Fantasy Futures: Houston vs. Kansas City

Warpaint Illustarted's Fantasy preview this week centers on the diversity at running back. The Texans feature Domanick Davis and the Chiefs might have to play without Priest Holmes. That should make some interesting fantasy choices.

Ouch. Last week's game saw the Chiefs defeated by the Panthers in a game where Carolina imposed their will on a reeling Chiefs squad. But it's a new day, and a new game this Sunday that pits the Chiefs against an underrated Houston Texans football team.

Over the last ten games the Chiefs have won only four of them. That's quite a disparity for a team many selected to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. The defense is worst in the league in both points and rushing yards allowed. What does this add up too? Well, it's safe to say this should be another high scoring affair; the question is can Kansas City match the Texans output?

The Texans through two games are ranked in the top 15 offensively and defensively. The difference between this team winning and losing hinges on their ability to hold on to the football. Houston is last in the NFL in turnover margin at (–6).

Expect an offensive outpouring this Sunday as both teams are desperate for a win.

QUARTERBACK
Trent Green - Considered to be a top five quarterback in many NFL fantasy circles, Green has yet to record a single touchdown pass in 2004. This should be the week Green finally proves a reliable and more consistant starter. The offensive line has done a good job avoiding the sack, and this week should be no exception. Green should have plenty of time to work the ball down the field and find the end zone. With all the injuries to the receiving core, and the possible loss of Priest Holmes, Green will be expected to shoulder the load. Expect 225 yards and a score or two.

David Carr - Carr is capable of putting up some fantastic numbers this season. His weapons at RB and WR are among the best in the league. The handcuff he faces is the Texans have one of the most conservative offenses in the NFL. Houston's offense is predicated on feeding the football to RB Domanick Davis, either on the ground or through the air. Carr will take shots downfield off of play-action and max-protect schemes. Kansas City has allowed five passing touchdowns in 2004; Carr should have a decent day with 210 yards and two touchdowns.

RUNNING BACK
Priest Holmes & Derrick Blaylock - Who's going to play? Well word out of Kansas City is the Chiefs' offense is preparing as if Holmes will play. That's reassuring news, but prepare yourself by having Blaylock on your bench if Holmes is a late scratch. A dedication to the run should help the Chiefs get back to their winning ways. If Holmes starts he should put up 120 yards and a couple of scores. Blaylock is good, but he isn't Priest Holmes. He's still a good start and could account for 80 total yards and a touchdown. Regardless of the starter, the Chiefs will probably employ a bit of a committee approach this week to deter further injury.

Domanick Davis - Davis, statistically, has been as good as any running back in the NFL this season, but he has four lost fumbles in two games. He is sure to be chopping at the bit to play against a Chiefs defense that's allowed an average of 187.5 yards a game on the ground. Last week, I said if DeShaun Foster were to start he may have a career game, well he did start and he did have a career day. This week may be no different. Until the run defense shows the ability to stop the run, start any running back that faces the Chiefs. Davis is equally effective in the passing game and could be the Texans top receiving target as well. Expect 150+ total yards and at least one score.

WIDE RECEIVER
Johnnie Morton & Dante Hall - Last season's 42-point performance against the Texans might be hard to match with the injuries to the receiving core. Eddie Kennison is nursing a sore hamstring. Marc Boerigter is out for the season. And Morton is dealing with a problematic Achilles tendon. Don't start a Chiefs receiver. Green will be forced to spread the ball around to receivers Dante Hall, Richard Smith and Johnnie Morton, however you can find a better start on your team than any of the aforementioned players.

Andre Johnson & Corey Bradford - Johnson is a great, young player. He has size, speed and the hands to become a top ten player at his position. But he is not quite there yet. He still should see at least 5-8 balls thrown his way and could make a trip to the end zone. Johnson is a sure fire starter this week and could top 80 yards and a touchdown. Corey Bradford is the Texans big play receiver and is often targeted on play-action go routes. Bradford is a sleeper this week and is often hit-and-miss. The Chiefs secondary played pretty well last week and should limit his touches. Bradford could find the end zone on a long pass play, but he could also have two catches for 22 yards.

TIGHT END
Tony Gonzalez - Ok, I expected big things from Gonzalez last week, and not much came of it. But I am not dismayed, again I predict Gonzalez's break out game and for him to get back to his dominating ways with 85 yards and touchdown.

Billy Miller & Mark Bruener -Last week I said to stay away from Kris Mangum, and he scored a touchdown. Well I stand by my prediction and pass it on in regards to the Texans tandem of Miller and Bruener. Both have provided very little offensive production thus far in the season, and this week should be no different.

KICKERS
Lawrence Tynes and Kris Brown are both worth starting this week. Both offenses should move the football and give their kickers opportunities.

DEFENSE
The Kansas City Chiefs defense may be worth a start this week. The Texans are a turnover prone team that will give up some sacks. Plus Dante Hall is looking to make a big play in the return game.

The Houston Texans don't put up high sack numbers and the Chiefs take care of the football relatively well. This game marks the return of former Chief J.J. Moses, who is the Texans return man. This is not a good game to start the Texans defense.


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