Phillies Prospect #34: Kelly Dugan

There are a lot of adjustments for a high school player to make when he's drafted. Kelly Dugan faced all of those adjustments as he tried to show why he was the Phillies second round pick last June. Now, with those adjustments behind him, Dugan looks to become a better player on the field.

Acquired: Drafted by the Phillies in the 2nd round of the 2009 Draft.
Bats: B   Throws: R
Height: 6' 3"  Weight: 195 pounds
Birth Date: September 18, 1990
2009 Team(s): Gulf Coast 
Positions/Games: CF (26 G), RF (11 G), LF (5 G)
School: Notre Dame HS (California)

Why Dugan debuted at #34: It's always difficult to gauge how a player is going to perform in their first pro season, especially when they were drafted out of high school. In all honesty, we err on the side of caution and look for players to prove their ranking in the system, rather than just try to fulfill their ranking. There is no denying that Kelly Dugan has a ton of talent and it's very likely that with continued work and the fact that he simply has a lot of developing and maturing yet to do, he will climb higher on the prospect list than he starts off.

Category Kelly Dugan Gulf Coast League
PA/2B 20.9 23.6
PA/3B 167.0 128.7
PA/HR - 109.1
PA/RBI 20.9 10.4
PA/R 9.3 8.9
PA/BB 13.9 11.6
PA/KO 5.6 4.9
AVG .233 .283
OBP .297 .316
SLG .300 .335
Categories with numbers in white show areas where the player outperformed the average player in the their league during the 2009 season. Categories with numbers in black show areas where he was below the league average.

Batting and Power: Dugan showed strong power potential in high school. He's got a nice, compact swing, especially when he's hitting left-handed. He tends to just take a little too long to get his swing started, which could very well be a product of not recognizing pitches as well as he will with more playing time. The good news is that he can hit the ball to all fields and has shown both a willingness and comfort with going the opposite way. As a right-handed hitter, he's got good mechanics and his power comes from both sides of the plate.

Baserunning and Speed: Dugan's speed is slightly above average, but he's got some learning to do on the art of stealing bases. He was successful in nine of 14 attempts last season (64%), which is below where he needs to be. With some work though, he'll become at least an average base stealer and his speed will be a plus on the basepaths as he refines his ability to take extra bases at the right times.

Defense: Last season, Dugan played all three outfield positions and the jury is still out on just where he'll wind up in the outfield. He also played some first base in college, but it's not likely that the Phillies will be moving him back to the infield. Defensively, Dugan showed a lot of natural skill and instincts last season and runners are going to learn about his arm, which isn't in the cannon mode, but is above average.

Projection: The biggest thing that Dugan needs to work on is just recognizing pitches and attacking more at the plate. He's able to tell a ball from a strike, just not quite able to get to some pitches because it takes him just a tad too long to see what he's got to work with. It's also likely that as he adjusts, Dugan will become more comfortable at the plate, which will allow him to be more aggressive and let his power show. Don't be surprised if his strikeout numbers start to grow when that happens, but because he's got good plate discipline, he won't be likely to go overboard with being aggressive and should be able to pump up his power and his average at the same time. It's all about adjustments and Dugan had a lot thrown at him before his 19th birthday last September. He's a quick learner and is going to soak up everything that he can and become a much better player than he was able to show in his first season. Odds are that he starts in a short-season league again in 2010.

Kelly Dugan's career stats

2009 Gulf Coast 45 150 18 35 8 1 0 8 9 5 12 30 .233

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