) and a natural leader. He played right field to begin his collegiate career so he is a bit raw at catcher, but he like the catching position and has improved every year and will stay there.

111th overall selection:
Joe Wieland
Bishop Manogue high school (Nev.)
Right-handed pitcher

Fuson love guys with pitchability; Weiland has it. He has a 88-91 MPH fastball with sink. Has a good curveball that may be a plus pitch later on, which he can throw for strikes in any count. He can throw a average changeup (which is good because high school pitchers rarely use a change). He has a very good mound presence and is very confident in his stuff. He has a wiry frame at 6-foot-3, 170-pounds and will not have that much projection.

FOURTH ROUND

128th overall selection:
D.J Mitchell
Right-handed pitcher
Clemson

His fastball is in the 88-92 MPH range with decent movement to it. He has an average curveball and a changeup that will need some work. He has good control but not great. He likes to go after batters and has very good poise on the mound. He is listed at 6-foot-1, 170-pounds. He can put on some pounds on his thin fame but not much. It might add some MPH on is fastball but not a lot.

FIFTH ROUND

135th overall selection:
Dominic de la Osa
Outfielder
Vanderbilt

The senior has a nice short swing. He was a 10th-round pick in the 2007 draft by the Tigers. He as average to good power, average speed that will translate to some stolen bases. As an outfielder, his arm is average but he can still can play right field. He has a big stocky body that will not have that much projection. He can hit to all fields with some power, which will carry him through the minors.

Players the Padres may also look at:

Miami outfielder Dennis Raben has very good power. He kind of has a long swing. His speed is below average – a base clogger. Has a good arm and make some good jumps to maybe stay in right field. He has a good eye (sometimes he takes too many pitches) and will takes walks. He stock was really high from his showing in the Cape Cod league, but it went down due to a back injury.

Wake Forest first baseman Allen Dykstra has very good power with a nice swing. He is a poor runner. He arm is below average and his overall range is not that good. Has a great eye and will take walks.

California first baseman David Cooper has very good power in a short stroke. His speed is average. His arm is not very good but he has solid range at first. He has a very good approach and power that will make him a high pick.

Left-hander Brett Devall, out of Niceville Senior High School (Fla.), has a fastball that ranges in the 88-91 MPH range with some life to it. He has hit the mid-90s before. He throws a good curveball that turns into a slurve and his changeup is good and getting better. He has great command that is better than a lot of college pitchers.

California righty Tyson Ross a 6-foot-6 pitcher that has a fastball range of 92-96 MPH with sink. His slider, with more work, will be a plus pitch. His changeup is good and his curveball is average. His control is one of the best in the draft. His delivery is unconventional – it is stiff and very upright. He needs to work on his delivery and may turn into a number one or two type arm. He is a college player with a high school player's upside.

Virginia right-hander Jacob Thompson has a fastball in the low-90s, sitting right at 90. He has a good curveball and throws a slurve. His changeup is average and will need to improve. He has average control (it was better last year). He has deception because of his 6-foot-6 frame. He is a right-handed Nick Schmidt.

Mississippi right-hander Lance Lynn possesses a fastball that ranges from 88-90 MPH and some say it was faster last year. Curveball and changeup are average. Has great control. He has good poise on the mound. His body type is soft and he will need to keep his weight down.

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