Yankees Prospect Over/Unders

In Las Vegas fashion, we set various over/under marks for various Yankees prospects in 2008 and will continue the discussion in our subscribers-only forum. What is the over/under for Jesus Montero's home run total? How low will Manny Banuelos' ERA be this upcoming season? How many strikeouts will Christian Garcia have in 2008? We discuss all this and more.

Over/Unders

ERA Mark For Manny Banuelos - 3.25: Quickly becoming arguably the most important International signee last year, the left-hander didn't disappoint in his debut season by going 4-1 with a 2.57 ERA with the Gulf Coast League Yankees. He seems destined for the Charleston Riverdogs this coming season, however, and the long-season leagues are a different story for young hurlers. Setting his ERA over/under based on Jairo Heredia's mark last season, we believe the soon-to-be 18-year old has the game to hold his own in the South Atlantic League. UNDER.

Batting Average For Abraham Almonte - .280: Almonte hit a disastrous .191 after the All-Star break last season en route to a final .228 mark for the whole season, bringing his career average down to .246 in his three professional seasons. Selective and patient at the plate, however, one who has a career on-base percentage exactly one-hundred points higher, he is a much better hitter than he's shown thus far. With his blazing speed and overall approach, we're banking on his true abilities coming through. OVER.

Home Run Total For Austin Jackson - 15: 'Action' Jackson hit nine home runs last season after hitting 13 the season before. Whether he tired down the stretch or if he changed his approach, the fact is he hit just one home run in the second-half last season and that seems a bit fluky for a strong player. We're betting on a more consistent season power-wise from start to finish and topping his previous career high in round-trippers. OVER.

Number Of Levels For Jeremy Bleich - 1.5: Last year's supplemental first round pick signed too late to get any substantial in-season minor league experience. He got indoctrinated into the professional ranks in the Hawaiian Winter League and posted a scintillating 1.77 ERA with the Waikiki BeachBoys. He offers three big league pitches, plus command, and great pitch-ability, so much so we believe it's possible he could have an Ian Kennedy-like first full season and advance a couple of levels. OVER.

Error Total for Carmen Angelini - 25: Angelini's sub-par professional debut season, a year that saw him hit just .236 with four home runs, was also marred by 42 errors at shortstop. His superb range allows him to get to many balls other shortstops might not get to and that does contribute to some of his errors when he tries to force the action, but he's just too good to not significantly reduce his '07 numbers. UNDER.

Number Of Strikeouts For Christian Garcia - 150: Only three Yankees farmhands eclipsed this total over the past two seasons - Ian Kennedy [163] and Alan Horne [165] back in 2007, and George Kontos [152] last season. And even though Garcia struck out just 65 batters last season, he has averaged nearly ten strikeouts per nine innings over his career. His biggest problem has been his inability to stay healthy long enough to pile up the strikeout totals. After three injury plagued years, we're banking on the breakout season we've been waiting on. OVER.

Stolen Base Total For Ray Kruml - 30: Last year's eleventh-round pick led the Staten Island Yankees with 13 stolen bases. While that is an accomplishment, it doesn't truly indicate just how fast he truly is. Despite hitting .294, he drew just 16 walks and that limited his stolen base opportunities. He can be much more selective than he has proven thus far and get on-base at a higher rate, and that should increase his chances to swipe bases. He really should blow this total out of the water. OVER.

ERA Mark For D.J. Mitchell - 3.50: Last year's tenth-round pick signed too late to see any official minor league game action at all and he had to wait until the Instructional League to get his feet wet. Seldom to tenth-round picks have his kind of stuff, however, and his plus sinker is just too special to not have an immediate impact in his professional debut season this year. UNDER.

Home Run Total For Jesus Montero - 17: The slugging catcher had a wonderful debut in the long-season leagues last year. Not only did he hit .326, but he smacked 17 home runs for the Charleston Riverdogs. Now ticketed for the pitching-friendly Florida State League where its vast ballparks are only rivaled by its devastating heat, conventional wisdom would suggest that he might have a hard time repeating his power numbers of a year ago. All bets are off with his special bat, however. OVER.

Number Of Strikeouts For Jairo Heredia - 150: Heredia had a respectable first full-season a year ago, posting a 3.25 ERA and striking out twice as many as he walked with the Charleston Riverdogs. But while he was quite solid, he has a lot more left in the tank. He battled some nagging injuries throughout the season and he never really found his rhythm. A bump of 40-50 more innings this coming season, which is expected, would make him a strong bet to reach this total, and in our opinion, surpass it. OVER.

Batting Average For Kyle Higashioka - .290: Last year's seventh-round pick hit just .261 in 18 games with the Gulf Coast League Yankees, which actually disguises the fact he is a very, very good hitter. It might be too much to expect him to hit .300 like Romine did in his first full-year last season, but it wouldn't be surprising if he did. OVER.

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\r\n \r\n\r\nOver/Unders
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\r\nERA Mark For Manny Banuelos - 3.25: Quickly becoming arguably the most important International signee last year, the left-hander didn't disappoint in his debut season by going 4-1 with a 2.57 ERA with the Gulf Coast League Yankees. He seems destined for the Charleston Riverdogs this coming season, however, and the long-season leagues are a different story for young hurlers. Setting his ERA over/under based on Jairo Heredia's mark last season, we believe the soon-to-be 18-year old has the game to hold his own in the South Atlantic League. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average For Abraham Almonte - .280: Almonte hit a disastrous .191 after the All-Star break last season en route to a final .228 mark for the whole season, bringing his career average down to .246 in his three professional seasons. Selective and patient at the plate, however, one who has a career on-base percentage exactly one-hundred points higher, he is a much better hitter than he's shown thus far. With his blazing speed and overall approach, we're banking on his true abilities coming through. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total For Austin Jackson - 15: 'Action' Jackson hit nine home runs last season after hitting 13 the season before. Whether he tired down the stretch or if he changed his approach, the fact is he hit just one home run in the second-half last season and that seems a bit fluky for a strong player. We're betting on a more consistent season power-wise from start to finish and topping his previous career high in round-trippers. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Levels For Jeremy Bleich - 1.5: Last year's supplemental first round pick signed too late to get any substantial in-season minor league experience. He got indoctrinated into the professional ranks in the Hawaiian Winter League and posted a scintillating 1.77 ERA with the Waikiki BeachBoys. He offers three big league pitches, plus command, and great pitch-ability, so much so we believe it's possible he could have an Ian Kennedy-like first full season and advance a couple of levels. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nError Total for Carmen Angelini - 25: Angelini's sub-par professional debut season, a year that saw him hit just .236 with four home runs, was also marred by 42 errors at shortstop. His superb range allows him to get to many balls other shortstops might not get to and that does contribute to some of his errors when he tries to force the action, but he's just too good to not significantly reduce his '07 numbers. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Strikeouts For Christian Garcia - 150: Only three Yankees farmhands eclipsed this total over the past two seasons - Ian Kennedy [163] and Alan Horne [165] back in 2007, and George Kontos [152] last season. And even though Garcia struck out just 65 batters last season, he has averaged nearly ten strikeouts per nine innings over his career. His biggest problem has been his inability to stay healthy long enough to pile up the strikeout totals. After three injury plagued years, we're banking on the breakout season we've been waiting on. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nStolen Base Total For Ray Kruml - 30: Last year's eleventh-round pick led the Staten Island Yankees with 13 stolen bases. While that is an accomplishment, it doesn't truly indicate just how fast he truly is. Despite hitting .294, he drew just 16 walks and that limited his stolen base opportunities. He can be much more selective than he has proven thus far and get on-base at a higher rate, and that should increase his chances to swipe bases. He really should blow this total out of the water. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nERA Mark For D.J. Mitchell - 3.50: Last year's tenth-round pick signed too late to see any official minor league game action at all and he had to wait until the Instructional League to get his feet wet. Seldom to tenth-round picks have his kind of stuff, however, and his plus sinker is just too special to not have an immediate impact in his professional debut season this year. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total For Jesus Montero - 17: The slugging catcher had a wonderful debut in the long-season leagues last year. Not only did he hit .326, but he smacked 17 home runs for the Charleston Riverdogs. Now ticketed for the pitching-friendly Florida State League where its vast ballparks are only rivaled by its devastating heat, conventional wisdom would suggest that he might have a hard time repeating his power numbers of a year ago. All bets are off with his special bat, however. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Strikeouts For Jairo Heredia - 150: Heredia had a respectable first full-season a year ago, posting a 3.25 ERA and striking out twice as many as he walked with the Charleston Riverdogs. But while he was quite solid, he has a lot more left in the tank. He battled some nagging injuries throughout the season and he never really found his rhythm. A bump of 40-50 more innings this coming season, which is expected, would make him a strong bet to reach this total, and in our opinion, surpass it. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average For Kyle Higashioka - .290: Last year's seventh-round pick hit just .261 in 18 games with the Gulf Coast League Yankees, which actually disguises the fact he is a very, very good hitter. It might be too much to expect him to hit .300 like Romine did in his first full-year last season, but it wouldn't be surprising if he did. OVER.
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