Yankees Prospect Over/Unders - Part Two

In Las Vegas fashion, we set various over/under marks for various Yankees prospects in 2008 and will continue the discussion in our subscribers-only forum. What is the over/under for Jesus Montero's home run total? Will Austin Jackson hit over .300 again in 2008? How many levels will Christian Garcia move up in 2008? We discuss all this and more.

Over/Unders

Home Run Total For Jesus Montero - 14: We're basing his total on the stipulation he will be playing in the long-season leagues in 2008. The Venezuelan slugger hit five home runs in his first 123 professional at-bats, and even projecting him to catch no more than 80 games in his first full-season, he should come close to achieving this level. We're banking on a few games as the designated hitter this coming season as well. OVER.

Stolen Base Total For Abraham Almonte - 40: The speedster stole just eight bases for the Gulf Coast League Yankees after swiping 36 for DSL Yankees1 in just 63 games back in 2006. Focusing more on his transition to the outfield last season, however, he never really found his comfort zone offensively. He's still a bit erratic on the base paths, getting caught a little too frequently, but he's way too fast not to approach the 40 stolen base plateau in 2008. OVER.

ERA Mark For Arodys Vizcaino - 3.00: Last year's top international free agent signing among the pitchers, the 17-year old right-hander will make his professional debut in 2008. Armed with great stuff, good command, and one who works fast, he projects to have a wonderful first season in Pinstripes. We're betting on Jairo Heredia-like results. UNDER.

Number Of Levels For Christian Garcia - 1.5: Yes he pitched at two different levels [Gulf Coast League and South Atlantic League] the last time he threw in-season, but we're not going to count the short-season leagues going forward. We're banking that seeing guys signed after him reach the big leagues before him has served as enough motivation for Garcia to put the proverbial pedal to the metal and pitch in at least two long-season leagues this coming season. OVER.

ERA Mark For Adam Olbrychowski - 4.00: The raw power arm from Pepperdine University had an inauspicious professional debut with the Staten Island Yankees last season, going 3-5 with a 4.47 ERA. While his command was a bit shaky, walking 33 batters in 58 innings, his stuff is just too good not to bounce back with a solid first full season in 2008 and get the free-swinging batters in the South Atlantic League out. UNDER.

Batting Average For Justin Snyder - .310: While he hit .335 in his professional debut season, and that was after a considerable cold stretch to end the year, it would be unfair to expect a similar average over the course of his first full season in 2008. He is still a very, very good hitter, and while we expect the average to come down, we still think he'll be among the league leaders in batting this coming season. OVER.

Number Of Strikeouts For Angel Reyes - 120: The southpaw struck out just 49 batters in an injury-riddled 2007 campaign and suffered with command problems even before that. His stuff is just way too good to ignore and too advanced not to get out the lower-level batters. We're expecting a return to his 2006 form, and if he does that, he'll pile up the strikeouts. OVER.

Home Run Total For Josue Calzado - 12: After setting a career-high with nine home runs last season after entering that year with just six career home runs, the Dominican native is slowly starting to come into his own and show his high-ceiling potential. The reports from early pre-Spring Training workouts down in the Dominican Republic have been outstanding and we believe he'll set a new career-high once again in 2008. OVER.

ERA Mark For Eric Wordekemper - 1.50: The 2007 Florida State League Pitcher of the Year posted a ridiculous 0.57 ERA. Like Snyder, however, expecting a repeat performance of incredible proportions would be highly unrealistic. Entering the 2008 season with a tiny 1.65 career ERA, it would seem he will have to come back down to earth at some point, right? Slightly OVER.

Batting Average For Austin Jackson - .300: Just a .260 hitter in 770 at-bats over two stints with the Charleston Riverdogs, the former prep basketball star came out nowhere to hit 85 points higher in 258 at-bats in the pitching-friendly Florida State League last season, leaving many people questioning which is the real Austin Jackson. While some may be waiting for the glass slipper to fall off, it won't be by much. OVER.

ERA Mark For Daniel McCutchen - 2.50: Despite proving to be remarkably consistent at the professional level so far, the former University of Oklahoma hurler's critics continue to doubt his abilities. Posting a career 2.37 ERA so far, it would seem highly unlikely anybody would be able to keep up that kind of pace, especially as he moves up the higher minor league levels. Chalk us up as believers. UNDER.

Home Run Total For Colin Curtis - 12: The Arizona State product entered the Yankees farm system with little fanfare, mostly because he had never hit more than six home runs in any one collegiate season. ASU hitters are notorious late-bloomers in the power department, however, and Curtis matched his last two years home run totals in college with eight home runs last season - and we believe more power is coming. OVER.

Strikeout Total For David Robertson - 100: The former University of Alabama closer had one of the more incredible professional debut seasons last year, going 8-3 with a 0.96 ERA and 113 strikeouts in 84 innings. While it would seem eclipsing the century mark in punchouts once again wouldn't be a difficult feat, the Yankees are notorious for stretching out their first-year relievers. Even though he may get a little less work innings-wise, we still think he'll hit the mark. OVER.

Batting Average For Eric Duncan - .250: It might appear we're walking the line with Duncan's over/under since he's a career .250 hitter, but considering he hasn't hit above that level since hitting .254 with the Tampa Yankees back in 2004, statistically, it's far from a given. We believe he is a much better hitter than he's shown thus far and that he'll start proving it more in 2008. OVER.


Pinstripes Plus Top Stories

\r\n \r\n\r\nOver/Unders
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total For Jesus Montero - 14: We're basing his total on the stipulation he will be playing in the long-season leagues in 2008. The Venezuelan slugger hit five home runs in his first 123 professional at-bats, and even projecting him to catch no more than 80 games in his first full-season, he should come close to achieving this level. We're banking on a few games as the designated hitter this coming season as well. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nStolen Base Total For Abraham Almonte - 40: The speedster stole just eight bases for the Gulf Coast League Yankees after swiping 36 for DSL Yankees1 in just 63 games back in 2006. Focusing more on his transition to the outfield last season, however, he never really found his comfort zone offensively. He's still a bit erratic on the base paths, getting caught a little too frequently, but he's way too fast not to approach the 40 stolen base plateau in 2008. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nERA Mark For Arodys Vizcaino - 3.00: Last year's top international free agent signing among the pitchers, the 17-year old right-hander will make his professional debut in 2008. Armed with great stuff, good command, and one who works fast, he projects to have a wonderful first season in Pinstripes. We're betting on Jairo Heredia-like results. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Levels For Christian Garcia - 1.5: Yes he pitched at two different levels [Gulf Coast League and South Atlantic League] the last time he threw in-season, but we're not going to count the short-season leagues going forward. We're banking that seeing guys signed after him reach the big leagues before him has served as enough motivation for Garcia to put the proverbial pedal to the metal and pitch in at least two long-season leagues this coming season. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nERA Mark For Adam Olbrychowski - 4.00: The raw power arm from Pepperdine University had an inauspicious professional debut with the Staten Island Yankees last season, going 3-5 with a 4.47 ERA. While his command was a bit shaky, walking 33 batters in 58 innings, his stuff is just too good not to bounce back with a solid first full season in 2008 and get the free-swinging batters in the South Atlantic League out. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average For Justin Snyder - .310: While he hit .335 in his professional debut season, and that was after a considerable cold stretch to end the year, it would be unfair to expect a similar average over the course of his first full season in 2008. He is still a very, very good hitter, and while we expect the average to come down, we still think he'll be among the league leaders in batting this coming season. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Strikeouts For Angel Reyes - 120: The southpaw struck out just 49 batters in an injury-riddled 2007 campaign and suffered with command problems even before that. His stuff is just way too good to ignore and too advanced not to get out the lower-level batters. We're expecting a return to his 2006 form, and if he does that, he'll pile up the strikeouts. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total For Josue Calzado - 12: After setting a career-high with nine home runs last season after entering that year with just six career home runs, the Dominican native is slowly starting to come into his own and show his high-ceiling potential. The reports from early pre-Spring Training workouts down in the Dominican Republic have been outstanding and we believe he'll set a new career-high once again in 2008. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nERA Mark For Eric Wordekemper - 1.50: The 2007 Florida State League Pitcher of the Year posted a ridiculous 0.57 ERA. Like Snyder, however, expecting a repeat performance of incredible proportions would be highly unrealistic. Entering the 2008 season with a tiny 1.65 career ERA, it would seem he will have to come back down to earth at some point, right? Slightly OVER.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average For Austin Jackson - .300: Just a .260 hitter in 770 at-bats over two stints with the Charleston Riverdogs, the former prep basketball star came out nowhere to hit 85 points higher in 258 at-bats in the pitching-friendly Florida State League last season, leaving many people questioning which is the real Austin Jackson. While some may be waiting for the glass slipper to fall off, it won't be by much. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nERA Mark For Daniel McCutchen - 2.50: Despite proving to be remarkably consistent at the professional level so far, the former University of Oklahoma hurler's critics continue to doubt his abilities. Posting a career 2.37 ERA so far, it would seem highly unlikely anybody would be able to keep up that kind of pace, especially as he moves up the higher minor league levels. Chalk us up as believers. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total For Colin Curtis - 12: The Arizona State product entered the Yankees farm system with little fanfare, mostly because he had never hit more than six home runs in any one collegiate season. ASU hitters are notorious late-bloomers in the power department, however, and Curtis matched his last two years home run totals in college with eight home runs last season - and we believe more power is coming. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nStrikeout Total For David Robertson - 100: The former University of Alabama closer had one of the more incredible professional debut seasons last year, going 8-3 with a 0.96 ERA and 113 strikeouts in 84 innings. While it would seem eclipsing the century mark in punchouts once again wouldn't be a difficult feat, the Yankees are notorious for stretching out their first-year relievers. Even though he may get a little less work innings-wise, we still think he'll hit the mark. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average For Eric Duncan - .250: It might appear we're walking the line with Duncan's over/under since he's a career .250 hitter, but considering he hasn't hit above that level since hitting .254 with the Tampa Yankees back in 2004, statistically, it's far from a given. We believe he is a much better hitter than he's shown thus far and that he'll start proving it more in 2008. OVER.
\r\n
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