PG Junior National Pitcher Rankings

Kiley brings us rankings, scouting reports and a video of the top arms from last week's Perfect Game Junior National Showcase, a gathering of some of the top prep prospects for the 2015 MLB Draft.

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Be sure to check out my pre-showcase notes, top prospects that didn't attend, an introduction of the PG Junior National Showcase and the hitters scouting reports, linked above.

Two things are worth noting before I rank the pitchers. The first is the overwhelming amount of baseball bloodlines at this event. In addition to McElroy and Shumpert mentioned above, we also had SS A.J. Graffanino who is the son of MLB IF Tony, 3B Ke'Bryan Hayes who is the son of MLB 3B Charlie, RHP Luke Matheny who is the son of MLB C and Cardinals manager Mike, 3B Parker Kelly who is the younger brother of Cardinals prospect Carson Kelly, IF Jeremy Eierman who is the younger brother of Rays farmhand SS Johnny Eierman, RHP Cole Sands who is the younger brother of 2014 top prospect LHP Carson Sands and RHP Stephen Kolek who is the younger brother of my top pitcher in the 2014 prep class, Tyler Kolek. Also, Dominic DiCaprio mentioned above is not related to Leonardo as far as I could tell.

The second thing I wanted to cover is the reason there's so many fewer pitchers listed than hitters. The way baseball players develop is that the hitters slowly get bigger/stronger/faster and develop baseball specific skills for the most part (with some exceptions making bigger leaps) while a pitcher's value is directly tied to three things: size, athleticism and arm speed. These three things are all closely related and tend to all show up suddenly and all at once. If a pitcher is throwing 85 mph with some feel, he's an interesting projection guy and with a velo spike he's a top few round consideration while hitter's changes are more subtle. All that to say that the top arms on draft day in 2015 are going to be bigger guys--the 2014 eligible top pitcher prospect list is all guys 6'0 or taller, mostly around 6'3-6'4--while the best prospects right now are the smaller guys with arm speed and athleticism that's developed early and will plateau. This happens since their smaller frames have less development to go through while the bigger guys tend to come on later. So, the guys below, for the most part, are really good right now and will likely be some sort of prospects come the 2015 Draft, but this won't be as predictive as the hitter list.

The Top Five Pitching Prospects

1. Devon Roedahl, RHP, West Brook HS (TX), 6'1/190, no college commitment

Quick Take: Roedahl is on the larger end of the typical smaller pitcher that stands out at this event and his stuff was impressive. He has a clean arm, efficient delivery and good command along with some projection to his 88-92 mph fastball. Roedahl also threw a hard 75-77 mph curveball that shows average to above potential, so he should be good enough a year from now to be a notable draft prospect.

2. Stephen Kolek, RHP, Shepherd HS (TX), 6'3/180, no college commitment

Quick Take: Kolek had tons of buzz leading up to the event, with his older brother and 2014 prospect Tyler hitting 100 mph in an Area Codes tryout the week before and Stephen sitting 90-93 mph and hitting 94. Stephen wasn't as good as advertised in Minneapolis, sitting 87-89 and hitting 90 with an 80-81 mph slider that was fringy with cutter action. The younger Kolek's arm action, delivery and feel are all good, so he looks to have the most upside of this group, but he was a couple slots lower in present ability.

3. Jacob Bukauskas, RHP, Stone Bridge HS (VA), 6'1/175, North Carolina commit

Quick Take: Also on the higher end of the size scale and also with some projection, Bukauskas led off the event and sat 89-91 mph with his fastball. His four-seamer was a little flat and his arm action, delivery and plane are a little worse than Roedahl, but Bukauskas showed a three pitch mix. Bukauskas threws a fringy to average late-breaking 79-81 mph slider along with a 78-79 mph changeup with late tumble that could also be average.

4. Bobby Gauvreau, RHP Sprayberry HS (GA), 5'11/195, no college commitment

Quick Take: Gauvreau sat 87-90 and hit 91 mph with his heater and plays on the same high school team in the Atlanta suburbs as one of the better bats in the 2014 draft, Michael Chavis. Gauvreau is the best of the sub-six-foot arms at the event for me, backing up his fringy heater with a hard 11-to-5 curveball at 74 mph that flashed solid average potential and could be above average.

Other Top Pitching Prospects

5. Matthew McGarry, RHP, Menlo-Atherton HS (CA), 6'3/185, no college commitment

6. Eli Nabholz, RHP, Pottsville Area HS (PA), 6'6/215, no college commitment

7. Joseph Arce, RHP, Timber Creek HS (FL), 6'2/190, no college commitment

8. Cole Sands, RHP, North Florida Christian HS (FL), 6'3/200, Florida State commit

9. Nathan Trevillian, RHP, Amherst County HS (VA), 6'2/160, no college commitment

10. Alex Carpenter, RHP, Melbourne Central Catholic HS (FL), 5'10/165, Florida State commit

11. Matthew Mercer, RHP/3B, Timberline HS (WA), 6'1/160, Washington State commit

12. Addison Albright, LHP, West Forsyth HS (GA), 6'3/185, no college commitment

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