1. LeSean McCoy gets 25 carries on Sunday
Twenty five seems to be the magic number for carries against the Miami Dolphins this season. In Week 1, Redskins RB Alfred Morris carried the ball 25 times for 121 yards (4.8 YPC) in a 17-10 loss. Last week, T.J. Yeldon had 25 carries for the Jaguars in their 23-20 victory. Yeldon’s YPC average (2.8) wasn’t nearly as strong as Morris’, but establishing the run has been a common theme for Miami’s opponents in the first two weeks of the season.
Giving McCoy a heavy workload isn’t a bad idea, but the offensive line hasn’t done him any favors in the first two weeks of the season. On Sunday, the Buffalo Bills would be wise to open up their running playbook a bit. The run option has almost been non-existent through the first two weeks of the season and the new offensive wrinkle could help open running lanes for McCoy as Miami would have to respect Tyrod Taylor’s ability to run with the ball.
If Buffalo can get McCoy 25 carries, there’s also a strong chance that the running back goes over 100 yards rushing for the first time as a member of the Bills.
2. Bills end Tannehill’s streak of passes without an interception
It’s been 150 pass attempts since Ryan Tannehill threw an interception against the Minnesota Vikings in 2014. One reason why the Dolphins have been competitive in both of their games this season is because Tannehill hasn’t thrown any interceptions. That will change on Sunday.
Look for Buffalo to go back to a heavy blitzing defense this weekend. The pressure will force Tannehill into some dangerous throws against Buffalo and at least one pass will get intercepted.
3. Bills defensive line records at least three sacks
Mario Williams has owned the Dolphins as a member of the Bills. In six games, the defensive end has 8.5 sacks. On the interior of the line, Buffalo has one of the best 1-2 punches in the NFL with Kyle Williams and Marcell Dareus. On Sunday, the duo could have a lot of success against the weak link of Miami’s line, Dallas Thomas, and Mike Pouncey who is dealing with an elbow issue. Last, Jerry Hughes’ matchup against Branden Albert will be interesting to watch. Hughes and Albert are both a bit banged up right now. Buffalo’s defensive end is dealing with a wrist injury and Albert is dealing with a hamstring issue. If Hughes’ wrist injury doesn't affect him, his speed and power could give a less than 100 percent Albert nightmares. If Albert doesn’t play on Sunday, Hughes will be lined up across from Jason Fox. That’s another very winnable battle on Sunday.
Look for the defensive line to get on track in Week 3 by getting after Tannehill.
4. Percy Harvin has at least one 40+ yard play
For the record, a pass interference call that results in a gain of 40 yards or more would count here. In Week 1, Harvin recorded a 51 yard touchdown reception. Last week, Harvin drew a pass interference penalty on Bradley Fletcher that went for 39 yards. This week, look for Harvin to give the Bills another big play. The victim? Brice McCain. Miami’s outside cornerback has had a rough stretch to start the season and that will continue on Sunday against Harvin. Through two games, McCain has allowed eight receptions on 12 targets for 132 yards per Pro Football Focus.
5. Score Prediction: Bills 28, Dolphins 20
Sunday afternoon’s game should be a close contest. On paper, both teams are very talented on offense and defense. Defensively, the Bills rebound in Week 3 and provide consistent pressure on Tannehill. In doing so, Miami’s quarterback makes a few poor decisions and flips the field in Buffalo’s favor. On offense, Buffalo uses the read option with great success and Taylor continues to show accuracy as a passer. In Buffalo’s first road game of the season, Rex Ryan and company get back on the winning side of things.