What We Learned: Colts at Raiders

The Colts hung on in another must-win game on the road. Brad Keller takes a look at what we learned in Week 16.

Special teams didn't give back this week: Though Jacob Tamme recovered the onside kick that effectively sealed the game, special teams let the Colts down in this one and it almost cost them the game.  It wasn't only Jacoby Ford's kick return to start the game.  If Indianapolis learned anything from Super XLI, it's that it's best to get the dramatic kick return for a touchdown out of the way as early as possible.  The Colts were able to overcome that and it helped them to regroup on defense.

The issue was that the Raiders held such an advantage on special teams — changing field position with booming punts by Shane Lechler while Pat McAfee kicked the ball through the end zone facing a short field, not managing much in the return game while Oakland consistently got solid returns, counting on the left leg of Sebastian Janikowski in nearly any situation — they were able to keep the game close and keep it to within one big play of winning the game.

They didn't get that big play on offense or defense and so Indianapolis was able to grind out another ugly win against an overmatched team.  Everyone but the Colts has secured a playoff spot at this point and three of the other teams in the AFC bracket — the Jets, Ravens, and Chiefs — hold a significant special teams advantage over Indianapolis.  That will make a huge difference in a huge game when January rolls around.

The second time has been a charm for Tyjuan Hagler: At this rate, Philip Wheeler and Kavell Conner may be able to focus on special teams and Clint Session will not need to rush back.  Hagler had the huge touchdown return in Week 15, nine tackles in Week 16, and had the key pass break-up on fourth and two when the game was still up in the air.

He is playing solid pass defense — he also had a clutch interception against Cincinnati in Week 10 in a season filled with big plays — and has come on strong against the run, especially along the perimeter, which has improved Robert Mathis' numbers around end.  At 29, he may not be a long-term solution, but he is filling in quite nicely and the defense is in good hands when he is on the field.

Speaking of being on the field, what was Antoine Bethea doing out there after he collapsed with an injury?  With all the players placed on injured reserve this season and all the games missed due to injury by cornerbacks and safeties, Bethea has been the one consistent, guiding force in the secondary.

He is the one player the Colts cannot afford to lose in the secondary. The cornerbacks appear to be interchangeable and easily replaceable in this defense and it's been that way for a while.  But, one of the reasons that it's been possible for Indianapolis to plug and play the past two seasons is the solid play of Bethea at the hero position.

Third and two: Peyton Manning proved by keeping the ball and streaking down the sidelines that he's willing to do whatever it takes to win a game — though he did show some self-preservation instincts that Bethea seems to lack in taking a dive before Mike Shaughnessy could drag him down from behind.  Manning has put his mind and heart into this season, but he put his body into the mix on Sunday.

He's always had a reputation that he was willing to do whatever it took to win, but today he showed that willingness.  As usual, this team will go as far as Manning can take them, but there might not be enough horses in the stable this season for a deep run.

The Colts proved that they're a good team: At a certain point in the season, there was some question as to whether or not Indianapolis was even a good team or if they were a bad team with a great quarterback.  They're a good team that can fight their way to a tough victory, do what needs to be done, even if it means running the ball, and a team that can capitalize on the mistakes of their opponents and overcome their own mistakes.

But, they're just a good team.  They're not a great team and they're certainly not an elite team.  With all the penalties and mistakes the Raiders made on Sunday, with the fact that their offense looked completely lost for the first 56 minutes of the game, and with the fact that they had nothing left to play for at kickoff, a great or elite team would have destroyed the Oakland Raiders.

But the good news for the Colts is that they only need to win one more game at home against a Titans team that wants their season to finally, mercifully end.  At that point, they can feel free to prove this writer wrong by running the table in the postseason and bringing Manning his second ring.


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The issue was that the Raiders held such an advantage on special teams — changing field position with booming punts by Shane Lechler while Pat McAfee kicked the ball through the end zone facing a short field, not managing much in the return game while Oakland consistently got solid returns, counting on the left leg of Sebastian Janikowski in nearly any situation — they were able to keep the game close and keep it to within one big play of winning the game.

They didn't get that big play on offense or defense and so Indianapolis was able to grind out another ugly win against an overmatched team.  Everyone but the Colts has secured a playoff spot at this point and three of the other teams in the AFC bracket — the Jets, Ravens, and Chiefs — hold a significant special teams advantage over Indianapolis.  That will make a huge difference in a huge game when January rolls around.

At this rate, Philip Wheeler and Kavell Conner may be able to focus on special teams and Clint Session will not need to rush back.  Hagler had the huge touchdown return in Week 15, nine tackles in Week 16, and had the key pass break-up on fourth and two when the game was still up in the air.

He is playing solid pass defense — he also had a clutch interception against Cincinnati in Week 10 in a season filled with big plays — and has come on strong against the run, especially along the perimeter, which has improved Robert Mathis' numbers around end.  At 29, he may not be a long-term solution, but he is filling in quite nicely and the defense is in good hands when he is on the field.

With all the players placed on injured reserve this season and all the games missed due to injury by cornerbacks and safeties, Bethea has been the one consistent, guiding force in the secondary.

He is the one player the Colts cannot afford to lose in the secondary. The cornerbacks appear to be interchangeable and easily replaceable in this defense and it's been that way for a while.  But, one of the reasons that it's been possible for Indianapolis to plug and play the past two seasons is the solid play of Bethea at the hero position.

Peyton Manning proved by keeping the ball and streaking down the sidelines that he's willing to do whatever it takes to win a game — though he did show some self-preservation instincts that Bethea seems to lack in taking a dive before Mike Shaughnessy could drag him down from behind.  Manning has put his mind and heart into this season, but he put his body into the mix on Sunday.

He's always had a reputation that he was willing to do whatever it took to win, but today he showed that willingness.  As usual, this team will go as far as Manning can take them, but there might not be enough horses in the stable this season for a deep run.

At a certain point in the season, there was some question as to whether or not Indianapolis was even a good team or if they were a bad team with a great quarterback.  They're a good team that can fight their way to a tough victory, do what needs to be done, even if it means running the ball, and a team that can capitalize on the mistakes of their opponents and overcome their own mistakes.

But, they're just a good team.  They're not a great team and they're certainly not an elite team.  With all the penalties and mistakes the Raiders made on Sunday, with the fact that their offense looked completely lost for the first 56 minutes of the game, and with the fact that they had nothing left to play for at kickoff, a great or elite team would have destroyed the Oakland Raiders.

But the good news for the Colts is that they only need to win one more game at home against a Titans team that wants their season to finally, mercifully end.  At that point, they can feel free to prove this writer wrong by running the table in the postseason and bringing Manning his second ring.

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