IF THE CHIEFS WIN ON SUNDAY:
- Their record will rise to 9-4. The Chargers will fall to 6-7 with three games left to play, meaning that 9-7 would be the best record they could finish the season with. If San Diego wins their last three games while the Chiefs lose their last three, both teams will finish 9-7, but the Chiefs will win the head-to-head tiebreaker.
In other words, there would be no way for San Diego to jump ahead of the Chiefs, which means a K.C. win on Sunday eliminates the Chargers from the AFC West race. San Diego would still have an extremely slim chance of getting a wildcard spot, but only if they win all their remaining games and a team like Baltimore collapses in the final month.
IF THE CHIEFS WIN AND THE RAIDERS LOSE:
- The Chiefs will not clinch the division. However, they'll have a three-game lead over Oakland with three games left to play. They would be able to clinch the following week with a win in St. Louis.
For the Raiders to steal the division, they would have to win their next two games while the Chiefs would have to lose to the Rams and Titans. Then the Raiders would have to come to Arrowhead in Week 17 and defeat the Chiefs at home.
Both teams would then finish 9-7 and the Raiders would own the head-to-head tiebreaker.
IF BOTH THE CHIEFS AND RAIDERS WIN:
- The Chiefs keep their two game lead in the division. They would be able to clinch a week later if they win in St. Louis and the Raiders lose to Denver.
If both the Chiefs and Raiders win next week, then the Chiefs could clinch the division the following week by beating the Titans.
IF THE CHIEFS LOSE:
- They will still have a one-game lead in the division. Winning their final three games will guarantee them a playoff spot.
If the Chiefs lose an additional game along the way, the best they can finish is 10-6. They can still win the division, but only if the Chargers and Raiders both fail to reach 10 wins.
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