Yankees Prospect Over/Unders

In Las Vegas fashion, we set various over/under marks for various Yankees prospects in 2013 and will continue the discussion in our subscribers-only forum. What is the over/under for Tyler Austin's home run total? How low will Bryan Mitchell's ERA be this upcoming season? How many strikeouts will Rafael DePaula have in 2013? We discuss all this and more.

Over/Unders

ERA Mark For Bryan Mitchell - 3.50: He finished his first taste of the long-season leagues last year with a 4.58 ERA for the Charleston RiverDogs in what was a very up and down season for him. He showed flashes of brilliance though, posting a 2.40 ERA in his first ten starts and 2.67 ERA in his last six starts, and we think he's due to put a consistent season together in 2013. UNDER.

Batting Average For J.R. Murphy - .280: He hit just a combined .248 between high-A Tampa and Double-A Trenton last year despite drawing more walks and still showing very good plate discipline. It was a year he really focused on becoming more of a field general though and now he's focused on getting back to his hitting ways. He hit a combined .287 the year prior and we're banking on a return to form in 2013. He's just too good a hitter not to. OVER.

Home Run Total For Tyler Austin - 17: He hit a combined 17 home runs over four minor league levels last year, most of which came with the Charleston RiverDogs. He was hit in the head by a pitch almost immediately upon his promotion to high-A Tampa though and missed some time. He'll get more at-bats in 2013 and he has been building up some serious momentum over the past calendar year. He could see a bump in round-trippers this season. OVER.

Number Of Levels For Angelo Gumbs - 1.5: He missed pretty much most of the second-half of last season in Charleston with a triceps injury and the early word is he'll begin the season back with the RiverDogs in 2013. Even if he doesn't though and begins the year in high-A Tampa he still has the type of talent to move quickly, especially now that his defensive game is no longer a concern. We're expecting Gumbs to be a big mover this season. OVER.

Number Of Strikeouts For Brett Marshall - 130: He punched out a career-high 120 batters in Trenton last season, besting his previous career high of 114 set the year before. An absolute workhorse, he should top his career high of 158 innings set last year too. But we're not only expecting more innings, we're expecting a more consistent slider too and the resurrection of the curveball in 2013 so he should eclipse this over/under. Keep in mind the Yankees did not have one pitching prospect who had more than 126 strikeouts last season. OVER.

Stolen Base Total For Slade Heathcott - 40: He stole 19 bases a year ago and he didn't even return to game action from his second shoulder injury until late June. He still has something to prove in his consistency stealing bases but he seems very much poised to break out in a big way this coming season. We're expecting him to finally prove his plus-plus speed with a special stolen base total by the end of the year. OVER.

ERA Mark For Jose Ramirez - 3.50: The Dominican fire-baller has had just one year in the longs-season leagues with an ERA under 3.50, a number only three Yankee long-season league pitchers bested last year, and it [3.19] came last season in the pitching-friendly Florida State League. He'll make the move to Double-A Trenton this year but we're expecting him to continue to improve, especially now that the slider has gotten more consistent. UNDER.

Home Run Total For Gary Sanchez - 17: He has clubbed 17 and 18 home runs in the past two season respectively so this is an over/under that could come right down to the number. The fact that he's slated to begin his season with the Tampa Yankees could really put him behind in the home race pace in the beginning, but should he get called up to Double-A by mid-season he could begin to make up for it. It'll be close but we think he might run into a couple of more long balls this season. OVER.

Number Of Strikeouts For Rafael DePaula - 120: He struck out 85 batters in just 65 2/3 innings last year in his professional debut season with DSL Yankees1 and he'll probably be on an innings limit around 100 innings in 2013. For him to come close to this total would require breaking camp immediately with a long-season league team and we think he'll do exactly that. This one is going to be real close but we're going to take a shot here. OVER.

Batting Average For Dante Bichette Jr. - .280: He hit just .248 with the Charleston RiverDogs in his first taste of the long-season leagues last year, a year after hitting .335 between the Gulf Coast League and Staten Island Yankees. That 87 point discrepancy is a little worrisome, but we're banking on him having his swing issues settled, employing the same solid plate discipline, and getting back to his hitting ways. OVER.

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\r\n \r\n\r\nOver/Unders
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\r\nERA Mark For Bryan Mitchell - 3.50: He finished his first taste of the long-season leagues last year with a 4.58 ERA for the Charleston RiverDogs in what was a very up and down season for him. He showed flashes of brilliance though, posting a 2.40 ERA in his first ten starts and 2.67 ERA in his last six starts, and we think he's due to put a consistent season together in 2013. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average For J.R. Murphy - .280: He hit just a combined .248 between high-A Tampa and Double-A Trenton last year despite drawing more walks and still showing very good plate discipline. It was a year he really focused on becoming more of a field general though and now he's focused on getting back to his hitting ways. He hit a combined .287 the year prior and we're banking on a return to form in 2013. He's just too good a hitter not to. OVER.
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\r\nHome Run Total For Tyler Austin - 17: He hit a combined 17 home runs over four minor league levels last year, most of which came with the Charleston RiverDogs. He was hit in the head by a pitch almost immediately upon his promotion to high-A Tampa though and missed some time. He'll get more at-bats in 2013 and he has been building up some serious momentum over the past calendar year. He could see a bump in round-trippers this season. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Levels For Angelo Gumbs - 1.5: He missed pretty much most of the second-half of last season in Charleston with a triceps injury and the early word is he'll begin the season back with the RiverDogs in 2013. Even if he doesn't though and begins the year in high-A Tampa he still has the type of talent to move quickly, especially now that his defensive game is no longer a concern. We're expecting Gumbs to be a big mover this season. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Strikeouts For Brett Marshall - 130: He punched out a career-high 120 batters in Trenton last season, besting his previous career high of 114 set the year before. An absolute workhorse, he should top his career high of 158 innings set last year too. But we're not only expecting more innings, we're expecting a more consistent slider too and the resurrection of the curveball in 2013 so he should eclipse this over/under. Keep in mind the Yankees did not have one pitching prospect who had more than 126 strikeouts last season. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nStolen Base Total For Slade Heathcott - 40: He stole 19 bases a year ago and he didn't even return to game action from his second shoulder injury until late June. He still has something to prove in his consistency stealing bases but he seems very much poised to break out in a big way this coming season. We're expecting him to finally prove his plus-plus speed with a special stolen base total by the end of the year. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nERA Mark For Jose Ramirez - 3.50: The Dominican fire-baller has had just one year in the longs-season leagues with an ERA under 3.50, a number only three Yankee long-season league pitchers bested last year, and it [3.19] came last season in the pitching-friendly Florida State League. He'll make the move to Double-A Trenton this year but we're expecting him to continue to improve, especially now that the slider has gotten more consistent. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total For Gary Sanchez - 17: He has clubbed 17 and 18 home runs in the past two season respectively so this is an over/under that could come right down to the number. The fact that he's slated to begin his season with the Tampa Yankees could really put him behind in the home race pace in the beginning, but should he get called up to Double-A by mid-season he could begin to make up for it. It'll be close but we think he might run into a couple of more long balls this season. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Strikeouts For Rafael DePaula - 120: He struck out 85 batters in just 65 2/3 innings last year in his professional debut season with DSL Yankees1 and he'll probably be on an innings limit around 100 innings in 2013. For him to come close to this total would require breaking camp immediately with a long-season league team and we think he'll do exactly that. This one is going to be real close but we're going to take a shot here. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average For Dante Bichette Jr. - .280: He hit just .248 with the Charleston RiverDogs in his first taste of the long-season leagues last year, a year after hitting .335 between the Gulf Coast League and Staten Island Yankees. That 87 point discrepancy is a little worrisome, but we're banking on him having his swing issues settled, employing the same solid plate discipline, and getting back to his hitting ways. OVER.
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