The Chicago Bears have been rumored in connection with a number of pass rushers in the upcoming 2016 NFL Draft.
One of those edge rushers is Oklahoma State OLB/DE Emmanuel Ogbah, a player who tore up the combine and has since been flying up draft boards.
With that in mind, I watched extensive film of Ogbah. Here's my scouting report.
Emmanuel Ogbah, Oklahoma State (6-4, 273) Junior, Age: 22
Ogbah saw limited action as a redshirt freshman yet still tied for the team lead in sacks (4.0). Inserted into the starting lineup his sophomore year, he finished with 17.0 tackles for loss and 11.0 sacks and was named Big 12 Defensive Lineman of the Year. His junior season in 2015, Ogbah tallied 16.5 tackles for loss and 12.5 sacks. He was named Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year and was a finalist for the Ted Hendricks Award, given to college football's top defensive end.
40-yard dash: 4.63
Bench press: 20 reps
Vertical jump: 35.5 inches
Broad jump: 10-1
3-cone drill: 7.26
20-yard shuttle: 4.50
His 40 time, as well as both his vertical and broad jump, were Top 3 among defensive linemen at the combine.
-On passing downs, he comes off the ball as if shot out of a cannon. Has the speed to turn the corner in a heartbeat.
-Active hands in pass rush. Shows ability to swipe away blocker's hands and transition immediately into a powerful rip move.
-Powerful player who can coil and explode into lead blockers.
-NFL body allows him to easily absorb contact from smaller blockers.
-He flashes serious potential at times. His flashes are borderline exceptional, giving a glimpse at his extremely high ceiling.
-Has experience playing on both ends of the defensive line.
-Stands up too high off the ball. Must improve pad level.
-Fairly stiff. Doesn't have ideal bend and flexibility. Can turn corner but takes a wide path.
-Lacks ideal awareness. Far too hesitant when reading plays.
-Does not have good change-of-direction ability. Takes him a few steps to get to full speed on twists and stunts.
-Extremely inconsistent. Takes a lot of plays off. Doesn't pursue at an aggressive level.
-Lacks balance. Too easily driven off his spot.
-Far too easily blocked on run plays.
-Doesn't consistently use hands to shed blocks or shield from cut blocks. Lacks technique to disengage. Doesn't extend arms to create separation.
-No coverage experience. Rarely used out of a 2-point stance.
-Limited pass-rush arsenal. Relies on power and rip. Occasional swim move. No spin move. Rarely counters inside.
Is Ogbah worth the 11th overall pick in the draft?
Ogbah was a fringe first rounder heading into the combine, yet his performance in Indianapolis opened a lot of eyes. He has legit straight-line speed and his jump numbers demonstrate his top-tier explosiveness. As such, he's being rumored as a potential Top 15 pick.
When he's motivated, Ogbah is nearly unblockable. He comes off the ball like a bullet and flies around the corner, often carrying blockers on his back. Once he gets a full head of steam, he's very tough to stop.
Ogbah has active hands, which he uses to set up his rip move. Most of his sacks were due to his success in not allowing blockers to get their hands into their chest, all while working up-field. He then rips through arm blocks to collapse the pocket.
There are times on film when Ogbah looks like a Top 10 pick in the draft. His flash plays are outstanding.
The problem is that those plays are few and far between. On the vast majority of snaps, Ogbah stands around and allows himself to be blocked. He doesn't use arm extension to create separation and instead turns a shoulder to blocks in his face. When he squares up and uses a hand punch, he's effective in throwing off blockers, but he rarely executes such technique.
He only makes plays against the run when the ball carrier is directed into his path. Very rarely does he disengage, change directions and track down the running back.
His overall apathy on plays run away from his alarming. It's hard to foresee him ever tracking down a ball carrier from behind, even though he has the speed to do it regularly.
In every phase of the game, Ogbah is a project. His ceiling is sky high but he's going to need a lot of coaching before he ever comes close to reaching his potential.
Against Mississippi OT Laremy Tunsil, Ogbah did almost nothing. That's concerning, as there are a lot of Tunsil-type offensive tackles in the NFL.
He's athletically and physically gifted but Ogbah lacks motivation. He runs hot and cold, which is especially problematic for the Bears. At 11th overall, Chicago will be looking for an NFL-ready player, and while Ogbah has the talent to be a 3-down starter, he's nowhere near that level yet.
There's no denying the numbers he posted in college and the success he had in the Big 12, but the game film isn't kind to Ogbah. If he ever reaches his ceiling, he'll earn multiple Pro Bowl berths during his NFL career, but there's a good chance his lethargy will result in mediocre production.
Bottom line: Ogbah is far too risky to be the 11th pick in the draft.