Bills: Production Lost/Gained in Offseason

The Buffalo Bills could have been a playoff team in 2014, if their offense had played better. This offseason, the Bills have gone to great lengths to improve their offense. Here's a look at the changes the team has made on offense in terms of production.

The Buffalo Bills struggled offensively in 2014. This offseason, the team has addressed their offense and added many exciting new players to give the unit a lift. In the process, the team has also had players depart from their team. To get an idea of what the team has lost and gain, here’s a breakdown of Buffalo’s offseason to date.

Quarterback

Production Lost: Kyle Orton

Kyle Orton 2014 Stats
Games Played Completion Percentage Yards TDs INTs
12 64.2 3,018 18 10

Kyle Orton joined the Bills late in the preseason and was thrown into action after four games. The quarterback led the Bills to a 7-5 record and helped Buffalo finish with a 9-7 record. It was Buffalo’s first winning season since 2004. Orton was a serviceable quarterback, something the team is looking for in 2015. Orton’s TD-INT ratio looks strong, but it’s a bit skewed due to two big games against the Jets (6 touchdowns, 0 interceptions). Buffalo had intentions of bringing Orton back in 2015, but the quarterback retired. In his place, Buffalo has traded for one quarterback and signed another in free agency.

Production Gained: Matt Cassel and Tyrod Taylor

Cassel only appeared in three games with Minnesota in 2014 after breaking bones in his foot. Taylor didn’t make any appearances in Baltimore. To get an idea of what the team is getting in Cassel, here’s a look at his career stats.

Matt Cassel Career Stats
Games Played Completion Percentage Yards TDs INTs
90 (71 starts) 59.0 15,727 96 70

If Buffalo wants to field a team with their safest option at quarterback, Cassel will be under center in Week 1. Cassel won’t wow you in any regard generally, but he’s a solid game-manager. If you want a quarterback who is strong at reading defenses pre-snap and efficient at getting rid of the ball, Cassel is your guy. Surprisingly, Cassel also throws a somewhat-accurate deep ball. Cassel didn’t play enough in 2014 to get a feel of his deep ball passing (0-6, 2 INT), but in 2013 Cassel was Pro Football Focus’ sixth best quarterback in regards to deep passing among quarterbacks who played at least 25 percent of their teams snaps. Cassel completed 17-of-38 attempts that traveled over 20 yards or more downfield. PFF also gave credit to Cassel on a pass that was dropped. Overall, his deep ball passing came in at an accuracy percentage of 47.4 percent. Four of the 17 completions went for touchdowns, but three of the missed passes went for interceptions. In Buffalo, Cassel would have deep passing options in Sammy Watkins, Percy Harvin, Robert Woods and Charles Clay.

Tyrod Taylor hasn’t started a regular season game in his four year career, but that’s due to the fact that Taylor has backed up Joe Flacco. Rex Ryan has raved about Taylor’s speed. Taylor has been told that he’ll get a chance to compete for the starting job. Even if Taylor loses out on the starting job, the Bills may create a read-option package for the quarterback.

Running Back/Fullback

Production Lost: C.J. Spiller

C.J. Spiller 2014 Season
Games Carries Yards YPC Receptions Receiving Yards Touchdowns
9 78 300 3.8 19 125 1

Spiller didn’t have much to show for his 2014 season after breaking his collarbone against the Minnesota Vikings. In nine games, Spiller finished with a 3.8 yard per carry average, tying his lowest average since his rookie season. His 19 receptions were also a career low. Going forward, Spiller didn’t seem like a great fit for Buffalo but the team still reportedly offered him a deal that paid him $4.5 million on average. He received the same offer in New Orleans and he may be a better fit with the Saints. Drew Brees will certainly use Spiller in the passing game and he’ll get carries behind Mark Ingram. Spiller will likely play a role similar to what Darren Sproles played with the Saints from 2011-2013.

Production Gained: LeSean McCoy and Jerome Felton

Some people have categorized McCoy’s 2014 season as a “letdown.” Here’s a look at his season.

LeSean McCoy 2014 Stats
Games Played Carries Yards YPC TD Receptions Receiving Yards
16 312 1,319 4.2 5 28 155

McCoy’s YPC average was down by 0.9 yards from the previous season, as was his production in the receiving game. That said, this is a pretty solid “letdown” season. Buffalo is gaining a workhorse running back. Greg Roman, Buffalo’s offensive coordinator, likes to have a back that can carry the ball over 250 times in a season and McCoy has shown the ability to carry the load. He’s also very durable. In his career, McCoy has missed a total of six games in six seasons. In 2014, McCoy finished four games with over 100 yards rushing. Buffalo did not have any games where a single back went over 100 yards. In five of McCoy’s last six games, the back averaged 4.0 YPC or more. His “demise” has been greatly exaggerated.

Buffalo is replacing a secondary back in Spiller with one of the best running backs in the NFL. This is a terrific upgrade for the Bills.

The team also added fullback Jerome Felton. Felton won’t see too many carries or receptions, but he’s one of the best blocking fullbacks in the NFL. PFF has ranked Felton as a top-six blocker in the last three seasons. Tim Yotter of VikingUpdate.com noted that Felton is terrific at getting to his block quickly and that he’ll also look for a next-level block.

Wide Receiver

Production Lost: None

Production Gained: Percy Harvin

Percy Harvin 2014 Stats
Games Played Receptions Receiving Yards TD Carries Rush Yards Rush TD Kick Return Yards
13 51 483 1 33 202 1 495

Buffalo lacked depth at wide receiver entering the offseason. Sammy Watkins, Robert Woods and Chris Hogan were all contributors but the Bills lacked proven talent behind the trio. Enter Percy Harvin. The wide receiver is a jack of all trades. Harvin can play in the slot or outside in Buffalo and be used for gadget plays on offense. Harvin can also be utilized as a kick returner. Splits from Harvin’s 2014 season showed he was most effective from the right sideline last season with the Jets (10 receptions, 156 yards, 1 TD) and that the majority of his receptions in New York came from behind the line of scrimmage to 10 yards out (23 receptions for 175 yards). With Harvin, it’s pretty simple: Get him the ball quickly and see what he can do. Teams will struggle to cover Harvin, Watkins, Woods, Clay, and McCoy on pass plays. Adding Harvin gives Buffalo a strong 1-4 at wide receiver.

Tight End

Production Lost: Scott Chandler and Lee Smith

Scott Chandler and Lee Smith's 2014 Stats
Player Games Played Receptions Yards TDs
Chandler 16 47 497 3
Smith 14 7 42 1

Buffalo lost a valuable pass catcher in Chandler when they released him on March 11. The move helped clear $2.25 million in cap space, freeing up money to pursue Charles Clay and Percy Harvin. Chandler was a reliable tight end but a bad fit for Buffalo’s new offense. Tim Graham of The Buffalo News summed it up here:

As for Smith, he was a blocking tight end for the Bills but absolutely no threat in the passing game. His agent may deserve Agent of the Year after getting Smith a 3-year, $9 million contract from the Oakland Raiders.

Production Gained: Charles Clay

Charles Clay 2014 Stats
Games Receptions Receiving Yards TDs
14 58 605 3

Clay put up impressive numbers last season considering that he dealt with knee and hamstring issues. His numbers were down from 2013 when he caught 69 passes for 759 yards and six touchdowns. Regardless, Buffalo added a tight end who can do damage as a pass catcher. Clay is more than just a receiver. He can line up as an H-Back in the backfield and is a terrific blocker. There aren’t many weaknesses in Clay’s game and that’s why Clay was Buffalo’s top target in free agency. Clay will play a large role in Buffalo’s 2015 offense.

Offensive Guard

Production Lost: Erik Pears

Pears may have started all 16 games at right guard for the Bills in 2014, but this is an addition by subtraction. Pears was atrocious last season for Buffalo. PFF ranked Pears 76th out of 78 eligible guards with a -25.0 rating. He struggled in run and pass blocking last season, so just about any player should be seen as an upgrade.

Production Gained: Richie Incognito

Incognito didn’t play at all in 2014 and missed a significant portion of the 2013 season due to suspension. That said, Incognito played well early in 2013 and made the Pro Bowl at guard in 2012. There’s no guarantee that Incognito will play well after missing over one season, but he truly can’t be any worse than Pears. It’s likely that Incognito will get the opportunity to start for Buffalo as he’s the most proven entity at guard currently on Buffalo’s roster.

An argument can be made that Buffalo hasn’t improved at quarterback after Orton’s retirement, but there’s no denying that the Bills have upgraded at running back, fullback, wide receiver, tight end and guard. 


Buffalo Football Report Top Stories

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As for Smith, he was a blocking tight end for the Bills but absolutely no threat in the passing game. His agent may deserve Agent of the Year after getting Smith a 3-year, $9 million contract from the Oakland Raiders.

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Production Gained: Charles Clay

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Charles Clay 2014 Stats
GamesReceptionsReceiving YardsTDs
14586053
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Clay put up impressive numbers last season considering that he dealt with knee and hamstring issues. His numbers were down from 2013 when he caught 69 passes for 759 yards and six touchdowns. Regardless, Buffalo added a tight end who can do damage as a pass catcher. Clay is more than just a receiver. He can line up as an H-Back in the backfield and is a terrific blocker. There aren’t many weaknesses in Clay’s game and that’s why Clay was Buffalo’s top target in free agency. Clay will play a large role in Buffalo’s 2015 offense.

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Offensive Guard

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Production Lost: Erik Pears

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Pears may have started all 16 games at right guard for the Bills in 2014, but this is an addition by subtraction. Pears was atrocious last season for Buffalo. PFF ranked Pears 76th out of 78 eligible guards with a -25.0 rating. He struggled in run and pass blocking last season, so just about any player should be seen as an upgrade.

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Production Gained: Richie Incognito

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Incognito didn’t play at all in 2014 and missed a significant portion of the 2013 season due to suspension. That said, Incognito played well early in 2013 and made the Pro Bowl at guard in 2012. There’s no guarantee that Incognito will play well after missing over one season, but he truly can’t be any worse than Pears. It’s likely that Incognito will get the opportunity to start for Buffalo as he’s the most proven entity at guard currently on Buffalo’s roster.

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An argument can be made that Buffalo hasn’t improved at quarterback after Orton’s retirement, but there’s no denying that the Bills have upgraded at running back, fullback, wide receiver, tight end and guard. 

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The Buffalo Bills struggled offensively in 2014. This offseason, the team has addressed their offense and added many exciting new players to give the unit a lift. In the process, the team has also had players depart from their team. To get an idea of what the team has lost and gain, here’s a breakdown of Buffalo’s offseason to date.

Production Lost: Kyle Orton

Kyle Orton joined the Bills late in the preseason and was thrown into action after four games. The quarterback led the Bills to a 7-5 record and helped Buffalo finish with a 9-7 record. It was Buffalo’s first winning season since 2004. Orton was a serviceable quarterback, something the team is looking for in 2015. Orton’s TD-INT ratio looks strong, but it’s a bit skewed due to two big games against the Jets (6 touchdowns, 0 interceptions). Buffalo had intentions of bringing Orton back in 2015, but the quarterback retired. In his place, Buffalo has traded for one quarterback and signed another in free agency.

Production Gained: Matt Cassel and Tyrod Taylor

Cassel only appeared in three games with Minnesota in 2014 after breaking bones in his foot. Taylor didn’t make any appearances in Baltimore. To get an idea of what the team is getting in Cassel, here’s a look at his career stats.

If Buffalo wants to field a team with their safest option at quarterback, Cassel will be under center in Week 1. Cassel won’t wow you in any regard generally, but he’s a solid game-manager. If you want a quarterback who is strong at reading defenses pre-snap and efficient at getting rid of the ball, Cassel is your guy. Surprisingly, Cassel also throws a somewhat-accurate deep ball. Cassel didn’t play enough in 2014 to get a feel of his deep ball passing (0-6, 2 INT), but in 2013 Cassel was Pro Football Focus’ sixth best quarterback in regards to deep passing among quarterbacks who played at least 25 percent of their teams snaps. Cassel completed 17-of-38 attempts that traveled over 20 yards or more downfield. PFF also gave credit to Cassel on a pass that was dropped. Overall, his deep ball passing came in at an accuracy percentage of 47.4 percent. Four of the 17 completions went for touchdowns, but three of the missed passes went for interceptions. In Buffalo, Cassel would have deep passing options in Sammy Watkins, Percy Harvin, Robert Woods and Charles Clay.

Tyrod Taylor hasn’t started a regular season game in his four year career, but that’s due to the fact that Taylor has backed up Joe Flacco. Rex Ryan has raved about Taylor’s speed. Taylor has been told that he’ll get a chance to compete for the starting job. Even if Taylor loses out on the starting job, the Bills may create a read-option package for the quarterback.

Production Lost: C.J. Spiller

Spiller didn’t have much to show for his 2014 season after breaking his collarbone against the Minnesota Vikings. In nine games, Spiller finished with a 3.8 yard per carry average, tying his lowest average since his rookie season. His 19 receptions were also a career low. Going forward, Spiller didn’t seem like a great fit for Buffalo but the team still reportedly offered him a deal that paid him $4.5 million on average. He received the same offer in New Orleans and he may be a better fit with the Saints. Drew Brees will certainly use Spiller in the passing game and he’ll get carries behind Mark Ingram. Spiller will likely play a role similar to what Darren Sproles played with the Saints from 2011-2013.

Production Gained: LeSean McCoy and Jerome Felton

Some people have categorized McCoy’s 2014 season as a “letdown.” Here’s a look at his season.

McCoy’s YPC average was down by 0.9 yards from the previous season, as was his production in the receiving game. That said, this is a pretty solid “letdown” season. Buffalo is gaining a workhorse running back. Greg Roman, Buffalo’s offensive coordinator, likes to have a back that can carry the ball over 250 times in a season and McCoy has shown the ability to carry the load. He’s also very durable. In his career, McCoy has missed a total of six games in six seasons. In 2014, McCoy finished four games with over 100 yards rushing. Buffalo did not have any games where a single back went over 100 yards. In five of McCoy’s last six games, the back averaged 4.0 YPC or more. His “demise” has been greatly exaggerated.

Buffalo is replacing a secondary back in Spiller with one of the best running backs in the NFL. This is a terrific upgrade for the Bills.

The team also added fullback Jerome Felton. Felton won’t see too many carries or receptions, but he’s one of the best blocking fullbacks in the NFL. PFF has ranked Felton as a top-six blocker in the last three seasons. Tim Yotter of VikingUpdate.com noted that Felton is terrific at getting to his block quickly and that he’ll also look for a next-level block.

Production Lost: None

Production Gained: Percy Harvin

Buffalo lacked depth at wide receiver entering the offseason. Sammy Watkins, Robert Woods and Chris Hogan were all contributors but the Bills lacked proven talent behind the trio. Enter Percy Harvin. The wide receiver is a jack of all trades. Harvin can play in the slot or outside in Buffalo and be used for gadget plays on offense. Harvin can also be utilized as a kick returner. Splits from Harvin’s 2014 season showed he was most effective from the right sideline last season with the Jets (10 receptions, 156 yards, 1 TD) and that the majority of his receptions in New York came from behind the line of scrimmage to 10 yards out (23 receptions for 175 yards). With Harvin, it’s pretty simple: Get him the ball quickly and see what he can do. Teams will struggle to cover Harvin, Watkins, Woods, Clay, and McCoy on pass plays. Adding Harvin gives Buffalo a strong 1-4 at wide receiver.

Production Lost: Scott Chandler and Lee Smith

Buffalo lost a valuable pass catcher in Chandler when they released him on March 11. The move helped clear $2.25 million in cap space, freeing up money to pursue Charles Clay and Percy Harvin. Chandler was a reliable tight end but a bad fit for Buffalo’s new offense. Tim Graham of The Buffalo News summed it up here:

Scott Chandler was a nice player, a feel-good story about perseverance. As for why he's gone? All catchy, no blocky.

— Tim Graham (@ByTimGraham) March 11, 2015

As for Smith, he was a blocking tight end for the Bills but absolutely no threat in the passing game. His agent may deserve Agent of the Year after getting Smith a 3-year, $9 million contract from the Oakland Raiders.

Production Gained: Charles Clay

Clay put up impressive numbers last season considering that he dealt with knee and hamstring issues. His numbers were down from 2013 when he caught 69 passes for 759 yards and six touchdowns. Regardless, Buffalo added a tight end who can do damage as a pass catcher. Clay is more than just a receiver. He can line up as an H-Back in the backfield and is a terrific blocker. There aren’t many weaknesses in Clay’s game and that’s why Clay was Buffalo’s top target in free agency. Clay will play a large role in Buffalo’s 2015 offense.

Production Lost: Erik Pears

Pears may have started all 16 games at right guard for the Bills in 2014, but this is an addition by subtraction. Pears was atrocious last season for Buffalo. PFF ranked Pears 76 out of 78 eligible guards with a -25.0 rating. He struggled in run and pass blocking last season, so just about any player should be seen as an upgrade.

Production Gained: Richie Incognito

Incognito didn’t play at all in 2014 and missed a significant portion of the 2013 season due to suspension. That said, Incognito played well early in 2013 and made the Pro Bowl at guard in 2012. There’s no guarantee that Incognito will play well after missing over one season, but he truly can’t be any worse than Pears. It’s likely that Incognito will get the opportunity to start for Buffalo as he’s the most proven entity at guard currently on Buffalo’s roster.

An argument can be made that Buffalo hasn’t improved at quarterback after Orton’s retirement, but there’s no denying that the Bills have upgraded at running back, fullback, wide receiver, tight end and guard. 

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