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NFL picks 2015: Week 3

A typical slow start is the usual trend. Time to bounce back.

About the only positive from Week 2 is that it’s finished. Brutal isn’t accurate enough to describe my disgrace after that round of NFL picks.

While the trend is to start slow as NFL teams sort stuff out, it doesn’t help that the Indianapolis Colts have been bounced twice by double digits. Didn’t see that coming. But there’s a lot that wasn’t expected.

Let’s start the road back to respectability.

Week 3

(Odds provided by Bovada/OddsShark)

Redskins +4 at Giants — After blowing back-to-back games in the final minute, the G-men get a 1-1 Redskins team won at home against the Rams. The Redskins make their first road trip against a rather desperate team in primetime. Pick: Giants 30, Redskins 23.

Falcons -2 at Cowboys — Why does this line seem off? The Cowboys are without quarterback Tony Romo and wide receiver Dez Bryant, which sure smells like certain doom. The Falcons have beaten the Eagles and Giants. Let’s make it three straight against the NFC East. Pick: Falcons 24, Cowboys 17.

Bengals +3 at Ravens — Who thought the Ravens would be 0-2? The Bengals are off to a solid 2-0 start, but the line suggests most expect Baltimore to wake up and get a much-needed home win against a division opponent. Joe Flacco will deliver. Pick: Ravens 27, Bengals 23.

Colts -3.5 at Titans — The Colts have to score at some point. Their league-low 21 points is mind-boggling. Good news is Indy has defeated the Titans 12 of 13 times including seven in a row and has a 13-game division winning streak. Pick: Colts 37, Titans 24.

Jaguars +14 at Patriots — It’s always tempting to take the underdogs and the points, but the Jags are facing New England at home. Any other team, it makes sense to take the points. But not this time. The Pats don’t take games off. Pick: Patriots 38, Titans 17.

Buccaneers +4 at Texans — While Houston might get running back Arian Foster on the field for the first time, this will be about the Texans’ defense getting after Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston. Meet J.J. Watt, sir. Pick: Texans 26, Buccaneers 16.

Raiders +3.5 at Browns — One of the few games picked correctly was the Browns’ bounce-back win at home. Cleveland is tough at home. Even if quarterback Johnny Manziel relinquishes his starting job after his first NFL win, the Browns will prevail. Pick: Browns 23, Raiders 16.

Eagles +2.5 at Jets — After watching the Jets in person, it’s fair to say they don’t get a lot of pub because this team thrives on defense and isn’t exactly explosive on offense. But the Eagles look like they don’t have a clue so far. Jets win ugly again. Pick: Jets 17, Eagles 13.

Steelers -2 at Rams — The Steelers unloaded at home on the 49ers, so some might just pick Pittsburgh and move on, especially after the Rams came down to earth on the road against the Redskins. But the Rams are different at home. Just ask Seattle. Pick: Rams 23, Steelers 20.

Chargers +2.5 at Vikings — San Diego played the Bengals tough at Cincinnati, but there’s not enough faith in the Bolts’ defense against Vikings running back Adrian Peterson. The Vikings bounced back at home against the Lions. They’ll keep it going. Pick: Vikings 27, Chargers 24.

49ers +6.5 at Cardinals — Arizona has scored a lot of points against the lowly Bears and Saints. While the 49ers should offer a stiffer challenge, Cardinals head coach Bruce Arians has already reminded his team it hasn’t accomplished anything yet. Gotta love B.A. Pick: Cardinals 34, 49ers 20.

Saints +3 at Panthers — Carolina sure must enjoy playing at home every week against lesser teams. Saints quarterback Drew Brees is banged up and iffy for this one. But it shouldn’t matter. Cam Newton coaxes enough offense out of the home team. Pick: Panthers 26, Saints 19.

Bills +3 at Dolphins — As much as Buffalo has proven to be better in two games, the Patriots brought the Bills back down to earth. And while the Dolphins somehow lost at the Jaguars last week, the Fish come home for the first time. And they’re solid in South Florida. Pick: Dolphins 30, Bills 26.

Bears +14.5 at Seahawks — Here’s another whopping line but Chicago doesn’t have quarterback Jay Cutler while the Seahawks finally got safety Kam Chancellor back. Both teams are 0-2, but Seattle will remind why teams hate playing the ‘Hawks at home. Pick: Seahawks 34, Bears 13.

Broncos -2.5 at Lions — Detroit has more issues than quarterback Matthew Stafford’s health. Nothing seems to be in sync. And while some question how much quarterback Peyton Manning has left, Denver has been rock solid on defense with return scores in both games. Pick: Broncos 34, Lions 26.

Chiefs +6.5 at Packers — Kansas City is certainly smarting after blowing a home game against division rival Denver, but enough about the Chiefs. Green Bay has quickly solidified itself as the NFC’s team to beat, and that’s especially difficult at Lambeau Field. Pick: Packers 34, Chiefs 20.

Picks totals

Straight up

Last week: 5-11 (.313).

Overall: 16-16 (.500).

Last year after Week 2: 18-14 (.563).

Spread ‘em

Last week: 5-11 (.313).

Overall: 13-19 (.406).

Last year after Week 2: 15-17 (.469).

Phillip B. Wilson also can be found on Facebook and Google+.


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