Rays Prospect Over/Unders

As we continue previewing the 2012 season, it's time to have a little fun - Vegas-style. We have set various over/unders on stats for different players, given our predictions and then will take the discussion to our subscriber-only forums. What will Cole Figueroa's batting average be? How many bags will Tyler Bortnick swipe? How many strikeouts will Parker Markel have? All that and more inside.

Stolen Base Total For Tyler Bortnick - 40: Bortnick swiped 39 bags in 2010 and 43 last season for Single-A Charlotte. With a career on base percentage of .409 in 3 minor league seasons, he figures to be on base plenty again in 2012. Even if he is unable to replicate his 91 percent success rate of last year, 40 stolen bases looks like a lock. OVER

Earned Run Average For C.J. Riefenhauser - 3.00: The 22-year-old right-hander has a career 2.71 ERA in 2 minor league seasons and has never had a season total higher than 2.80. He had a decent ground ball rate (42.1%) and improved his K/9 by nearly 2 strikeouts from 6.4 to 8.0 with Bowling Green in 2011. He will also have the benefit of pitching the majority of the season for the High-A Charlotte Stone Crabs in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League. UNDER

Batting Average For Cole Figueroa - .300: Figueroa, who came to the Rays last off-season as part of the Jason Bartlett deal, hit .283 for AA Montgomery in 410 at bats last season. The infielder has a short, compact stroke and has no problem making consistent contact. He also has the wheels to beat out a few grounders in the infield and can spray the ball gap-to-gap. He hit .303 for Lake Elsinore in 2010 has a good chance to do so next season at AAA Durham, where he could very well be the lead-off hitter. OVER

K/9 Rate For Kyle Lobstein - 6.5: Lobstein has the perfect name to match his stuff, as he is a soft-tossing lefty who has excellent control. His K/9 rate has predictably gone down with each step up in levels, but he has nonetheless gotten excellent results overall. As he continues to learn how to pitch to contact successfully, his strikeout rate should dip again this season. But as long as he displays good command, he may make it to the majors as a situational lefty or a back-end starter. UNDER

On Base Percentage For Adderly Rosa - .380: The 19-year-old Dominican infielder was named the DSL Rays team MVP in 2011 after leading the squad in RBI (28), stolen bases (16) and walks (45). After three years playing in the Dominican Summer League, the switch-hitting Rosa figures to play for a rookie league affiliate in the States in 2012. He has shown a tremendous eye at the plate in his three seasons and has walked 120 times compared to 105 strikeouts in his brief career. He has also never had an on base percentage below .381. It remains to be seen if he'll hit in the US, but even against better pitching his patient approach should find him on base plenty this season. OVER

Batting Average For Drew Vettleson - .300: Vettleson had a pretty nice pro debut in 2011 hitting .282 with 40 RBI and 20 stolen bases in 234 at bats for rookie-level Princeton. Vettleson's smooth swing and solid approach could make him the system's top hitter in very short order and he has already flashed a much better well-rounded game then expected. He appears a likely candidate to go to Low-A Bowling Green in 2012. If he plays full-season ball, the 200-or-so extra at bats should allow him the time to make the necessary adjustments to end up with his first .300 season. OVER

Number of Games Played in Minors for Stephen Vogt - 40: The spring training battle for the Rays back-up catcher position has been hotly contested and Vogt is in the mix with Jose Lobaton, Robinson Chirinos and Chris Gimenez. The team may decide to send him to AAA to start the season no matter how well he plays the rest of the spring, but if not on Opening Day, he figures to be on the team's roster sooner rather than later. His left-handed hitting prowess and ability to play multiple positions will have him in the majors the first time an injury strikes and nobody would be surprised if he sticks. UNDER

Home Run Total For Lucas Bailey - 14: The 21-year-old catcher has had a difficult time making contact in his two professional seasons (.208 career average), but when he does, he has excellent power to all fields. Bailey, who had 17 doubles and 7 home runs in 247 at bats last year, figures to be the primary catcher for the High-A Stone Crabs in 2012. With just the slightest improvement at the plate he should double his total from 2011 easily. OVER

Number of Levels For Lenny Linsky - 1.5: University of Hawaii single-season saves leader Lenny Linsky has a chance to play at three levels in 2012 if the Rays decide to start him at Low-A Bowling Green where he finished last season. As a polished college pitcher with a lethal sinker/slider combo, he has the stuff and makeup to advance quickly. He posted a 9.2 K/9 rate and a 0.98 WHIP in 29.1 innings last season and should be at AA Montgomery by season's end. OVER

Number of Strikeouts for Parker Markel - 100: Markel, who was a 39th-round pick in 2010, will get his first crack at full-season ball in 2012. After throwing 57.1 innings last year at Short-Season A Hudson Valley, the 21-year-old righty figures to see a significant jump in strikeouts from his total of 44 in 2011. He is a near lock to throw over 100 innings and if he splits the difference between his K/9 rate of 11.3 in 2010 and 6.9 last season, he will easily eclipse the century mark. OVER

John Gregg is Publisher and Senior Editor of Rays Digest. You can follow him on Twitter at @RaysDigest. He can also be reached via e-mail at raysdigest.com@gmail.com.


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