Free Agency officially begins at 4 ET on Tuesday, but before that begins, let's take a look at how I think the draft could play out right now. Obviously, a lot of things will change with the draft as players officially sign with their new clubs.
Commish's Take: No change here. Winston is the top quarterback and top player in this draft in my opinion. The Bucs and Winston have done all the right things in preparing Bucs fans for this pick.
Commish's Take: Dick Lebeau is now with the Titans as an assistant. Lebeau always built his defenses in Pittsburgh by building up the front seven. Leonard Williams is a great fit at end in the Titans 3-4 defense.
Commish's Take: No change here. Fowler is a big pass rusher who can play the LEO position in Gus Bradley's defense. It would be back-to-back years the Jaguars have selected a player from the state of Florida with a top 5 pick.
Commish's Take: Kevin White was already my top receiver in this draft and solidified it at the combine. After the Raiders missed out on Randall Cobb, they need to go receiver here and give Derek Carr a legit weapon.
Commish's Take: Ray is a productive rusher off the edge. I like Ray over Beasley and Gregory because he has less questions than both of them.
Commish's Take: I have a strong feeling either the Jaguars, Raiders, or Redskins trade down with a team who wants Mariota. If he slips to this pick, I think the Jets will be under a lot of pressure from their fans to make Mariota the pick.
Commish's Take: This might be surprising to some, but Collins is the top safety in a very weak safety class this entire off-season. The Bears addressed their pass rusher need by signing Pernell McPhee. Remember, new defensive coordinator Vic Fangio was with the 49ers when they selected Eric Reid and Jimmie Ward in the 1st round the past couple of years. Collins would be a nice hard-hitting safety for his defense.
Commish's Take: The Falcons need pass rushers. Gregory is only 235 lbs, but he has the frame to get bigger. Gregory's explosion will be a good fit in Dan Quinn's defense.
Commish's Take: The Giants need a disruptive force on the inside to pair with Jason Pierre-Paul on the outside.
Commish's Take: The Rams continue to build their offensive line. I think Scherff ends up at guard like Zack Martin did a year ago for the Cowboys.
Commish's Take: Mike Zimmer gets an athletic corner with a lot of speed on the outside. The Vikings can grab a wide receiver later.
Commish's Take: Having a wide receiver with the talent and work ethic that Cooper has will be refreshing to the Browns. Cooper is an excellent route runner and has soft hands. He immediately becomes the Browns top target.
Commish's Take: I think the Saints are good with their down linemen, but they need pass rushers. Vic Beasley is a player on the rise, and a nice fit for the Saints. He needs to keep the weight on after reports surfaced that he was playing around 220 lbs last season.
Commish's Take: The Dolphins struck it big by landing Ndamukong Suh on defense, and he will help their secondary out. Parker will help Ryan Tannehill out.
15. San Francisco 49ers - Arik Armstead - DE/DT - Oregon
Commish's Take: Gurley might be coming off a torn ACL, but he's clearly the top running back in the past few drafts in my opinion. I think Gurley can do it all, and would have time to fully recover with Arian Foster still on the roster.
Commish's Take: Collins played left tackle at LSU, but he is very attractive as a physical guard.
Commish's Take: I'm not as high on Shelton as others. He is a massive man in the middle of a defense, but when someone is that big, they're extremely close to being out of shape if they let their guard down at anytime.
Commish's Take: Everyone's focused on Chip Kelly trading up for Marcus Mariota, but if he can't, he better find someone to play quarterback. Hundley has all of the characteristics to properly execute Kelly's offense.
Commish's Take: Flowers is a massive offensive tackle who fits the mold of what the Bengals normally look for in an offensive tackle.
Commish's Take: The Steelers have bigger needs in their secondary, but Dupree offers too much value to pass up. Dupree would continue to build up a young front-7 on defense for the Steelers.
Commish's Take: Ndamukong Suh is gone to Miami. Goldman is a talented defensive tackle who could step in and contribute as a rookie.
Commish's Take: The Cardinals have been rumored to be a team that will go after Adrian Peterson. If they fail, Gordon is a player who can bring a threat to the Cardinals backfield.
Commish's Take: Humphries is one of the few tackles in this draft athletic enough to play left tackle. With the recent signing of right tackle Michael Oher, Humphries might be a nice fit on the left side.
26. Baltimore Ravens - Jalen Collins - CB - LSU
Commish's Take: The Ravens will not draft any prospects with character issues. Collins is a big corner whose best days are ahead of him.
Commish's Take: I expect Rolando McClain to be back with the Cowboys at middle linebacker. Thompson's instincts could make him a great fit as a weakside linebacker in Rod Marinelli's defense, much like Lavonte David is for the Bucs.
Commish's Take: Peyton Manning loves to use his tight ends, and Gary Kubiak's offense has always used the tight end in the pass game. Maxx Williams could step right in and be a contributor in the Broncos offense.
Commish's Take: Peat reunites with his old quarterback and offensive coordinator. The Colts could use him.
Commish's Take: This might be a little bit of a surprise, especially with Eric Kendricks still on the board, but recent reports have the Packers very high on Anthony. Anthony has the size and athleticism that will have coaches of any type of defense liking him more and more as the draft gets closer.
Commish's Take: I'm a fan of Strong, and if he drops this far, he has to be the pick of the Seahawks.
Commish's Take: The Patriots have moved on from Vince Wilfork this off-season. The massive Phillips could be his replacement. Phillips has excellent size and ability on the interior of the defensive line.
Commish's Take: The Titans stick with their front seven. Harold is ultra-athletic, can provide pressure off the edge, and probably has his best days in front of him.
34. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Owamagbe Odighizuwa - DE - UCLA
Commish's Take: Thought seriously about Kendricks here, but pass rusher is much more important than a linebacker. If healthy, I think Odighizuwa could end up as a very good pass rusher in the NFL. He does a great job playing with both speed and power.
35. Oakland Raiders - Eric Kendricks - LB - UCLA
Commish's Take: The Jaguars seem to be set with their tackles, but they need to address their interior line. Cannis the top guard in the draft.
Commish's Take: If the Jets can't get Darrelle Revis, they'll be looking for another corner. Johnson does everything well and should be able to step right into that defense.
38. Washington Redskins - Dorial Green-Beckham - WR - Oklahoma
Commish's Take: Jay Gruden has plenty of undersized receivers, but Green-Beckham can add a different dimension to his offense.
Commish's Take: Orchard is a nice edge rusher to put in Vic Fangio's defense.
40. New York Giants - T.J. Clemmings - OT - Pitt
Commish's Take: Clemmings has a ton of raw talent and is a value pick for the Giants at this point.
41. St. Louis Rams - Marcus Peters - CB - Washington
Commish's Take: Peters character is concerning after he was dismissed from Washington's football team in the middle of last season. Jeff Fisher has shown a willingness to take chances on players.
Commish's Take: Despite coming off a torn ACL, Ogbuehi is still one of the top offensive tackles in the draft. Ogbuehi pairs up with his former teammate Jake Matthews to give the Falcons their offensive tackles for the next 10 years.
43. Cleveland Browns - Jake Fisher - OT - Oregon
Commish's Take: Fisher is a tough-minded physical offensive tackle.
Commish's Take: The Saints continue to have all kinds of cap issues, and Marques Colston's contract is among the worst. Funchess could be attempt at a younger and cheaper Marques Colston.
Commish's Take: Tomlinson is a massive guard with very good athleticism. He's not as physical as I thought he'd be being that big, but is very nimble for his size.
46. San Francisco 49ers - Nelson Agholor - WR - USC
Commish's Take: Agholor is a very good route runner and possesses very good hands. Agholor would be a nice pairing with Torrey Smith, who is expected to sign with the 49ers soon.
47. Miami Dolphins - Quinten Rollins - CB - Miami (OH)
Commish's Take: Rollins is a raw corner with excellent ball skills. He can add depth and talent to the Dolphins secondary.
Commish's Take: Cooper is a big and athletic linemen who can add depth for the Chargers.
Commish's Take: Andy Reid signed Jeremy Maclin. He can now recreate his days in Philly with a player whose speed is a lot like DeSean Jackson.
Commish's Take: Perryman's toughness and intensity just screams Rex Ryan to me. Nice replacement for Kiko Alonzo.
Commish's Take: Perriman is a big receiver who can stretch the field.
52. Philadelphia Eagles - Ifo Ekpre-Olomu - CB - Oregon
Commish's Take: The Eagles are a team desperate for a corner, and while Ekpre-Olomu is coming off a major knee injury, he was a top 10 talent before the injury occurred. Oh, and Chip Kelly loves Oregon.
Commish's Take: Smith is a big end whose best fit is in the 4-3 defense.
Commish's Take: Stephen Tulloch might be on track to return from injury, but Dawson's film and instincts might be too enticing to pass on.
Commish's Take: McKinney is a big linebacker who can be paired with Sean Weatherspoon.
56. Pittsburgh Steelers - P.J. Williams - CB - FSU
Commish's Take: I think Williams will be much better in his pro day than he was at the combine. The Steelers could use him at corner.
Commish's Take: The idea of Coates and Kelvin Benjamin opposite of each other would be scary for the NFC South.
58. Baltimore Ravens - Carl Davis - DT - Iowa
Commish's Take: Davis had a great week at the Senior Bowl, but his film doesn't match that. The Ravens could use a boost to their defensive line.
Commish's Take: Sambrailo lacks elite strength, but is a good athlete. Sambrailo's ability to move is a good fit in Gary Kubiak's offense.
60. Dallas Cowboys - Jay Ajayi - RB - Boise State
Commish's Take: This pick is simply if the Cowboys do not bring DeMarco Murray back. Ajayi is a physical back who can carry the ball 20-25 times a game.
61. Indianapolis Colts - Michael Bennett - DT - Ohio State
Commish's Take: Bennett can rush from many different spots and could be a nice fit in the Colts defense.
62. Green Bay Packers - DJoun Smith- CB - FAU
Commish's Take: The Packers do not have a lot of needs, but a young and talented raw corner could be a nice fit.
63. Seattle Seahawks - Ali Marpet - OL - Hobart
Commish's Take: The Seahawks normally do something to make everyone scratch their heads. Marpet might be a Division 3 player, but he could have a long NFL career ahead of him.
Commish's Take: The Patriots are likely to lose Shane Vereen in free agency. Coleman is an excellent receiver out of the backfield and could provide a spark to Blount. (I really did not mean the pun here)
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