Splitsville: Shelley Duncan v1.1

"Splitsville" is a series of articles on the Yankees' prospects that we'll be doing throughout their minor league careers. In version one/chapter one (v1.1) of Shelley Duncan, we'll look how he did against the right-handed pitchers versus the southpaws, how he hit with runners in scoring position, and more.

  • Hits Right-Handed Pitchers Better? Drafted in the second round of the 2001 MLB Draft, Shelley Duncan has made tremendous strides in his offensive game, especially in the power department. He bested his previous career-high 19 home runs of a year ago by launching 34 home runs for Trenton in 2005. As surprising as they may have been, his better success against right-handed pitchers this past year was even more shocking.

    The right-handed slugging first baseman hit just .213 off of Eastern League southpaws this past season and only 43.3% of his hits off of them went for extra bases, a percentage most hitting prospects would cherish. However, Shelley hit righties better in 2005, 37 points higher to be precise. He also hit for more power against them, clubbing 51.5% of his hits for extra bases.

    While the overall .240 batting average - and more to the point his dreadful .213 average against lefties - leave little to be desired, his demonstrative power numbers against right-handed pitchers are too good to be ignored. His power is as legitimate as it gets.

  • May Aberration? Shelley hit just .240 on the year as we pointed out. But the 6'5" & 220 pound slugger hit a robust .292 in his 29 games in the month of May, some 44 points higher than his next highest month (he hit .248 in June). In fact, if you throw out his surprisingly high batting average in May, he hit just .226 the rest of the season. While a .240 average with the type of power production he had is respectable, a .226 average is borderline.

    If there was one area where he was quite consistent all season long it would be in his power numbers. Throwing out the five games he played in September, Duncan had no fewer than six home runs in any one month this past year, hitting seven home runs each in the months of May, July and August, and hitting six apiece in the months of April and June.

  • Fourth or Fifth: Judging from his power numbers it would not come as surprise that Shelley is best suited batting fourth or fifth in the lineup. In fact, he batted clean-up for Trenton in 88 games and hit fifth in 43 games. Only three percentage points separated in his average in the two slots (batting .253 in the 5th spot and .250 in the #4 spot). He hit just .103 in the other spots in the lineup in his other 11 games.

  • No Edge On The Waterfront: Waterfront Park, home of the Trenton Thunder, wasn't exactly an advantage for Shelley Duncan in 2005. He hit .249 at home and .232 on the road. While it would seem he did better at home, the bottom line was he collected one more hit all year long in the friendly confines. And as far as his power numbers go, he hit just two more home runs at home (18) but had identical numbers of runs driven in on the road (46) as he did at home (46). Shelley was very consistent no matter his surroundings this past year.

  • Not Ideal With Runners In Scoring Position: Looking at Shelley Duncan's splits, the numbers that just jump off the page are 20 out of 34. That is how many of his home runs came when the bases were empty. 12 of his 20 home runs that came with nobody on base lead off an inning, which is quite good.

    However, Duncan hit just .212 with runners in scoring position the entire season and boasted a .265 batting average with nobody on base, 25 points higher than his overall season average. It is not like he was striking out either in those situations either. Duncan struck out in 29.3% of his at-bats with nobody on base and just 22.4% of the time with runners on base. If Duncan could just find just a few more holes in the opposing defense when runners were on base, his RBI totals could be downright gaudy.

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  • Hits Right-Handed Pitchers Better? Drafted in the second round of the 2001 MLB Draft, Shelley Duncan has made tremendous strides in his offensive game, especially in the power department. He bested his previous career-high 19 home runs of a year ago by launching 34 home runs for Trenton in 2005. As surprising as they may have been, his better success against right-handed pitchers this past year was even more shocking.
    \r\n
    \r\nThe right-handed slugging first baseman hit just .213 off of Eastern League southpaws this past season and only 43.3% of his hits off of them went for extra bases, a percentage most hitting prospects would cherish. However, Shelley hit righties better in 2005, 37 points higher to be precise. He also hit for more power against them, clubbing 51.5% of his hits for extra bases.
    \r\n
    \r\nWhile the overall .240 batting average - and more to the point his dreadful .213 average against lefties - leave little to be desired, his demonstrative power numbers against right-handed pitchers are too good to be ignored. His power is as legitimate as it gets.
    \r\n
    \r\n

  • May Aberration? Shelley hit just .240 on the year as we pointed out. But the 6'5\" & 220 pound slugger hit a robust .292 in his 29 games in the month of May, some 44 points higher than his next highest month (he hit .248 in June). In fact, if you throw out his surprisingly high batting average in May, he hit just .226 the rest of the season. While a .240 average with the type of power production he had is respectable, a .226 average is borderline.
    \r\n
    \r\nIf there was one area where he was quite consistent all season long it would be in his power numbers. Throwing out the five games he played in September, Duncan had no fewer than six home runs in any one month this past year, hitting seven home runs each in the months of May, July and August, and hitting six apiece in the months of April and June.
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    \r\n

  • Fourth or Fifth: Judging from his power numbers it would not come as surprise that Shelley is best suited batting fourth or fifth in the lineup. In fact, he batted clean-up for Trenton in 88 games and hit fifth in 43 games. Only three percentage points separated in his average in the two slots (batting .253 in the 5th spot and .250 in the #4 spot). He hit just .103 in the other spots in the lineup in his other 11 games.
    \r\n
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  • No Edge On The Waterfront: Waterfront Park, home of the Trenton Thunder, wasn't exactly an advantage for Shelley Duncan in 2005. He hit .249 at home and .232 on the road. While it would seem he did better at home, the bottom line was he collected one more hit all year long in the friendly confines. And as far as his power numbers go, he hit just two more home runs at home (18) but had identical numbers of runs driven in on the road (46) as he did at home (46). Shelley was very consistent no matter his surroundings this past year.
    \r\n
    \r\n

  • Not Ideal With Runners In Scoring Position: Looking at Shelley Duncan's splits, the numbers that just jump off the page are 20 out of 34. That is how many of his home runs came when the bases were empty. 12 of his 20 home runs that came with nobody on base lead off an inning, which is quite good.
    \r\n
    \r\nHowever, Duncan hit just .212 with runners in scoring position the entire season and boasted a .265 batting average with nobody on base, 25 points higher than his overall season average. It is not like he was striking out either in those situations either. Duncan struck out in 29.3% of his at-bats with nobody on base and just 22.4% of the time with runners on base. If Duncan could just find just a few more holes in the opposing defense when runners were on base, his RBI totals could be downright gaudy.
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