2007 MLB Draft: Prospect Stock Report 6/22

Prospect rankings never stay the same for the long, especially when dealing with draft prospects. To track the top '07 prospects, Scout.com presents a report on the players who are moving up or moving down in draft status.

On The Rise


Michael Main - Any time a high school junior is clocked in the upper-90's, it is no secret that his stock is bound to skyrocket. Main was already the number two prospect on our recently released Top-100 2007 MLB Draft prospect list, but with his recent performance at the Perfect Game National Showcase, he may have given himself a chance at the number one spot. Main also showed a more refined breaking ball and changeup, now projecting to have three plus pitches. It seems that all questions of whether he'd pitch or hit have disappeared. This young man was truly electric on the national stage and may be a big league ace in the making.

Michael Burgess - As if scouts weren't excited enough about the dynamic toolset of Burgess, the clinic he put on at the PG National only enhanced his status. With his recent display, Burgess is now arguably the top high school position player in the class. The Tampa native impressed scouts with his compact, big league power stroke, and see him as right-fielder at the professional level with the ability to put up gaudy numbers at the plate.

Justin Jackson - Scouts already knew how much potential Jackson has, but few expected that he would truly discover his tools so early. At the PG National, Jackson flashed all five tools and played tremendously at shortstop. He was already considered a potential first rounder in the 2007 draft, and this recent showing only helped his cause.

Neil Ramirez - Ramirez, who also attended the PG National Showcase, firmly solidified himself as not only one of the top pure arms in the high school crop, but one of the most polished as well. The lanky righty showed scouts a consistent 90-94 MPH fastball with sound mechanics and a feel for pitching. Scouts had heard about his pure arm, but he made himself a legitimate first round candidate with his pitchability and feel for off-speed pitches.

Tanner Robles - Out of the entire group of pitchers at the national showcase, Robles is the one who seemed to intrigue professional scouts the most. A tall, strong southpaw, Robles threw a consistent 89-93 MPH heater, topping out at 94 MPH. The key for him will be the development of his changeup to go along with his hammer curveball, but his immense upside from the left side gives him an excellent chance to be a future first rounder.

Paul Demny - A newcomer to the national stage for high school prospects, Demny made his presence known in a hurry. He may have been a little known commodity coming into his first national event, but his 94 MPH instantly put him on every scout's radar screen. Demny lacks a solid breaking ball right now, but scouts were given the impression that he could profile as a closer down the road because of his fearless approach and potentially overpowering fastball.

Madison Bumgarner - For many months, scouts in North Carolina beamed when speaking of Bumgarner. He was a power pitching, tall, strong southpaw, but got little attention up until this June. Bumgarner touched 95 MPH with his fastball and showed a lot of life on his power heater. He's still raw at this stage of his career, but his electric fastball and 6-foot-5, 220-pound frame has scouts dreaming of a dominating lefty workhorse at the professional level.

Hunter Morris - Morris is another new face on the prospect scene, becoming one of the elite high school position prospects in one weekend of showcasing his ability. Morris is a monstrous, 6-foot-5, 200-pound outfielder with power potential and a strong arm that should land him in a corner position at the professional level. Keep a close eye on Morris as he is still a raw product.

Rick Porcello - Porcello, even as a high school junior, has already drawn comparisons to a young Justin Verlander. He hasn't shown an average breaking ball to this point, but his 92-96 MPH heater and 6-foot-5, 190-pound frame will make him perhaps the most projectable pitcher in the draft class. This New Jersey native has a truly blessed arm.

Josh Horton (SS, UNC) - There has been few players that have drawn as much praise during the NCAA tournament and the College World Series than Horton. He is hitting .441 since the start of the regionals and has proved to be possibly the most clutch and advanced player on the field in just about every game. This young man has the look of a consummate professional and an outstanding line drive hitter.

Taylor Harbin (2B, Clemson) - Following a fantastic showing in the NCAA tournament where he hit .346, scouts are beginning to taking notice of Harbin. The Clemson second baseman was able to make consistent, line drive contact against some of the finest college pitchers in the nation. He is not the biggest or most powerful player on the field, but he proved that he is one of the most polished.

Stock Falling


Kentrail Davis - Entering the Perfect Game National showcase, Davis was considered to be one of the high school crop's premier hitters. Kentrail failed to show that type of offensive potential in front of a crowd of scouts and is now being billed as more of a fourth outfielder, rather than a player with star caliber. The draft is still several months away, so Davis has plenty of time to prove scouts otherwise.

Erik Goeddel - While Goeddel hasn't necessarily performed badly, many pitchers seemed to simply surpass him at the PG National. Goeddel still showed the ability to locate his 89-92 MPH heater, but at times also showed lack of command of his off-speed pitches. He's still highly projectable so he has plenty of time to regain his draft status.

Todd Frazier (OF, Rutgers) - Frazier has gotten off to a miserable start in the Cape Cod League this summer, after having another outstanding spring at Rutgers. The season is only six games old so he has ample time to recover, but any type of slump for highly rated draft prospects exposes their weaknesses against tougher competition. Most expect the slugging outfielder will rebound quickly.

Brad Chalk (OF, Clemson) - Some may argue that Chalk performed well throughout the regionals, super regional, and College World Series and that his stock should be up. For a player like Chalk, statistics aren't always the best gauge. He consistently slapped the ball to the opposite field for singles, many of which may have been outs with wood bats. Chalk also showed an inability to turn on a good inside fastball on a consistent basis. The outfielder's game does revolve around speed, but until he shows signs of being able to drive the ball when necessary, his stock will dipped slightly.


Scout MLB Network Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\n
On The Rise
\r\n

\r\nMichael Main - Any time a high school junior is clocked in the upper-90's, it is no secret that his stock is bound to skyrocket. Main was already the number two prospect on our recently released Top-100 2007 MLB Draft prospect list, but with his recent performance at the Perfect Game National Showcase, he may have given himself a chance at the number one spot. Main also showed a more refined breaking ball and changeup, now projecting to have three plus pitches. It seems that all questions of whether he'd pitch or hit have disappeared. This young man was truly electric on the national stage and may be a big league ace in the making.\r\n

\r\nMichael Burgess - As if scouts weren't excited enough about the dynamic toolset of Burgess, the clinic he put on at the PG National only enhanced his status. With his recent display, Burgess is now arguably the top high school position player in the class. The Tampa native impressed scouts with his compact, big league power stroke, and see him as right-fielder at the professional level with the ability to put up gaudy numbers at the plate.\r\n

\r\nJustin Jackson - Scouts already knew how much potential Jackson has, but few expected that he would truly discover his tools so early. At the PG National, Jackson flashed all five tools and played tremendously at shortstop. He was already considered a potential first rounder in the 2007 draft, and this recent showing only helped his cause.\r\n

\r\nNeil Ramirez - Ramirez, who also attended the PG National Showcase, firmly solidified himself as not only one of the top pure arms in the high school crop, but one of the most polished as well. The lanky righty showed scouts a consistent 90-94 MPH fastball with sound mechanics and a feel for pitching. Scouts had heard about his pure arm, but he made himself a legitimate first round candidate with his pitchability and feel for off-speed pitches.\r\n

\r\nTanner Robles - Out of the entire group of pitchers at the national showcase, Robles is the one who seemed to intrigue professional scouts the most. A tall, strong southpaw, Robles threw a consistent 89-93 MPH heater, topping out at 94 MPH. The key for him will be the development of his changeup to go along with his hammer curveball, but his immense upside from the left side gives him an excellent chance to be a future first rounder.\r\n

\r\nPaul Demny - A newcomer to the national stage for high school prospects, Demny made his presence known in a hurry. He may have been a little known commodity coming into his first national event, but his 94 MPH instantly put him on every scout's radar screen. Demny lacks a solid breaking ball right now, but scouts were given the impression that he could profile as a closer down the road because of his fearless approach and potentially overpowering fastball.\r\n

\r\nMadison Bumgarner - For many months, scouts in North Carolina beamed when speaking of Bumgarner. He was a power pitching, tall, strong southpaw, but got little attention up until this June. Bumgarner touched 95 MPH with his fastball and showed a lot of life on his power heater. He's still raw at this stage of his career, but his electric fastball and 6-foot-5, 220-pound frame has scouts dreaming of a dominating lefty workhorse at the professional level.\r\n

\r\nHunter Morris - Morris is another new face on the prospect scene, becoming one of the elite high school position prospects in one weekend of showcasing his ability. Morris is a monstrous, 6-foot-5, 200-pound outfielder with power potential and a strong arm that should land him in a corner position at the professional level. Keep a close eye on Morris as he is still a raw product.\r\n

\r\nRick Porcello - Porcello, even as a high school junior, has already drawn comparisons to a young Justin Verlander. He hasn't shown an average breaking ball to this point, but his 92-96 MPH heater and 6-foot-5, 190-pound frame will make him perhaps the most projectable pitcher in the draft class. This New Jersey native has a truly blessed arm.\r\n

\r\nJosh Horton (SS, UNC) - There has been few players that have drawn as much praise during the NCAA tournament and the College World Series than Horton. He is hitting .441 since the start of the regionals and has proved to be possibly the most clutch and advanced player on the field in just about every game. This young man has the look of a consummate professional and an outstanding line drive hitter.\r\n

\r\nTaylor Harbin (2B, Clemson) - Following a fantastic showing in the NCAA tournament where he hit .346, scouts are beginning to taking notice of Harbin. The Clemson second baseman was able to make consistent, line drive contact against some of the finest college pitchers in the nation. He is not the biggest or most powerful player on the field, but he proved that he is one of the most polished.\r\n

\r\n
Stock Falling
\r\n

\r\nKentrail Davis - Entering the Perfect Game National showcase, Davis was considered to be one of the high school crop's premier hitters. Kentrail failed to show that type of offensive potential in front of a crowd of scouts and is now being billed as more of a fourth outfielder, rather than a player with star caliber. The draft is still several months away, so Davis has plenty of time to prove scouts otherwise.\r\n

\r\nErik Goeddel - While Goeddel hasn't necessarily performed badly, many pitchers seemed to simply surpass him at the PG National. Goeddel still showed the ability to locate his 89-92 MPH heater, but at times also showed lack of command of his off-speed pitches. He's still highly projectable so he has plenty of time to regain his draft status.\r\n

\r\nTodd Frazier (OF, Rutgers) - Frazier has gotten off to a miserable start in the Cape Cod League this summer, after having another outstanding spring at Rutgers. The season is only six games old so he has ample time to recover, but any type of slump for highly rated draft prospects exposes their weaknesses against tougher competition. Most expect the slugging outfielder will rebound quickly.\r\n

\r\nBrad Chalk (OF, Clemson) - Some may argue that Chalk performed well throughout the regionals, super regional, and College World Series and that his stock should be up. For a player like Chalk, statistics aren't always the best gauge. He consistently slapped the ball to the opposite field for singles, many of which may have been outs with wood bats. Chalk also showed an inability to turn on a good inside fastball on a consistent basis. The outfielder's game does revolve around speed, but until he shows signs of being able to drive the ball when necessary, his stock will dipped slightly.

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