Rex Ryan's first season in Buffalo saw the Bills finish with an 8-8 record. The Buffalo Bills offense was a pleasant surprise, but the defense struggled in 2015. Buffalo addressed their defense in free agency and the draft and the team's offense remains intact heading into 2016. Can the Bills take the next step forward in 2016? It's certainly possible, but Pro Football Focus sees Buffalo finishing the season at 8-8.
Nathan Jahnke of PFF projected AFC records for 2016 and has the Bills finishing ninth in the conference. Here's a look at what Jahnke said about the Bills:
9. Buffalo Bills (8-8)
The Bills were as close to average as a team could get in 2015, and not much changed for the team over the offseason. The most notable free-agent addition was Zach Brown, who held quarterbacks to a passer rating of 61.0 when targeted—second best for all linebackers who were thrown at 20 or more times, just behind Luke Kuechly. The loss of Mario Williams won’t hurt much, as his 5.7 pass-rushing productivity was the fourth-lowest for 4-3 defensive ends. It’s unclear when first-round pick Shaq Lawson will be able to contribute, so with not much changing, we are likely to see more of the same from Buffalo in 2016.
As for the rest of the AFC East, Jahnke has the Patriots finishing second in the conference at 12-4, the Jets 11th at 7-9, and the Dolphins last at 4-12.
You can see all of Jahnke's AFC projections here: PFF AFC Projectionsnull