Rumor Central: Are the Cleveland Browns really drafting second in the NFL Draft?

Chaos reigns as different sources put the Browns either at #1 or #2 in the draft order. Which is right?


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Thank you. Now, on with the silliness...


I awoke today to total confusion. 

"Yes", Browns fans were thinking this morning, "We know the Browns are horrible, but are they the most horrible professional football team on the planet?". 

This is a big deal, because, supposedly, the worst NFL team on the planet gets the first opportunity to select a player from the college ranks on April 28th of next year. This is something that the worst teams on the planet are notoriously bad at, otherwise, they wouldn't be the worst teams on the planet. 

The varying degrees of horror to be felt by the respective fan bases when they blow the pick aside, at this point in the season, the San Diego Chargers and Cleveland Browns are vying for the title of Most Horrible NFL Team 2015.

It's a close race. So close, in fact, that various media outlets are confused about which team would pick first in 2016 based on their current record. 

Dane Brugler of CBS Sports tweeted out that it's the Chargers, and this singularly purposed site agrees.

At the same time, though, the highly-respected Great Blue North Report has the the Browns in the lead, as does SBNation, which also goes ahead and breaks down the numbers

So, who's right? We know that the teams have the same putrid won-loss record (2-8) and the fact that the Chargers actually beat the Browns isn't criticial. What is critical is the team's respective strength of schedule, with the team whose opponents have fewer wins picking first

So, with that known, let's look at the respective Strength of Schedules to date, noting, of course, that I'm not very good at math. 

CHARGERS W L BROWNS W L
Lions 3 7 Jets 5 5
Bengals 8 2 Titans 2 8
Vikings 7 3 Raiders 4 6
Browns 2 8 Chargers 2 8
Steelers 6 4 Ravens 3 7
Packers 7 3 Broncos 8 2
Raiders 4 6 Rams 4 6
Ravens 3 7 Cardinals 8 2
Bears 4 6 Bengals 8 2
Chiefs 5 5 Steelers 6 4
49 51 50 50

So, according to this, as of this moment, the Chargers have assembled their 2-8 record against teams that are just ever-so-slightly worse than the Cleveland Browns. 

As a result, the Chargers would pick first, and the Browns not even get being the most horrible team on the planet right. Par for the course. 

So, why would the other two media outlets pick the Browns as being the worst? One possibility is that they include the rest of the unplayed season in their strength of schedule calculations. If you include the remainder of the season, the Chargers opponents have an 82-78 record, and the Browns opponents have an 80-80 record, flip-flopping the results and making the Browns the most statistically horrible team on the planet. 

So, what do we take from this? These conclusions:

1. Head-to-head doesn't make a difference, which boggles my mind, still, after all these years. 

2. Both of these teams are really, really bad. 

3. My math is probably spotty and I'll get an email about it. 

4. It's anyone's game as to who will pick first. 

We'll breathlessly track the Chargers, Browns, and Titans as they endeavour to out-suck the others and wind up with the top draft pick. Such is Cleveland Browns fandom in November. 


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At the same time, though, the highly-respected Great Blue North Report has the the Browns in the lead, as does SBNation, which also goes ahead and breaks down the numbers

\n

So, who's right? We know that the teams have the same putrid won-loss record (2-8) and the fact that the Chargers actually beat the Browns isn't criticial. What is critical is the team's respective strength of schedule, with the team whose opponents have fewer wins picking first

\n

So, with that known, let's look at the respective Strength of Schedules to date, noting, of course, that I'm not very good at math. 

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
CHARGERSWLBROWNSWL
Lions37Jets55
Bengals82Titans28
Vikings73Raiders46
Browns28Chargers28
Steelers64Ravens37
Packers73Broncos82
Raiders46Rams46
Ravens37Cardinals82
Bears46Bengals82
Chiefs55Steelers64
49515050

So, according to this, as of this moment, the Chargers have assembled their 2-8 record against teams that are just ever-so-slightly worse than the Cleveland Browns. 

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As a result, the Chargers would pick first, and the Browns not even get being the most horrible team on the planet right. Par for the course. 

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So, why would the other two media outlets pick the Browns as being the worst? One possibility is that they include the rest of the unplayed season in their strength of schedule calculations. If you include the remainder of the season, the Chargers opponents have an 82-78 record, and the Browns opponents have an 80-80 record, flip-flopping the results and making the Browns the most statistically horrible team on the planet. 

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So, what do we take from this? These conclusions:

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1. Head-to-head doesn't make a difference, which boggles my mind, still, after all these years. 

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2. Both of these teams are really, really bad. 

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3. My math is probably spotty and I'll get an email about it. 

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4. It's anyone's game as to who will pick first. 

\n

We'll breathlessly track the Chargers, Browns, and Titans as they endeavour to out-suck the others and wind up with the top draft pick. Such is Cleveland Browns fandom in November. 

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