When a team is plus six in turnover ratio, it wins 90 percent of the time.
The Browns shouldn't go to Las Vegas.
With the odds in their favor, the Browns still were unable to win the game. Despite taking away the ball six times from the Jaguars, they lost the lead late and dropped a 24-20 decision to Jacksonville. The Browns fall to 3-7 and return home to play the Carolina Panthers next Sunday.
The Browns finished plus five in the turnover ratio, but the interception on the final play shouldn't have even figured into the outcome.
The Browns took the ball away from the Jaguars on five-straight possessions in the second half, but were only able to turn the mistakes into 10 points.
A one-yard touchdown with 1:16 to play by Maurice Jones-Drew lifted the Jaguars to the win. The scored was set up by a 75-yard pass play from David Garrard to Jones-Drew which was stopped at the one-yard line by Joe Haden. The Browns had a chance to tackle Jones-Drew at least three times before letting him get to the one. Jacksonville started deep in their own territory after the Browns went ahead 20-17 on a 41—yard field goal by Phil Dawson with 2:47 to play.
The Browns seemed to have taken the momentum early in the second half as Abe Elam stripped Jones-Drew of the ball and returned the fumble 18 yards for a touchdown to give the Browns their first lead of the game at 14-10 in the third quarter.
However, on the next four turnovers, the Browns were unable to only get one field goal. After two of the turnovers, Dawson was unable to connect on two different field goals from over 50 yards.
In the first half, the Browns had a big 92-yard drive that took just under ten minutes, but missed a field goal opportunity, and trailed the Jaguars 10-7 at the half. Jacksonville scored a touchdown with 30 seconds to play in the half to take the lead as Garrard hit Mike Thomas on a five-yard slant.
The Jaguars opened the scoring at 3-0 as Josh Scobee hit a 46-yard field goal with 8:08 to play in the first quarter. It was the Jaguars' opening drive after the Browns punted on their first possession. A steady diet of Jones-Drew moved the Jaguars from their 38 to the Browns' 29. A sack by Kenyon Coleman thwarted the drive and forced the field goal. Jones-Drew had carries for 19 yards on the drive and caught a pass, as well.
The Browns took a 7-3 lead with 13:11 to play in the first half as Colt McCoy scrambled and dumped a short pass to Peyton Hillis, who ran 11 yards for the score. The Browns drove 92 yards on 16 plays, taking 9:57 off the clock. Hillis touched the ball nine times on the drive and the Browns converted all four of their third down conversions. They also overcame a second-and-21, where McCoy scrambled for 10 yards before throwing a 14-yard pass to Mohamed Massaquoi on third-and-11.
McCoy threw a nine-yard pass to Evan Moore on the next play to the 11. McCoy found Hillis after escaping two tackles for the score on the next play.
After stopping the Jaguars, the Browns took over and drove to the Jaguar's 30 after a 47-yard pass play to Hillis. However, an offensive pass interference penalty on Brian Robiskie forced Dawson to attempt a 51-yard field goal and he was wide right.
On their last possession of the half, the Jaguars went 68 yards on 13 plays to take a 10-7 lead with 30 seconds to play as David Garrard hit Mike Thomas on a five-yard slant for the score. Garrard hit Marcedes Lewis for 17 yards to the Browns' 16 for the longest play of the drive.
Early in the third quarter, Jones- Drew was trying to get an extra yard, but Abe Elam stripped him of the ball and picked it up and ran in for the score to give the Browns a 14-10 lead with 11:14 to play in the quarter.
The Browns increased their lead to 17-10 with 1:50 to play in the third quarter as Dawson hit a 38-yard field goal. The score was set up by Joe Haden's interception of Garrard and subsequent return to the Jaguars' 19.
Ward made his second interception of the game, again on a pass off of Marcedes Lewis' hands and returned it to the Jaguars' 35. Dawson was wide right on a 51-yard attempt into the wind.
With the Browns failing to capitalize on all of the Jacksonville turnovers, the Jaguars tied the game at 17-17 with 3:34 to play as Garrard hit Lewis for a 14-yard touchdown on third-and-goal. The Jaguars moved 59 yards for the score, picking up a fourth-and-one on a run by Drew. A 22-yard run by Drew took the ball to the five before a sack by Matt Roth and Shaun Rogers moved the Jaguars back to the 14. Two plays later, Garrard found Lewis for the score over Ray Ventrone.
The Browns took the lead back with 2:47 to play as Dawson kicked a 41-yard field goal. After the Jaguars' kickoff in the end zone, the Browns started on their 20. On the first play from scrimmage, McCoy found Moore down the sideline for 38 yards to the Jaguars' 42. A seven-yard pass to Chansi Stuckey moved the ball to the 35 before McCoy took off on third-and-3 for a 17-yard gain to the 18.
Two short runs by Hillis and a sack on McCoy set up the field goal.
The Jaguars got the ball back deep in their territory and marched all the way down the field for a touchdown with 1:16 to play as Jones-Drew went in from the one-yard line. The score was set up on a short pass to Jones-Drew, who broke several tackles and ran 75 yards to the one before Haden tackled him.
The Browns got the ball back at their own 20 with 1:16 to play and not timeouts and had back-to-back completions to Massaquoi for 17- and 12-yard to the 49. A 22-yard pass to Moore moved the ball to the Jaguars' 29 with 13 seconds to play.
However, McCoy tried to hit Ben Watson inside the 10 and the ball went off his hands into the hands of Jeff Considine with five seconds to play sealing the victory for Jacksonville.
Turnover Day: The Browns had six take-aways from Jacksonville, while the Browns had one. Other than the Browns touchdown on DB Abe Elam's fumble recovery, the Browns scored just one field goal on the other five turnovers.
Elam's Day: RB Maurice Jones-Drew was trying to pick up an extra yard and DB Abe Elam stripped Jones-Drew of the ball and returned it 18 yards for a touchdown to give the Browns a 14-10 lead with 11:18 to play in the third quarter. In the first half, Jones-Drew tried to throw a halfback pass to WR Mike Thomas, but he was intercepted by Elam at the Browns' 20. Elam had six tackles.
Rookie Picks: S T.J. Ward intercepted a pass after CB Sheldon Brown tipped a pass intended for WR Mike Thomas in the third quarter. It was Ward's first NFL interception. On the next possession, CB Joe Haden intercepted Garrard for his second interception with the first being last week against the Jets.
Gocong Recovers: LB Chris Gocong recovered a fumble by QB David Garrard in the fourth quarter.
Browns Down: CB Eric Wright injured his knee on the second play of defense and his return was questionable. DB Sheldon Brown played after suffering a stinger a week ago. With DB Mike Adams out, newly signed DB Eric King was forced to play. Wright was on the sideline in the second half.
Colt's Fifth: QB Colt McCoy made his fifth consecutive start at quarterback. McCoy had thrown 71 passes without an interception coming into the game and finished 17-of028 for 241 yards and a touchdown. He had the last pass intercepted to snap his streak at 99. The ball went off TE Ben Watson to DB Steve Considine. He was 10-of-14 for 135 yards and a touchdown in the first half. McCoy was sacked six times. McCoy appeared to be hobbling late in the game, but didn't come out.
Peyton's Place: RB Peyton HIllis caught five passes for 84 yards,including a touchdown in the first half and finished with six catches for 96 yards. He rushed 21 times for 48 yards.
Mo Time: WR Mohamed Massaquoi had four receptions for 51 yards and WR Chansi Stuckey had four grabs for 26 yards. TE Evan Moore had three receptions for 69 yards.
Sack Attack: LB Marcus Benard picked up his team-leading 6.5th sack in the third quarter. Benard has 10 sacks in just DL Kenyon Coleman sacked QB David Garrard on the Jaguar's opening possession. LB Matt Roth and DL Shaun Rogers combined for sacks in the fourth quarter. DL Ahtyba Rubin picked up his second sack. LB Eric Barton had six tackles, as did DB Abe Elam. Rubin had five, as did T.J. Ward.
Penalties: The Browns had five penalties for 45 yards in the first half, while the Jaguars had none.
Inactives: WR Josh Cribbs, WR Demetrius Williams, LB Scott Fujita, DB Mike Adams, DL Jayme Mitchell, DL Brian Sanford and TE Alex Smith were inactive. Jake Delhomme was the third quarterback, while Seneca Wallace backed up McCoy.