The combine begins this week. Before the combine officially gets underway, I wanted to release my first full mock draft of the 2015 NFL Draft season. This first mock draft is only of the 1st round. Enjoy.
Commish's Take: If you come to this site regularly, as you should, you've seen enough stories on both Marcus Mariota and Jameis Winston to understand my reasoning here. Winston is the better and more prepared quarterback at this point. If he stays clean between now and the NFL Draft, he'll be the pick.
Commish's Take: Mettenberger presented tremendous value last year for the Titans. I thought Mettenberger was a 2nd round pick with potential 1st round talent. He ended up going in the 6th to the Titans, but at least gives them a young quarterback to groom in Ken Whisenhunt's offense. Leonard Williams drastically improves a horrendous Titans defense with his power in the middle of their defensive line.
Commish's Take: There are a lot of edge rushers in this draft, but it wouldn't surprise me if the Jaguars fell in love with Fowler's leadership. It also helps that he is right down the road. The addition of Fowler gives the Jaguars a couple of in-state first round picks the last couple years.
Commish's Take: I think the combine will play a role in distinguishing the difference between the top 3 wide receivers in this draft. If Kevin White runs around a 4.5 40-yard dash, I think he could easily find himself as the first receiver off the board.
Commish's Take: Brian Orakpo could leave in free agency. Gregory is a long edge rusher who possesses the raw ability and frame to develop into a top pass rusher.
Commish's Take: I hate following a trend, but if the Jets like Mariota at all, they'll likely take him if he slips. With a new GM and head coach, the new regime has zero ties to Geno Smith.
Commish's Take: Vic Fangio brings his 3-4 defense to Chicago. One thing Fangio had with the 49ers was great linebackers. Ray is a slightly smaller edge rusher, but brings intensity.
Commish's Take: New coach Dan Quinn will bring the Seahawks style of defense to the Falcons. Thompson is either an undersized linebacker or a thumper at safety. Thompson has the potential to play the Kam Chancellor role with the Falcons. Remember, Thompson made a name for himself playing at Washington, which was just down the street from the Seahawks headquarters.
Commish's Take: The Giants could be on the verge of having a very explosive offense. The Giants need to continue building their offensive line. Scherff is the best offensive lineman in this draft, but he is a better fit at guard than tackle.
Commish's Take: Collins might not be considered by some in the NFL as a pure "left tackle," but that's fine with the Rams who drafted Greg Robinson to be their left tackle last year. Collins can come in and either play right tackle or guard and make the Rams offensive line much better.
Commish's Take: Cooper is a very good receiver who runs fluid routes and catches the ball with his soft hands. Cooper could instantly become Teddy Bridgewater's top target.
Commish's Take: None of us knows what will happen with Johnny Manziel, but if he doesn't have true receivers to throw to, he will definitely not have a chance. Parker is a big receiver with potential to be a true go-to receiver in the NFL.
Commish's Take: I think the Saints are good with their down linemen, but they need pass rushers. Vic Beasley is a player whose stock could be riding strong on the combine this week.
Commish's Take: Shelton is a mountain of a man, but nose tackles typically do not go high in the draft. Vince Wilfork was a mid 1st round pick. Dontari Poe was outside of the top 10. Shelton is a massive man, but some in the NFL are concerned about his ability to rush the quarterback.
Commish's Take: The 49ers could use a receiver, but with a deep receiver class, they can wait on the receiver and grab the top cornerback. Waynes is a pro-ready corner whose ceiling might not be as high as others, but he can step in and start right away.
Commish's Take: Peat is a big and physical tackle who is better suited on the right side.
Commish's Take: Longtime Chargers center Nick Hardwick retired, so the Chargers have a need in the middle of their offensive line. Ervin is the top center in this draft, and his transition from tackle to center last season with the Seminoles was masterful.
Commish's Take: The Chiefs' wide receivers do not score touchdowns. I'm not exaggerating, their receivers don't score. There are a number of receivers they could consider, but Strong is the type of receiver that could thrive in Andy Reid's quick pass west-coast offense.
19. Cleveland Browns (via BUF) - Paul Dawson - LB - TCU
Commish's Take: When I watch Dawson on film, he's fluid in pass coverage and makes every tackle. I love him as a middle linebacker.
Commish's Take: The Eagles have a bigger need at cornerback, but Collins is the best player available at a position of need for the Eagles. Collins is a big hitter in the secondary.
21. Cincinnati Bengals - Aric Armstead - DE/DT - Oregon
Commish's Take: Armstead is a candidate to get drafted much higher than most people think. He's probably a better fit at end in a 3-4 defense, but the Bengals always seem to be enamored by by physical specimens. Armstead would be a nice fit at tackle or end in their defense.
Commish's Take: The Steelers have bigger needs in their secondary, but Dupree offers too much value to pass up. Dupree would continue to build upo a young front-7 on defense for the Steelers.
Commish's Take: Ndamukong Suh or Nick Fairly or both could be gone this off-season for the Lions. Goldman is a talented defensive tackle who could step in and contribute as a rookie.
Commish's Take: The Cardinals need help at middle linebacker with Daryl Washington still dealing with his issues. McKinney is a massive linebacker and great fit in a 3-4 defense.
Commish's Take: The Panthers go with Flowers over TJ Clemmings because Flowers is more advanced as a tackle, even though Clemmings might have more upside.
Commish's Take: Justin Forsett was a nice fit in Gary Kubiak's offense, but he might not be a good fit in Marc Trestman's offense. Gordon is an electric running back who can run it between the tackles or bounce it outside for a long run.
Commish's Take: The Cowboys plan to let Henry Melton leave in free agency. Carl Davis came on strong at the Senior Bowl. Davis could be a nice fit at under tackle in Rod Marinelli's defense.
Commish's Take: If the Broncos are forced to use their franchise tag on Demaryius Thomas, I anticipate Julius Thomas leaving in free agency. Peyton Manning loves to use his tight ends, and Gary Kubiak's offense has always used the tight end in the pass game.
Commish's Take: The Colts finally address their poor offensive line and grab one of the best guards in this draft. Cann is a physical guard with the athleticism to pull and lead on run plays or screens.
Commish's Take: Kendricks is a solid inside linebacker with good athleticism and tackling skills.
Commish's Take: For Russell Wilson to have success with the receivers he currently has is a miracle. I've seen Perriman in person and on film. I see everything you need in a true number one guy in the NFL. Perriman has good size and bulk and enough speed for big plays down the field.
Commish's Take: The Patriots face a tough decision with Vince Wilfork this off-season. The massive Phillips could be his replacement. Phillips has excellent size and ability on the interior of the defensive line.
Commish's Take: Collins is a big corner who has seen his stock rise since the college season ended.
34. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - T.J. Clemmings - OT - Pitt
Commish's Take: Clemmings is a raw offensive tackle with technique flaws, but also has plenty of potential.
35. Oakland Raiders - P.J. Williams - CB - FSU
Commish's Take: Williams is a big corner who can help out a weak Raiders secondary.
Commish's Take: For me, this could be the steal of the draft. Gurley has elite potential and could bring relevance to the Jaguars.
Commish's Take: The Jets need more weapons for Mariota. Funchess is a big athlete with freakish ability. Some see him moving to tight end, but I see him in a similar light to Kelvin Benjamin from last year.
Commish's Take: A torn ACL with force Ogbuehi to slip a bit, but if he returns healthy, is a steal for the Redskins.
Commish's Take: The Bears need all the help they can get on defense. Bennett would fit in at end in the Vic Fangio's 3-4 defense.
Commish's Take: The Giants continue to build up their lines. Brown is a big bodied tackle with the strength to take on multiple blockers.
41. St. Louis Rams - Dorial Green-Beckham - WR - Oklahoma
Commish's Take: Jeff Fisher and the Rams have shown the willingness to take on players with questionable character. I'm not sure if the Rams need a receiver with the emergence of Brian Quick and the explosiveness of Tavon Austin, but Green-Beckham is a special talent if he can stay on the field.
Commish's Take: The Falcons need players who can rush the passer. Harold might be a step down from the top pass rushers in this class, but he should not be looked over. Harold should have a lot of success in Dan Quinn's defense.
43. Cleveland Browns - D.J. Humphries - OT - Florida
Commish's Take: Humphries has been on the rise the more people watch film on him. He needs to get stronger, but the natural talent and athleticism is there.
Commish's Take: The Saints might be forced to release middle linebackers Curtis Lofton and David Hawthorne. Perryman is a big hitter and a good fit in a Rob Ryan defense.
Commish's Take: Tomlinson is a massive guard with very good athleticism. He's not as physical as I thought he'd be being that big, but is very nimble for his size.
Commish's Take: Coates comes from an offense in college that does not pass that much, but he possesses all of the characteristics to be a big time playmaker in the NFL.
47. Miami Dolphins - Marcus Peters - CB - Washington
Commish's Take: Peters is a solid corner, but I'm not sold on him being a shut-down corner. The Dolphins will likely cut Cortland Finnegan this off-season, so a corner is needed.
Commish's Take: Orchard had a strong week at the Senior Bowl. His frame reminds me of Barkevious Mingo from a couple years ago.
49. Kansas City Chiefs - Jeremy Poutasi - OL - Utah
Commish's Take: Poutasi is a name to remember. I could see Poutasi rising all the way into the first round with his ability to play tackle or guard. Poutasi is big and physical.
Commish's Take: When I watch Hunter, I feel like I'm watching a player that is one or two years away from being special. He is athletic, fast, and explosive, but he must get stronger.
51. Houston Texans - Jacoby Glenn - CB - UCF
Commish's Take: The Texans need to get younger and more talented at corner. Glenn has good size and is a fit in zone or man coverage.
52. Philadelphia Eagles - Ifo Ekpre-Olomu - CB - Oregon
Commish's Take: The eagles are a team desperate for a corner, and while Ekpre-Olomu is coming off a major knee injury, he was a top 10 talent before the injury occurred.
Commish's Take: The Bengals lost Anthony Collins in free agency last off-season and might release Andre Smith this off-season. Andrew Whitworth is a liability as a pass protector. Donovan Smith is still a raw talent, but has the potential to be a starting left tackle in the NFL for a long time.
54. Detroit Lions - Owamagbe Odighizuwa - DE - UCLA
Commish's Take: Some teams just get good value in the NFL draft. The Lions stay on their defensive line here with Odighizuwa. Odighizuwa is a raw talent who is versatile and plays with both power and speed.
55. Arizona Cardinals - Mario Edwards - DE - FSU
Commish's Take: Darnell Dockett might be on the way out in Arizona. Edwards would be a solid end to pair with Calais Campbell on the Cardinals defensive line.
56. Pittsburgh Steelers - Quinten Rollins - CB - Miami (OH)
Commish's Take: Rollins is a raw corner who was more of a basketball star before transitioning to the football field.
57. Carolina Panthers - Phillip Dorsett - WR - Miami
Commish's Take: The Panthers got their size last year in Benjamin. This year, they get their speed in Dorsett. Dorsett might end up as the fastest player at the combine.
Commish's Take: The Ravens might have a mass exodus along their defensive line this off-season, which might include Haloti Ngata. Cooper would need to slide in and contribute immediately.
59. Denver Broncos - Ty Sambrailo - OL - Colorado State
Commish's Take: Sambrailo lacks elite strength, but is a good athlete. Sambrailo's ability to move is a good fit in Gary Kubiak's offense.
Commish's Take: This pick is simply if the Cowboys do not bring Demarco Murray back. Ajayi is a physical back who can carry the ball 20-25 times a game.
61. Indianapolis Colts - Lorenzo Maldin - EDGE - Louisville
Commish's Take: It was recently reported that Robert Mathis had a setback during rehab for his torn achilles tendon. Maldin is an edge rusher who showed he can play in coverage during his week at the Senior Bowl.
62. Green Bay Packers - Devin Smith - WR - Ohio State
Commish's Take: The Packers love 2nd round receivers. Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, and Davante Adams were all 2nd round picks. With Cobb likely to leave in free agency, the Packers could look to a speedster to replace him. Smith is a big play waiting to happen, and has been compared to Desean Jackson on the field recently.
63. Seattle Seahawks - Alex Carter - CB - Stanford
Commish's Take: It seems like the Seahawks lose someone from the Legion of Boom every off-season. This year, it's probably Byron Maxwell. Alex Carter is a bigger corner coming from the smart school of Stanford. Well, at least he'd have something in common with Richard Sherman.
64. New England Patriots - Tre Jackson - OG - FSU
Commish's Take: The Patriots do not have too many desperate needs. Jackson is one of the top guards in this draft. He has the potential to step in and play immediately.
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