PP Scouting Report: OF, Rudy Guillen

Some consider outfielder Rudy Guillen to be the prospect with the highest ceiling in the Yankees organization. Guillen is a five-tool player and has drawn comparisons to other players of that type, most notably Montreal's Vladimir Guerrero. But at just 20 years old, Guillen has a long way to go before he's ready for the majors.

Vital Statistics:
Rodolfo (Rudy) Guillen
Position: Outfield
DOB: November 23, 1983
Place of Birth: Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 180lbs
Bats: Right    
How Acquired: Signed as an undrafted free agent by the Yankees in 2000

At this point in Rudy Guillen's career the comparisons to megastar Vladimir Guerrero, while not unwarranted, are a little blown out of proportion.  Guillen is a similar player to Guerrero in that he possesses all five of the baseball "tools" that scouts these days love.  Guillen can hit for average, hit for power, run, field and throw, but he doesn't turn 20 for another few days and he still needs at least two more whole seasons - and more likely three - in the minors before he can help a major league team.

Guillen suffers from some of the same problems that appear to be affecting a lot of minor-leaguers (and major leaguers) lately.  His walk to strikeout ratio is bad, very bad.  He finished the season with a mark of 0.36 (nearly three strikeouts for every walk), a number shared by two LA Dodgers: Cesar Izturis and Adrian Beltre.  While it's possible for players to enjoy major league success with less-than-stellar BB:K ratios (Garret Anderson, Alfonso Soriano, Tony Batista), it is a rare event and Guillen will need to improve that part of his game.  As the pitching becomes better at each level, his poor strike zone judgment will continue to hurt him more and more.

Guillen's slugging percentage is excellent for a player his age and size, and his 13 homers and 29 doubles speak well for his power.  His power numbers should only improve as he adds to his 180lbs frame, but his on-base percentage needs to improve with it.  In 2002, he had a solid .351 mark, but that number fell 40 points when he moved to a higher level of A-ball.  Part of the problem may have been a slow start, as he was hitting in the low .200s in early May.  An encouraging sign is that as poor as his 0.36 BB:K was, it was actually much worse earlier in the year and he seemed to show an effort to draw more walks.

Defensively, Guillen has been described as a "prototypical right fielder", meaning he has an excellent arm and good enough range for the position. He played 133 games in the outfield this year, 98 in center and 35 in right field and committed 10 errors. That's a lot of errors for just 133 games - Marquis Grissom led MLB outfielders with eight errors this season -, but his defense should improve with time.















Battle Creek













Gulf Coast












*Stats as of 9/7/03

Batting and Power: Considered to be the most athletic player in the Yankees system, Guillen projects to be a power hitter that, if his eye at the plate improves, could also hit for average.  His slugging percentage is excellent already, but his on-base percentage needs to improve if he wants to succeed at higher levels.

Base Running and Speed: Guillen is fast and capable of swiping 20 bags a year if he wants, but he was caught stealing six times this season (success rate of just 68%).  

Defense: He made too many errors in the field this season, but that will improve with experience and maturity.  Guillen has a good arm and will likely end up in right field permanently soon enough.  

Projection: Guillen has the skills to be a starter someday, but not for a few more years.  He is an unpolished talent at the moment, and definitely needs seasoning before he can be anything but a deep projection right now.

ETA: 2006/2007.  Depending on if the Yankees decide to keep Guillen in single-A at Tampa in 2004 or if they let him move up to AA Trenton, Guillen is still three or four years away.  The wise move would be to let him try Tampa first and, if he responds well, promote him to AA during the season.

Notes: Named to the Midwest League All-Star roster... MWL Hitter of the Week (4/28 to 5/4)... 32 multi-hit games... two 11-game hit streaks... 4-hit game on 6/21


2003 Team

Juan Rivera

AAA - Columbus Clippers

John Rodriguez

AAA - Columbus Clippers

Bubba Crosby

AAA - Columbus Clippers

Mike Vento AAA - Columbus Clippers
Mitch Jones AA - Trenton Thunder
Kevin Reese AA - Trenton Thunder
Kevin Thompson AA - Trenton Thunder
Jason Grove AA - Trenton Thunder
Andy Brown A - Tampa Yankees
Tommy Winrow A - Tampa Yankees
Matt Carson A - Battle Creek Yankees
Rudy Guillen A - Battle Creek Yankees
Bronson Sardinha A - Battle Creek Yankees
Melky Cabrera A - Staten Island Yankees
Edwar Gonzalez A - Staten Island Yankees
Jared Treadway A - Staten Island Yankees
Edwin Cabrera R - Gulf Coast Yankees
Jose Perez R - Gulf Coast Yankees
Estee Harris R - Gulf Coast Yankees
Timothy Battle R - Gulf Coast Yankees


1. Juan Rivera - 25-year old seems to be a 4A kind of player: too good for AAA, not good enough for the majors.  Rivera might be squeezed out of the outfield in the New York again next season, but he'll be in the majors in either a platoon or bench role.  Being traded isn't out of the question either.  Rivera could start for some teams now.

2. Bubba Crosby - Acquired from LA in the Robin Ventura trade.  At 27 years old is a little old for AAA.  Crosby hit .302 after being traded to Columbus, but was hitting .361 for Las Vegas prior to the deal.  Has power and seems to be able to hit for average, but its now or never for Crosby.

3. Mike Vento - .300 hitter with respectable power, the 25-year old tore up the Arizona Fall League this year. 

4. Mitch Jones - Another 25-year old.  Hit 23 homeruns for Trenton this season, but struck out 131 times in 136 games.  .430 slugging percentage is pretty nice, but it doesn't look like he's going anywhere.

5. Jared Treadway - 23-year old with good speed (16 steals in 52 games).  Also needs to work on his plate discipline (.18 BB:K ratio), but .343 OBP is encouraging.

 6. Estee Harris - Yankees' second-round draft pick this season, had an excellent first year with the GC Yankees.  Hit six homeruns in 101 at bats, posted a .368 OBP, .545 slugging percentage and even stole four bases.

7. Timothy Battle - Yankees' third-round pick posted a poor .525 OPS and struck out 33 times in 27 games.  Did steal five bases and is only 18.  Has a cool name though.


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