Warpaint Illustrated NFL Predictions: Week 7

Warpaint Illustrated Beat Writer Holden Kushner breaks down all the NFL games this weekend beginning with the 5-1 Atlanta Falcons visiting the Kansas City Chiefs.

Atlanta@Kansas City
PREDICTION: Chiefs 28-27
Unlike last week, Chiefs get the ball to Priest Holmes and Tony Gonzalez early and often. Holmes gets 100 yards rushing vs. NFL's top-ranked rushing defense. Mike Vick has a huge day on the ground and throws for 2 TD, but Trent Green steals the show and the win.
Game Note of the Week: - Falcons own NFL's lowest time of possession at 27:24 per game.
Chiefs Time Machine (9/19/1991): - Kansas City defeated the Falcons 14-3 as Christian Okoye rushed for 143 yards & one touchdown while the Chiefs' defense snatched four interceptions.

Jacksonville@Indianapolis
PREDICTION: Indy 34-20
Peyton Manning throws for 3TD. Jimmy Smith catches another TD pass from Byron Leftwich. Leftwich has a TD pass in 11 consecutive games.
Game State of the Week: - From '92-'95, Jacksonville head coach Jack Del Rio was Vikings LB and Colts head coach Tony Dungy was Minnesota defensive coordinator.

Philadelphia@ Cleveland
PREDICTION: Philadelphia 24-10
Not only do McNabb and T.O. have nice games, Brian Westbrook finds end zone as well. Eagles start season with six straight wins, all by double-digits.
Game Note of the Week: - Cleveland is 3-0 at home. Last time Browns began season 4-0 at home was 1963 when club finished 10-4.

San Diego@Carolina
PREDICTION: Chargers 27-24
Tomlinson goes off for 200 yards and 3 TD against Carolina's 30th-ranked rushing defense.
Game Note of the Week: - Carolina just can't shake the injury bug. Missing for Carolina are wide receiver Steve Smith and All-Pro defensive tackle Kris Jenkins for the season, and No. 2 running back DeShaun Foster went down with a broken collarbone on Oct. 10.

Buffalo@Baltimore
PREDICTION: Ravens 6-5
Quickly! Who is Baltimore's leading receiver? Who starts for Baltimore at RB this week? The answers are Randy Hymes and Chester Taylor. Trivia should be more exciting than this game.
Game Note of the Week: - Buffalo is 27th on offense. Baltimore is 30th overall on offense.

Chicago@Tampa Bay
PREDICTION: Bucs 16-10
RB Thomas Jones returns to Tampa after spending last season there. Expect him to rush for 80y, catch another 25y and score once, but Bears have no QB. Literally, Brian Griese finds Michael Clayton a lot in Tampa's win. 32,000 fans go into coma from boredom.
Game Note of the Week: - Chicago's four losses have been by an average of 5.5 points per game.

Detroit@NY Giants
PREDICTION: Giants 26-16
Detroit WR Roy Williams is hurting and that kills Joey Harrington. Harrington will not succeed this week without Williams in the lineup. Keep and eye on the injury report. Giants "D" keeps Lions down and Shockey plays big role in G-Men victory.
Game Note of the Week: - Detroit is 4th in NFL with +8 turnover margin. Tiki had better hold on to the ball.

Tennessee@Minnesota
PREDICTION: Vikings 31-28
Dante Culpepper stays red-hot, even if Randy Moss can't go. Vikings WR Marcus Robinson finds end zone two times. McNair and Chris Brown keep it close, but not close enough.
Game Note of the Week: - Duante Culpepper has three 5 TD pass games in '04, most in single-season in NFL history. His 18 TD passes & 1,766 yards are most all-time after 5 games.

St. Louis@Miami
PREDCTION: Rams 24-13
Rams formula for win is simple: Get up big early and don't turn the ball over. Marshall Faulk and Stephen Jackson continue to split duties against a Miami team that has allowed all but one opposing team to rush for 100 yards this season. Sammy Morris runs buck-wild "Miami style" on the Rams and tallies another 80-yard day.
Game Note of the Week: - Miami has not allowed 100-yd receiver in 16 consecutive games for longest active streak in NFL.

NY Jets@New England
PREDCTION: 21 in a row!
Look for a close, low-scoring game. The Jets defense is predicated on forcing turnovers. I look for Brady to go without an INT. Corey Dillon and Curtis Martin will have long days. Jets can win if Pennington controls clock and is effective in Red Zone.
Game Note of the Week: - NOTE: Patriots rankings are mediocre at best. New England is 12th overall on total offense (12th running and 12th passing). On defense not much better (16th rushing and 22nd passing). Patriots overall rank is higher than the Chiefs at 19th. KC's defense is 16th in the NFL. OUCH!

New Orleans@Oakland
PREDICTION: Raiders 34-27
Kerry Collins throws for 600 yards! Over the next three weeks. This game features the Raiders (who gave up against Denver last week) and the Saints (who hate their head coach). Must miss TV.
Game Note of the Week: - Raiders punter Shane Lechler leads NFL w/ 49.3 average & could become 1st NFL punter to avg. 50.0 for season.

Dallas@ Green Bay
PREDICTION: Packers 24-23
Don't expect newly acquired WR Quincy Morgan to make an impact for Dallas this soon. Going into Sunday, the Packers hadn't scored a rushing touchdown in a month but Green Bay will ride Ahman Green to victory in this one. Look for Green to find the end zone at least once. Favre should have good time against Dallas mediocre pass defense.
Game Note of the Week: - Brett Favre 2nd all-time with TD pass in 31 straight games.

Seattle@Arizona
PREDICTION: Seattle 34-20
Seattle will have a field day on offense and defense. Hasselbeck hits Darrell Jackson for at least one TD and throws for two others. Shaun Alexander scores at least twice. Jerry Rice not a factor.
Game Note of the Week: - Starters Chad Brown, Grant Wistrom and Anthony Simmons all injured and will not play for Seahawks defense.

Denver@Cincinnatti (MNF)
PREDICTION: Denver 38-17
In two starts this season, Denver RB Reuben Droughns has amassed 369 yards on 68 carries. Coming into the season, Droughns had carried the ball just 40 times during his four-year career. Put him down for 100yard day and one TD. Carson Palmer may get pulled if Rudi Johnson can't establish run early. Denver defense is one of the league's best and will fluster Palmer with pressure.
Game Note of the Week: Bengals host first MNF game since 1989. It may be another 15 years before it comes back.

BONUS PICK: RED SOX vs. CARDINALS
Prediction: St. Louis in 6 ENJOY THE GAMES!


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