Yankees Prospect Over/Unders - Part Two

In Las Vegas fashion, we set various over/under marks for various Yankees prospects in 2009 and will continue the discussion in our subscribers-only forum. What is the over/under for Kelvin De Leon's home run total? Will Eduardo Sosa go back to approaching .300 again? How many many levels will Andrew Brackman advance in 2010? We discuss all this and more.

Batting Average For Austin Romine - .290: The young backstop hit just .276 with the Tampa Yankees last year after hitting an even .300 for the Charleston Riverdogs the year prior. He still managed to win the Florida State League Hitter of the Year Award, however, and he was hitting as high as .285 with a little more than three weeks left in the season last year. We expect him to be a little more prepared for the rigors of catching everyday in 2010. OVER.

ERA Mark For Manny Banuelos - 3.25: It might not seem we're going out on the biggest limb on this one considering Banuelos posted a 2.57 ERA in the Gulf Coast League two years ago and a 2.67 ERA in the South Atlantic League last year. While it's true sooner or later all pitchers have to struggle, it doesn't seem like Banuelos will struggle too much as long he has the same curveball in 2010 that he had towards the end of the 2009 season. UNDER.

Home Run Total For Melky Mesa - 17: He hit 20 home runs last year and did it in less than 500 at-bats. And considering he failed to hit a home run over the last five weeks of the season, it would stand to reason that he won't be as bad down the stretch again in 2010. However, if he shows up as the same pull-happy hitter he was towards the end of the year, he could see similar home run struggles. UNDER.

Number Of Levels For Andrew Brackman - 1.5: Brackman's 2-12 record and 5.91 ERA were pretty atrocious last season with the Charleston Riverdogs, but hidden in those numbers was a 2.70 ERA in his final nine games. He even pitched a lot better than that during Instructs. He finished the season so strong that it should help propel him in 2010. We're betting on at least two minor league stops this season. OVER.

Number Of Strikeouts For Caleb Cotham - 120: The problem for most first-year pitchers [yes Cotham pitched in '09 but he logged just a handful of innings] is they are usually on an innings restriction, and that might even be more of the case for Cotham after having minor knee surgery after the draft last year. Still, he has plus stuff across the board and we expect him to make a huge mark in 2010. OVER.

Stolen Base Total For Zoilo Almonte - 20: Almonte had a terrific year with the Staten Island Yankees last season, including stealing a career-high 15 bases in 69 games. One of the front-runners to land a starting outfield job with the Charleston Riverdogs, it would seem pretty logical that he'd blow by our total in 2010. However, his prior career-high was four stolen bases and we'd like to see him have another successful season on the base paths before we're sold on his newfound speed. UNDER.

Home Run Total For Kelvin De Leon - 12: The young Dominican slugger clubbed seven home runs for the Gulf Coast League Yankees last season, accomplishing that feat in just 56 games. Setting his mark at nearly double last year's total is banking on him breaking camp with the long-season leagues and having at least as good a season as last year. It'll be somewhat dicey but we're banking on both. OVER.

ERA Mark For Andrew Brackman - 4.00: We're double-dipping on Brackman here. Not only are we expecting him to advance at least two minor league levels in 2010, we believe he's due to shave off at least two runs from his '09 ERA. The changeup is still non-existent and he'll struggle with that at least initially, but his mechanics and confidence shouldn't be nearly as shaky in the early going this season. UNDER.

Batting Average For Eduardo Sosa - .280: If we had posted his over/under at this mark a year ago, especially coming off of his terrific .315 debut season, we might have been laughed at. However, he hit just .200 in his first year in the United States last year. We're betting on the fact he just needed some time to adjust to his new surroundings and bounce-back to respectable numbers in 2010. OVER.

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\r\n \r\n\r\nBatting Average For Austin Romine - .290: The young backstop hit just .276 with the Tampa Yankees last year after hitting an even .300 for the Charleston Riverdogs the year prior. He still managed to win the Florida State League Hitter of the Year Award, however, and he was hitting as high as .285 with a little more than three weeks left in the season last year. We expect him to be a little more prepared for the rigors of catching everyday in 2010. OVER.
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\r\nERA Mark For Manny Banuelos - 3.25: It might not seem we're going out on the biggest limb on this one considering Banuelos posted a 2.57 ERA in the Gulf Coast League two years ago and a 2.67 ERA in the South Atlantic League last year. While it's true sooner or later all pitchers have to struggle, it doesn't seem like Banuelos will struggle too much as long he has the same curveball in 2010 that he had towards the end of the 2009 season. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total For Melky Mesa - 17: He hit 20 home runs last year and did it in less than 500 at-bats. And considering he failed to hit a home run over the last five weeks of the season, it would stand to reason that he won't be as bad down the stretch again in 2010. However, if he shows up as the same pull-happy hitter he was towards the end of the year, he could see similar home run struggles. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Levels For Andrew Brackman - 1.5: Brackman's 2-12 record and 5.91 ERA were pretty atrocious last season with the Charleston Riverdogs, but hidden in those numbers was a 2.70 ERA in his final nine games. He even pitched a lot better than that during Instructs. He finished the season so strong that it should help propel him in 2010. We're betting on at least two minor league stops this season. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nNumber Of Strikeouts For Caleb Cotham - 120: The problem for most first-year pitchers [yes Cotham pitched in '09 but he logged just a handful of innings] is they are usually on an innings restriction, and that might even be more of the case for Cotham after having minor knee surgery after the draft last year. Still, he has plus stuff across the board and we expect him to make a huge mark in 2010. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nStolen Base Total For Zoilo Almonte - 20: Almonte had a terrific year with the Staten Island Yankees last season, including stealing a career-high 15 bases in 69 games. One of the front-runners to land a starting outfield job with the Charleston Riverdogs, it would seem pretty logical that he'd blow by our total in 2010. However, his prior career-high was four stolen bases and we'd like to see him have another successful season on the base paths before we're sold on his newfound speed. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nHome Run Total For Kelvin De Leon - 12: The young Dominican slugger clubbed seven home runs for the Gulf Coast League Yankees last season, accomplishing that feat in just 56 games. Setting his mark at nearly double last year's total is banking on him breaking camp with the long-season leagues and having at least as good a season as last year. It'll be somewhat dicey but we're banking on both. OVER.
\r\n
\r\nERA Mark For Andrew Brackman - 4.00: We're double-dipping on Brackman here. Not only are we expecting him to advance at least two minor league levels in 2010, we believe he's due to shave off at least two runs from his '09 ERA. The changeup is still non-existent and he'll struggle with that at least initially, but his mechanics and confidence shouldn't be nearly as shaky in the early going this season. UNDER.
\r\n
\r\nBatting Average For Eduardo Sosa - .280: If we had posted his over/under at this mark a year ago, especially coming off of his terrific .315 debut season, we might have been laughed at. However, he hit just .200 in his first year in the United States last year. We're betting on the fact he just needed some time to adjust to his new surroundings and bounce-back to respectable numbers in 2010. OVER.
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