Scouting Yankee Prospect #36: Rudy Guillen

Rudy Guillen has never quite lived up to the expectations that were pinned on him after he signed with the Yankees out of the Dominican Republic. But, still blessed with exciting tools in just about every facet of the game, the 22 year old outfielder is still an intriguing prospect. For that reason and more, Guillen is our Yankees' prospect #36.

Vital Statistics:
Name: Rodolfo (Rudy) Guillen
Position: Right Field
DOB: November 23, 1983
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 180
Bats: Right
Throws: Right

A highly touted and greatly publicized free-agent signee out of the Dominican Republic in 2000, Rudy Guillen came into the 2004 season with not only high expectations, but possibly with the tag of the organization's highest ceiling prospect. Guillen truly has the equipment to do it al, but the question remains, when will he put it all together? His 13 home runs and 13 stolen bases in 2003 with Battle Creek was certainly a step in the right direction, but it was also far less than what the Yankees were expecting in the long run. And, rather than fulfilling his potential, Guillen went south in a hurry, hitting just one home run in over 300 at-bats in 2004 with Tampa. Not to mention, he also swiped just one base.

Instead of completely writing off Rudy Guillen, there are some outside factors to consider. Guillen actually suffered an upper ankle injury that may have had a lot to do with his decreased run production this past season. Tampa Yankees' Manager Bill Masse had this to say at the end of the 2004 season on Guillen and his injury: "He twisted it pretty bad and it messed him up for a while. But, not only was his timing just off when he came back, I think he was just still very tentative with it. I guess "tiptoeish" would the way to describe it. He just couldn't get past that I think. He never really let it fly at the plate and that robbed him of all his power. He just wasn't willing to let it go."

Obviously, the down 2004 season and lack of progress in his career diminished Guillen's prospect status entering the 2005 season. But, make no mistake, the skills of a top prospect had not disappeared. Expectations were still very high for Rudy, but no one was quite sure how he'd respond. He ended up responding relatively well, posting a .260 average in Tampa to go along with 6 home runs and 10 stolen bases. This was a far cry from what was expected from him, but progress nonetheless. And, after 100 games, he was promoted to AA-Trenton. After starting off on fire with the Thunder, Rudy faded down the stretch, but still managed to hit .257 with 2 home runs in 28 games.

"In my mind, a lot of these guys have some tools to work with," Tampa Yankees 2005 manager, Joe Breeden told PinstripesPlus.com. "But, one guy that obviously stands out is Rudy Guillen. Here's a guy who has power, potential in the field, and he has pretty much everything you need to be a star player. But, right now, he's having a hard time picking up the breaking ball and in this league the pitchers are more advanced and they've been able to exploit that weakness. That's something he's going to have to work on to be successful."

So, obviously the potential is there but the ability to adjust hasn't quite materialized yet for Rudy Guillen. However, it looks as if he'll get a chance to be the full time, everyday right fielder for the Trenton Thunder in 2006. Whatever the result of his season may be, it will likely be the most pivotal season of his career.

Year

Team

AVG

AB

2B

HR

RBI

R

SB

BB

SO

OBP

SLG

2005 Trenton .257 109 2 2 8 12 0 5 20 .289 .330

2005

Tampa

.260

389

14

6

39

51

10

19

70

.305

.362

2004

Tampa

.264

307

16

1

42

40

1

22

59

.313

.339

2003

Battle Creek

.260

493

29

13

79

64

13

32

87

.311

.414

2002

Gulf Coast

.306

219

7

3

35

38

7

14

39

.351

.397



Batting and Power. To put it simply, despite the combined nine home runs over the past two seasons, Guillen has major power potential. Guillen has displayed power to all fields and at just 22 years old, still has some time to develop. He has the chance to fulfill the power end of the Vladimir Guerrero comparisons, but Guillen does not make enough contact to hit for the same average as Guerrero. He did not strike out at an alarming rate in 2004, but he actually seemed to have regressed the contact hitting department in 2005. His power increased in 2005, but what is alarming is that he not only showed little progress, but made his issues worse in the process.

Base Running and Speed. Guillen is a fast runner and has the ability to steal 20+ bases annually. He's also a smart base runner and is a lot quicker when he's in motion. Guillen can get from first to third with the best of them, but he needs to do some work on getting good jumps in the outfield and utilize his speed.

Defense. Guillen's arm is a major reason why he once drew comparisons to Vladimir Guerrero. Guillen has a shot gun for an arm. He has also shown flashes of a quick first step in the outfield with good range, but he also has a tendency to make mental mistakes as well. He has the ability to play all three outfield positions, but his future appears to be in right field. His defense will aid his progression through the system if he plays with intelligence.

Projection. Guillen once projected to be an everyday starting right fielder at the Major League level, but suddenly that projection doesn't look as much like a reality. The physical tools are all there, but Rudy needs to show progress and make better decisions and adjustments on the field. If he ever realizes his potential, he could be a star in the making.

ETA. Late 2007. Despite his less than stellar 2004 and 2005 showings at the plate, Guillen appears to be in line for a full season at AA-Trenton in 2006 where he'll still be relatively young for the league. Guillen should remain in Trenton for all of 2006 and be on track to play AAA (at age 23) in 2007, with the chance of a late season call up.

Pinstripes Plus Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nVital Statistics:
\r\nName: Rodolfo (Rudy) Guillen
\r\nPosition: Right Field
\r\nDOB: November 23, 1983
\r\nHeight: 6' 3\"
\r\nWeight: 180
\r\nBats: Right
\r\nThrows: Right\r\n

\r\nA highly touted and greatly publicized free-agent signee out of the Dominican Republic in 2000, Rudy Guillen came into the 2004 season with not only high expectations, but possibly with the tag of the organization's highest ceiling prospect. Guillen truly has the equipment to do it al, but the question remains, when will he put it all together? His 13 home runs and 13 stolen bases in 2003 with Battle Creek was certainly a step in the right direction, but it was also far less than what the Yankees were expecting in the long run. And, rather than fulfilling his potential, Guillen went south in a hurry, hitting just one home run in over 300 at-bats in 2004 with Tampa. Not to mention, he also swiped just one base.\r\n

\r\nInstead of completely writing off Rudy Guillen, there are some outside factors to consider. Guillen actually suffered an upper ankle injury that may have had a lot to do with his decreased run production this past season. Tampa Yankees' Manager Bill Masse had this to say at the end of the 2004 season on Guillen and his injury: \"He twisted it pretty bad and it messed him up for a while. But, not only was his timing just off when he came back, I think he was just still very tentative with it. I guess \"tiptoeish\" would the way to describe it. He just couldn't get past that I think. He never really let it fly at the plate and that robbed him of all his power. He just wasn't willing to let it go.\"\r\n

\r\nObviously, the down 2004 season and lack of progress in his career diminished Guillen's prospect status entering the 2005 season. But, make no mistake, the skills of a top prospect had not disappeared. Expectations were still very high for Rudy, but no one was quite sure how he'd respond. He ended up responding relatively well, posting a .260 average in Tampa to go along with 6 home runs and 10 stolen bases. This was a far cry from what was expected from him, but progress nonetheless. And, after 100 games, he was promoted to AA-Trenton. After starting off on fire with the Thunder, Rudy faded down the stretch, but still managed to hit .257 with 2 home runs in 28 games.\r\n

\r\n\"In my mind, a lot of these guys have some tools to work with,\" Tampa Yankees 2005 manager, Joe Breeden told PinstripesPlus.com. \"But, one guy that obviously stands out is Rudy Guillen. Here's a guy who has power, potential in the field, and he has pretty much everything you need to be a star player. But, right now, he's having a hard time picking up the breaking ball and in this league the pitchers are more advanced and they've been able to exploit that weakness. That's something he's going to have to work on to be successful.\"\r\n

\r\nSo, obviously the potential is there but the ability to adjust hasn't quite materialized yet for Rudy Guillen. However, it looks as if he'll get a chance to be the full time, everyday right fielder for the Trenton Thunder in 2006. Whatever the result of his season may be, it will likely be the most pivotal season of his career.\r\n

\r\n\r\n\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\t\r\n\t\r\n
\r\n\t\t

Year

\r\n\t\t

Team

\r\n\t\t

AVG

\r\n\t\t

AB

\r\n\t\t

2B

\r\n\t\t

HR

\r\n\t\t

RBI

\r\n\t\t

R

\r\n\t\t

SB

\r\n\t\t

BB

\r\n\t\t

SO

\r\n\t\t

OBP

\r\n\t\t

SLG

\r\n\t\t2005\r\n\t\tTrenton\r\n\t\t.257\r\n\t\t109\r\n\t\t2\r\n\t\t2\r\n\t\t8\r\n\t\t12\r\n\t\t0\r\n\t\t5\r\n\t\t20\r\n\t\t.289\r\n\t\t.330
\r\n\t\t

2005

\r\n\t\t

Tampa

\r\n\t\t

.260

\r\n\t\t

389

\r\n\t\t

14

\r\n\t\t

6

\r\n\t\t

39

\r\n\t\t

51

\r\n\t\t

10

\r\n\t\t

19

\r\n\t\t

70

\r\n\t\t

.305

\r\n\t\t

.362

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t2004

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\tTampa

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.264

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t307

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t16

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t1

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t42

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t40

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t1

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t22

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t59

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.313

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.339

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t2003

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\tBattle Creek

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.260

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t493

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t29

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t13

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t79

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t64

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t13

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t32

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t87

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.311

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.414

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t2002

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\tGulf Coast

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.306

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t219

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t7

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t3

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t35

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t38

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t7

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t14

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t39

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.351

\r\n\t\t

\r\n\t\t.397

\r\n\r\n

\r\nBatting and Power. To put it simply, despite the combined nine home runs over the past two seasons, Guillen has major power potential. Guillen has displayed power to all fields and at just 22 years old, still has some time to develop. He has the chance to fulfill the power end of the Vladimir Guerrero comparisons, but Guillen does not make enough contact to hit for the same average as Guerrero. He did not strike out at an alarming rate in 2004, but he actually seemed to have regressed the contact hitting department in 2005. His power increased in 2005, but what is alarming is that he not only showed little progress, but made his issues worse in the process.\r\n

\r\nBase Running and Speed. Guillen is a fast runner and has the ability to steal 20+ bases annually. He's also a smart base runner and is a lot quicker when he's in motion. Guillen can get from first to third with the best of them, but he needs to do some work on getting good jumps in the outfield and utilize his speed.\r\n

\r\nDefense. Guillen's arm is a major reason why he once drew comparisons to Vladimir Guerrero. Guillen has a shot gun for an arm. He has also shown flashes of a quick first step in the outfield with good range, but he also has a tendency to make mental mistakes as well. He has the ability to play all three outfield positions, but his future appears to be in right field. His defense will aid his progression through the system if he plays with intelligence.\r\n

\r\nProjection. Guillen once projected to be an everyday starting right fielder at the Major League level, but suddenly that projection doesn't look as much like a reality. The physical tools are all there, but Rudy needs to show progress and make better decisions and adjustments on the field. If he ever realizes his potential, he could be a star in the making.\r\n

\r\nETA. Late 2007. Despite his less than stellar 2004 and 2005 showings at the plate, Guillen appears to be in line for a full season at AA-Trenton in 2006 where he'll still be relatively young for the league. Guillen should remain in Trenton for all of 2006 and be on track to play AAA (at age 23) in 2007, with the chance of a late season call up.\r\n","mobileBody":" ","skipOnMobile":true,"media":[],"dateOverride":"2005-12-26T13:51:00","authorOverride":"Frankie Piliere","role":"","isPremium":true,"isHotNews":false,"isRumor":false,"syndicationFlag":true,"isClassified":true,"hotNamesLinked":true,"storyImage":"[MEDIA:254574]","mainImage":{},"thumbnailImage":"[THUMBNAIL:254574]","heroImage":{},"authorImage":"","tags":[{"id":"158","name":"New York 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