Splitsville: Eric Duncan v1.1

"Splitsville" is a series of articles on the Yankees' prospects that we'll be doing throughout their minor league careers. In version one/chapter one (v1.1) of Eric Duncan, we'll look how he did against the right-handed pitchers versus the southpaws, how he hit with runners in scoring position, and more.

  • Finished What He Started: For the first time in his career, Eric Duncan finished the year with the same team he started with in one season. Prior to 2005, Duncan had moved from league to league and from level to level, being rushed through the minor league system. While his home runs (19) increased, his doubles (15) were significantly less than the 43 he hit the year prior. Duncan, who is seemingly destined for AAA-Columbus, could use a little more seasoning at the AA-level where he would still be one of the youngest players in the entire Eastern League.

  • Still Not Comfortable: Further evidence that Duncan hasn't hit any sort of comfort level in the batter's box were his splits with runners on base versus without runners on base. Duncan has earned the reputation as a clutch hitter, even gaining top prospect status, despite not exactly proving it on the field.

    Duncan hit .250 with the bases empty in 2005 and just .217 with runners on base. Taking it a step further though, Duncan batted .281 when leading off an inning and a mere .197 with runners in scoring position. 11 of his 19 home runs and 10 of his 15 doubles came with the bases empty. Throw in the fact his strikeout ratios - striking out once every 2.8 at-bats with runners on base and just once every 3.9 at-bats with the bases empty - Duncan clearly wasn't comfortable batting with runners on base or in the clutch situations.

  • Better Further Down: Duncan is widely considered a #3 or #4 hitter in any lineup because of his plus power potential and mature approach at the plate. At least judging from his 2005 splits with the Trenton Thunder, that isn't the case just yet. Of course he was one of the youngest players in the league, but he hit just a combined .201 with five home runs batting either second, third, or fourth in the Trenton lineup last year.

    Batting either fifth or sixth in the lineup however, Duncan enjoyed much more success, hitting a combined .257 in those spots in the batting order with 14 of his 19 home runs. Challenging players is a great concept. But sooner or later a player needs to start developing a comfort level at certain spots and in specific situations and Eric Duncan hasn't been able to do that just yet.

  • Southpaws Not A Problem: One of the things that has the Yankees excited is Duncan, a sweet-swing lefty, handles left-handed pitchers nearly as well as he does right-handed pitchers. Duncan, who hit .237 against righties, mustered up a .230 average against left-handed hurlers.

    In fact, his .122 walk ratio against left-handed pitchers was almost identical to his .125 walk ratio against right-handed batters and his home run percentages against both sets of pitchers was nearly the same as well. Duncan's consistent approach and success against both left-handed and right-handed pitchers is a big reason why he remains one of the top prospects in the system.

  • The Dog Days Of Summer: It is well known that Duncan had an off-year in 2005, but it can easily be written off considering his age and the level he was playing at last year. But a mid-summer swoon made his year appear much worse than it actually was in 2005. Duncan had streaks of two games, three games, and four games without a hit, contributing to a .182 average in the month of July.

    In fact, if you throw out his dreadful numbers in July, Duncan would have hit .250 on the year. While that is still below the levels expected from a player of Duncan's abilities, it wouldn't have seemed quite as bad. Duncan's approach at the plate down the stretch also suffered. He drew just 16 walks in his final 47 games with the Trenton Thunder. In comparison, he drew 20 walks in 28 games in the month of June, closer to his normal walk ratio.

  • Waterfront Property: Eric Duncan enjoyed a little more success at Waterfront Park, home of the Trenton Thunder, in 2005. Just a .221 hitter on the road, Duncan hit .249 at home. He also smacked twice as many doubles (10) at home than he did on the road (5), a big reason why he had more RBI at Waterfront Park.

    One interesting split to keep an eye on is Duncan's strikeout ratios at home. Duncan struck out nearly once every three at-bats at Waterfront Park and only once every four at-bats on the road. It isn't a huge deal but the differences are significant enough to warrant a watchful eye as he continues to progress through the farm system.

  • Pinstripes Plus Top Stories

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  • Finished What He Started: For the first time in his career, Eric Duncan finished the year with the same team he started with in one season. Prior to 2005, Duncan had moved from league to league and from level to level, being rushed through the minor league system. While his home runs (19) increased, his doubles (15) were significantly less than the 43 he hit the year prior. Duncan, who is seemingly destined for AAA-Columbus, could use a little more seasoning at the AA-level where he would still be one of the youngest players in the entire Eastern League.
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  • Still Not Comfortable: Further evidence that Duncan hasn't hit any sort of comfort level in the batter's box were his splits with runners on base versus without runners on base. Duncan has earned the reputation as a clutch hitter, even gaining top prospect status, despite not exactly proving it on the field.
    \r\n
    \r\nDuncan hit .250 with the bases empty in 2005 and just .217 with runners on base. Taking it a step further though, Duncan batted .281 when leading off an inning and a mere .197 with runners in scoring position. 11 of his 19 home runs and 10 of his 15 doubles came with the bases empty. Throw in the fact his strikeout ratios - striking out once every 2.8 at-bats with runners on base and just once every 3.9 at-bats with the bases empty - Duncan clearly wasn't comfortable batting with runners on base or in the clutch situations.
    \r\n
    \r\n

  • Better Further Down: Duncan is widely considered a #3 or #4 hitter in any lineup because of his plus power potential and mature approach at the plate. At least judging from his 2005 splits with the Trenton Thunder, that isn't the case just yet. Of course he was one of the youngest players in the league, but he hit just a combined .201 with five home runs batting either second, third, or fourth in the Trenton lineup last year.
    \r\n
    \r\nBatting either fifth or sixth in the lineup however, Duncan enjoyed much more success, hitting a combined .257 in those spots in the batting order with 14 of his 19 home runs. Challenging players is a great concept. But sooner or later a player needs to start developing a comfort level at certain spots and in specific situations and Eric Duncan hasn't been able to do that just yet.
    \r\n
    \r\n

  • Southpaws Not A Problem: One of the things that has the Yankees excited is Duncan, a sweet-swing lefty, handles left-handed pitchers nearly as well as he does right-handed pitchers. Duncan, who hit .237 against righties, mustered up a .230 average against left-handed hurlers.
    \r\n
    \r\nIn fact, his .122 walk ratio against left-handed pitchers was almost identical to his .125 walk ratio against right-handed batters and his home run percentages against both sets of pitchers was nearly the same as well. Duncan's consistent approach and success against both left-handed and right-handed pitchers is a big reason why he remains one of the top prospects in the system.
    \r\n
    \r\n

  • The Dog Days Of Summer: It is well known that Duncan had an off-year in 2005, but it can easily be written off considering his age and the level he was playing at last year. But a mid-summer swoon made his year appear much worse than it actually was in 2005. Duncan had streaks of two games, three games, and four games without a hit, contributing to a .182 average in the month of July.
    \r\n
    \r\nIn fact, if you throw out his dreadful numbers in July, Duncan would have hit .250 on the year. While that is still below the levels expected from a player of Duncan's abilities, it wouldn't have seemed quite as bad. Duncan's approach at the plate down the stretch also suffered. He drew just 16 walks in his final 47 games with the Trenton Thunder. In comparison, he drew 20 walks in 28 games in the month of June, closer to his normal walk ratio.
    \r\n
    \r\n

  • Waterfront Property: Eric Duncan enjoyed a little more success at Waterfront Park, home of the Trenton Thunder, in 2005. Just a .221 hitter on the road, Duncan hit .249 at home. He also smacked twice as many doubles (10) at home than he did on the road (5), a big reason why he had more RBI at Waterfront Park.
    \r\n
    \r\nOne interesting split to keep an eye on is Duncan's strikeout ratios at home. Duncan struck out nearly once every three at-bats at Waterfront Park and only once every four at-bats on the road. It isn't a huge deal but the differences are significant enough to warrant a watchful eye as he continues to progress through the farm system.
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