Inside the Numbers: The Yankee Hitting Prospects

Since the time that organized Minor League Baseball began, prospects of many different skill levels have passed through every organization. As a result of this, many questions have frequently been brought up. Besides the ways of traditional scouting, how exactly are minor league players evaluated? What criteria is used to evaluate them? For all that are searching for the answers to these questions, "Inside the Numbers" may be the right place to turn. (Free Preview of Premium Content)

Looking for an alternative to traditional scouting and player evaluation? Are you the type that wants to see things in black and white stated in pure numbers? If this is what you are looking for then lets get to the number crunching.

For anyone that is looking for another angle to prospect evaluation this is the place to be. Is there a way to judge a prospect's potential without using anything except statistics alone? Well, the answer is YES. Over the past couple of decades, the idea of statistical evaluation has burst onto the baseball scene and has become major part of how the game works. More and more, statistics are scrutinized, inspected with the greatest detail, and perhaps most importantly are becoming a part of how a player is looked upon by the baseball community. How is this applied to prospect evaluation? The answer is simple. Using a precise system involving several different statistical concepts, we have formulated a statistics based player rating system in order to express a new angle of player evaluation in regards to the Yankee hitting prospects.

While taking several different factors into account the following system was formulated:

Player Rating=OPS*BA(HR/AB)(RBI/AB)+[(500/AB)(HITS+HBP+BB)]+OBP(SB/ATTEMPTS)](FIELDING PER.)/(AGE-LEVEL)+.75(EXPECTED AGE-ACTUAL AGE)/1.5


Taking into consideration every component of this formula, a precise rating for all 21 of the New York Yankee hitting prospects in the PinstripesPlus Top 40 Prospects were produced.

Rank

Player

Prospect Rating

1

Dioner Navarro

11.34

2

Eric Duncan

8.74

3

Estee Harris

8.54

4

Robinson Cano

8.35

5

Bronson Sardinha

8.19

6

Melky Cabrera

8.11

7

Rudy Guillen

7.32

8

Joaquin Arias

7.16

9

Hector Made

6.98

10

Erold Andrus

6.71

11

Ferdin Tejeda

6.34

12

Kevin Thompson

6.23

13

Jon-Mark Sprowl

6.22

14

Bubba Crosby

5.90

15

Jayson Drobiak

5.89

16

Mike Vento

5.79

17

Brian Myrow

5.73

18

Aaron Rifkin

5.63

19

Edwin Cabrera

5.61

20

Tim Battle

5.39

21

Kevin Reese

5.23



Generally speaking, this is how the Yankee hitting prospects stack up according to our statistically formulated prospect rating system. Proving to be consistently accurate, it gives a strong representation of exactly how the Yankee Minor League hitters rate in regards to the multiple component of the system. The criteria on which these player's rating are based upon are as follows:

* The basic components: Power, Speed, Baserunning, Contact Hitting, Overall Fielding Ability
* A player's organizational level and the challenge that is put forth to them there
* Player's age in regards to their level in the Farm System
* A player's Expected Age for their level in the Farm System versus their actual age and level


To also get into considering a player's age as to what their "Expected Level" should be for their "Expected Age" this system is applied:

For each level of the Farm System a player should typically follow this scale:

Age/Expected Level: 23 at AAA, 22 at AA, 21 at A+, 20 at A

All of these major parts and many other smaller ones as well, help us all to get "Inside the Numbers" in terms of player rating and evaluating.

Many of the other aspects of this complex prospect rating system will be discussed in the forthcoming series of number oriented Player Breakdowns for all of these players seen on the list above. Breakdowns of each player's value in each component of the rating formula will be stated and thoroughly discussed. This will create an intriguing statistical scouting report of each Yankee hitting prospect mentioned.

The first of a series of 21 statistically generated prospect breakdowns will be starting with #21, Kevin Reese in the next upcoming article. Each player from that point on will be broken down in the same fashion, analyzing each component of the rating system by discussing strengths and weaknesses in regards to specific aspects of the formula. Thereafter, the overall rating value will be reiterated and further broken down into a complete and thorough statistical player analysis.

Looking for an alternative? "Inside the Numbers" supplies the required new look of prospect analysis for Yankee farm hands. Get "Inside the Numbers" in the upcoming article with complete statistical analysis for #21, Kevin Reese.

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