Consensus Mock Draft: Version 2

Incorporating more than 30 expert mock drafts, the Mock Draft Muncher has spit out the post-combine version of our simulated draft.

Today, in newsrooms around the country, beat writers breathlessly tweeted out the mock draft selections for their teams as two endlessly-hyped mock draft writers descended from their mountaintops with their subscriber-only educated guesses mock drafts.

Really? Please. Stop the madness.

If you want wisdom, do what we do, and look to the wisdom of crowds, via the Mock Draft Muncher.

Here, we put over 30 mock drafts from experts all over the web like Pat Kirwan, Rob Rang, Daniel Jeremiah and many more through our analyzer and come up with a consensus mock draft based on their selections.

The Mock Muncher not only shows which players are selected by the majority of mock drafts, it also shows trends at each selection and shows which players are rising and falling, which is particularly appropriate as the NFL Draft mockerati digest the learnings of the NFL Scouting Combine.

So, lets look to see how things might have changed since our first Consensus Mock Draft a week ago.

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State

No change from the previous mock, but there was a huge change in direction. Prior to the combine, Marcus Mariota was closing in on Winston in a big way. Since the combine, Winston has been leaving Mariota in the dust. It’s now a runaway with Winston becoming the de facto selection for the Bucs in the vast majority of mock drafts.


2. Tennessee Titans
Leonard Williams, DT, USC

Again, this has stayed the same, but, like the Winston pick, has turned into a runaway. Whereas Mariota was gaining steam prior to the Combine, Williams is now the default pick at this position.


3. Jacksonville Jaguars
Randy Gregory, DE, Nebraska

Again, Williams is selected most frequently here (11), but after that, it’s a tie between Gregory and Dante Fowler (9). Randy Gregory’s Average Draft Position (ADP) has increased since the combine, and Dante Fowler’s has dropped, leading us to believe that there could be a flip-flop at this position in the coming weeks.


4. Oakland Raiders
Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama

Prior to the combine, this selection was a runaway for Cooper. Not any more. There has been a surge of selections shifting to Kevin White from West Virginia in the Mocks. While Cooper is still the selection in 16 mocks to White’s 9, the trend is unmistakable. Could Cooper drop past the Raiders after all?


5. Washington Redskins
Dante Fowler, DE, Florida

The first selection where the mocks don’t have a clear set of leaders, the Redskins have a three-way tie at the top between Fowler, Shane Ray, and Randy Gregory. Fowler is given the nod here because he has the lower average draft position among all the mock drafts. Fowler’s standing in Mock Drafts has markedly improved since the Combine, dropping from an average draft position of 7.5 to 6.2 and closing in on the spot at #3 with the Jaguars. PREVIOUS: Shane Ray, DE, Missouri.


6. New York Jets
Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon

As Winston has solidified his hold at the #1 spot with the Buccaneers, Mariota has solidified his spot at #6 with the Jets, not more than doubling any other selection at this position. We predict that we’ll see more mock drafts prognosticate that the Eagles will trade up higher than the #6 spot to take Mariota, likely decreasing his edge here a bit in the weeks to come.


7. Chicago Bears
Danny Shelton, DT, Washington

Call it groupthink if you will, but the mocks seem now to be coalescing around Shelton at the #7 spot to the Bears. A 10–8 selection gap over Shane Ray has now turned into 12–5 rout in favor of Shelton.


8. Atlanta Falcons
Shane Ray, DE, Missouri

A week ago, Dante Fowler was the runaway selection for the Falcons at the number eight spot. Apparently he got a lot better in the last seven days, because he’s flown up the board, and disappeared from view. The Falcons are now left with Shane Ray as a not-shabby-at-all consolation prize. PREVIOUS: Dante Fowler, DE, Florida.


9. New York Giants
Brandon Scherff, OL, Iowa

Prior to the Combine, I wrote that the “wasn’t much of a consensus on who the Giants would take”. Well, a consensus has begun to emerge fairly quickly, with Scherff continuing to gain momentum from mock drafts at the #9 spot. He’s now the selection in nearly half of them, well ahead of S Landon Collins.


10. St. Louis Rams
Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford

The Rams are a mess in the mocks. The mock draft wizards simply can’t figure out which direction they are likely to go, splitting selections between offensive line, wide receiver, quarterback, and a few odd defensive players thrown in for good measure. Andrus Peat and Brandon Scherff top the list, with Scherff selected above, leaving Peat to the Rams in our simulation.


11. Minnesota Vikings
DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville

12. Cleveland Browns
Kevin White, WR, West Virginia

The Vikings and Browns are both slated to take wide receivers by large margins by the mock drafters. Parker continues his hold on the Vikings slot, while White has slid back just a tiny amount for the Browns. Both are still the selections by wide margins for both clubs.


13. New Orleans Saints
Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson

Trae Waynes keeps climbing up the mock draft boards and is just two mock draft selections behind Beasley. But two short is too short, and Beasley remains the pick. Keep an eye on this one for a potential change in the weeks to come.


14. Miami Dolphins
Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State

Waynes has literally come out of nowhere, as far as the mock drafts are concerned, to tie with Shaq Thompson as the Dolphins pick. Waynes has the lower average draft position, so we tab him as the pick here. PREVIOUS: Shaq Thompson, OLB, Washington.


15. San Francisco 49ers
Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon

The Niners pick at 15 has never coalesced around a single player, although a number of different wide receivers are popular. Arik Armstead is now tied with Trae Waynes and Dorial Green-Beckham with four selections apiece, and has the lower Average Draft Position, so we make the call in his favor, even though the Niners selection list is dotted with WRs. PREVIOUS: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma


16. Houston Texans
Landon Collins, S, Alabama

In our first draft, Collins somehow dropped through all the way to the Colts, but that issue is rectified here, as mock drafts now show Collins as the top available pick for the Texans. PREVIOUS: Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State


17. San Diego Chargers
Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin

Running backs aren’t popular first-round picks these days, but the mock drafts are consistent in saying that the Chargers will buck that trend.


18. Kansas City Chiefs
Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State

If anyone did himself favors during the Combine, it must have been Jaelen Strong, whose average draft position has already dropped three selections. Whereas the selections for the Chiefs was a mess this time last week, Strong has now emerged as the consensus pick among the mocks.


19. Cleveland Browns
Malcom Brown, DT, Texas

Yet again, a player has rapidly emerged as a consensus pick in the mid-to-lower round one, with Malcom Brown magically showing up in draft boards all over as the selection for the Browns at #19. The Browns, who could use a run stuffer, apparently will settle on one in the Texas product. PREVIOUS: Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State


20. Philadelphia Eagles
Marcus Peters, CB, Washington

Peters ties with Jalen Collins as the selection of 5 of the 30 or so mock drafts, so there’s clearly no consensus on what the Eagles will do, other than they’re likely to go defense if they stay at 20. The Mock Draft Muncher doesn’t do trades, so we will continue to assume they stay put.


21. Cincinnati Bengals
Shaq Thompson, OLB, Washington

Thompson edges out a slew of mostly defensive picks for the Bengals. Interestingly, Alvin “Bud” Dupree is still on the board and might be an alternative selection for the Bengals here. While not the top pick in any position in the draft so far, he has an average draft position of 18.5 and was even picked at #2 in one mock draft. PREVIOUS: Alvin Dupree, DE, Kentucky


22. Pittsburgh Steelers
Alvin “Bud” Dupree, DE, Kentucky

Just like that, the Steelers snap up the bargain. Dupree and Landon Collins are the top two picks on the Steelers board, and Collins was selected earlier. PREVIOUS: Quinten Rollins, CB, Miami(OH)


23. Detroit Lions
Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State

Finally, justice is served. Unlike last week, when the Browns snatched Goldman away because their top pick was unavailable, this week the Lions by-far favorite choice in the mock drafts is available. Goldman is the selection in nearly a third of the mocks for the Lions, a clear indication that mock drafters seem to think that changes are coming to the Lions existing defensive line. PREVIOUS: Malcom Brown, DT, Texas


24. Arizona Cardinals
Benardrick McKinney, MLB, Mississippi State

The Mississippi State linebacker continues to barely hold on as the favorite pick here, over Todd Gurley and Eric Kendricks of UCLA.


25. Carolina Panthers
T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh

With some talented offensive linemen (Ereck Flowers, La’el Collins) still on the board, the Panthers go with Clemmings at pick #25, a change from the previous week’s selection. PREVIOUS: Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami (FL).


26. Baltimore Ravens
Devin Funchess, WR, Michigan

The Ravens, recently jettisoning wide receivers, are clearly looking for offense according to the mock drafters, with the top six selections on the mocks all being receivers or running backs. The top available pick is Funchess, same as last week.


27. Dallas Cowboys
Owamagbe Odighizuwa, DE, UCLA

What a difference a week makes. Last week at this time, RB Todd Gurley was the consensus pick for the Cowboys, and now it’s Odighuzuwa, as the world continues to turn in Dallas. PREVIOUS: Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia


28. Denver Broncos
Cameron Erving, C, Florida State

While DT Jordan Phillips and TE Maxx Williams are making a charge in the mock drafts, it is now a new player to hike the ball to Peyton Manning in Denver. PREVIOUS: T.J. Clemens, OT, Pitt


29. Indianapolis Colts
Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia

Gurley may be the third-most popular choice in the mock drafts for the Colts, behind Melvin Gordon and Arik Armstead, but he’s the top available. Andrew Luck gets a new weapon. PREVIOUS: Landon Collins, S, Alabama


30. Green Bay Packers
Eric Kendricks, MLB, UCLA

Eric Kendricks is flying up the selection list at spot #30, and is the top available player for the Packers. Benardrick McKinney is still a more popular selection, but was snatched up by the Cardinals at #24 in our simulation.


31. Seattle Seahawks
Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma

DGB almost went at #15 to the San Francisco 49ers, but drops instead to #31 and Seattle, where a large variety of receivers are named in various mock drafts. PREVIOUS: Sammie Coates, WR, Auburn


32. New England Patriots
Devin Smith, WR, Ohio State

Devin Smith does one thing really well - he runs in a straight line down the field and he catches the ball. He did it for Ohio State and helped them win a National Championship. Now he gets to go to another champion, according to the mock drafts.


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