MAVNALYSIS: Pros And Cons On K. Martin

Why would the Mavs want Houston's Kevin Martin? The statistical pros and cons on a player DallasBasketball.com is reporting the Mavs "intensely covet''… in MAVNALYSIS:

By now, you know about Fish's breaking story involving Houston and Dallas and Brendan Haywood and Martin.

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Kevin Martin

Points

25.9

Rebounds

3.3

Assists

2.8

Steals

0.7

Blocks

0.2

TO

2.5

FG%

0.442

FGA

16.4

3P%

0.434

3PA

5.9

FT%

0.907

FTA

9.8

PROS

  • He can score, putting up 0.72 points per minute (would be first on the Mavs as Dirk is at 0.69).

  • He shoots efficiently. He shoots a good percentage for a shooting guard (.442), has an outstanding three point shot (.434, would be 2nd on the Mavs), and s one of the best free throw shooters in the league (.907, would be 1st on the Mavs).

  • He gets to the line. He shoots 9.8 free throws/36 and this is the third time in his career he has averaged 9.0+ free throws/36 (on the Mavs Mahinmi averages 8.0, Ajinca 6.0, and Dirk 5.8).

CONS

  • Martin has not played more than 61 games in a season since 06-07.

  • He doesn't do much else in the boxscore other than score and shoot well.

Adv Stats

Kevin Martin

Adj Plus/Minus

+0.29

2 yr Adj Plus/Minus

-1.67

On Court

+1.36

Off Court

-2.89

Plus/Minus

+4.24

Off Plus/Minus

+4.19

Def Plus/Minus

+0.05

OffReb

-6.20%

DefReb

-2.40%

WS/48

0.182

Ortg

120

DRtg

114

PER

21.7

PROS

  • Last year was the first year since 05-06 that Martin didn't have a PER over 19.0 and this year he is at 21.7 (which would be 2nd on the Mavs behind Dirk at 25.1 and Chandler would be 3rd at 17.8).

  • His plus/minus of +4.24 is a very decent number.

  • His defense is good enough that he essentially breaks even in defensive plus/minus.

  • His Win Shares/48 is a solid 0.182 (which would put him behind Chandler, 0.241, and Dirk, 0.228).

  • His difference between Offensive Rating and Defensive Rating is a good +6.

CONS

  • His rebounding plus/minus numbers are bad. His presence on the floor hurts his team horribly in offensive rebounding and somewhat in defensive rebounding. This was not true when he was a King however, making one wonder if it is just due to the excellent rebounding personnel of the Rockets the last couple years.

  • His adjusted plus/minus numbers only break even. In one respect this is a good thing because he doesn't hurt his team according to this stat, but for someone you would expect to be a second banana it is somewhat discouraging.

Smile

So what is there to like about Martin? A whole lot -- especially his scoring/shooting efficiency coupled with his awesome 9.8 free throws/36. The Mavs could use someone who gets to the line at a high frequency and then makes over 90% of them! The Mavs could also use another always-reliable scorer to have alongside Dirk. Certainly there are questions about Martin's defensive abilities (which is probably why his adjusted plus/minus numbers aren't higher). And this MAVNALYSIS is about Martin alone, not about Martin-for-Brendan Haywood. But the Mavs may believe that his potential impact on the offensive end would more than offset any concerns about defense. In terms of fit he is clearly a great offensive fit (given the needs at two guard) but there might be concerns that he would make the Mavs take a step back in defensive effectiveness and overall rebounding ability.


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