While picking the Colts with the spread continues to be an exercise in futility, the other numbers are improving.
Still have a ways to go to catch up to last year’s pace. Last week was 10-4 straight up and 7-6-1 against the spread. Anybody looking for trends, just check out the pick on the Colts with the spread and do the opposite.
An 0-6 mark in Colts spread picks sure seems like a trend to me. Just like the team's record, it's 3-3 straight up.
(Odds by Oddshark.com)
Seahawks -6.5 at 49ers — Credit San Francisco for coming through last week when many picked Baltimore (not me). But Seattle inexplicably lost at home, which never happens, and should be fired up to set things straight against their division rivals. Pick: Seahawks 27, 49ers 16.
Bills -4 at Jaguars — The London Jaguars had better get used to this trip. The NFL just announced it will continue to play games in England through 2020, and Jacksonville is on board with one visit each year. Good luck with that. Pick: Bills 29, Jaguars 22.
Vikings -1 at Lions — Detroit finally won a game, but it was a struggle that required overtime at home. Minnesota has had a week off to recharge the batteries, which means Adrian Peterson should be ready to run wild. Pick: Vikings 30, Lions 23.
Saints +4 at Colts — As much as the Colts have struggled from week to week, they did play the Patriots tough for much of Sunday night. New Orleans has won two in a row, but owns the NFL’s worst defense in total yards allowed. Pick: Colts 38, Saints 30.
Steelers -2 Chiefs — This game didn’t have a line on many sites, so we checked out those that did and posted this one. If you believe Pittsburgh quarterback Landry Jones is the short-term fix after the job he did against Arizona, take the Steelers. Pick: Steelers 23, Chiefs 20.
Texans +4 Dolphins — So Miami fires its coach and goes to Tennessee and rips the Titans apart? Houston struggled for a while at Jacksonville but then pulled away late. But this road game should prove to be more difficult. Pick: Dolphins 30, Texans 20.
Jets +10 at Patriots — New England should stay unbeaten but don’t be surprised if New York makes this interesting. The Jets play solid defense, but scoring can be an issue at times. Because of this, it’s tempting to take the Pats to cover. Pick: Patriots 34, Jets 26.
Browns +7 at Rams — Although St. Louis lost at home to Pittsburgh a while back, the Rams have shown some life with a win at Arizona before losing at Green Bay (everybody does that). A bye week should bring out the best in the home team. Pick: Rams 31, Browns 17.
Falcons -5.5 at Titans — The injury to Tennessee quarterback Marcus Mariota sets this team back a bunch. He was making plays despite not having enough playmakers. Atlanta had a little extra time to rest after a Thursday loss at New Orleans. Pick: Falcons 27, Titans 16.
Buccaneers +3 at Redskins — Washington has had its share of injuries and is coming off back-to-back road losses. Tampa Bay had a bye week after beating Jacksonville at home. The Redskins should be able to do enough at home. Pick: Redskins 27, Buccaneers 23.
Raiders +4 at Chargers — San Diego is coming off a couple of tough losses, playing Green Bay down to final minutes on the road and losing on the final play at home against Pittsburgh. Oakland has shown some life, but the Chargers will rebound. Pick: Chargers 34, Raiders 24.
Cowboys +3.5 at Giants — Not a lot of confidence in the G-Men after that awful display at Philadelphia on Monday night. But the Cowboys are still banged up and without Tony Romo and Dez Bryant, at last check. Flip a coin on this one. Pick: Giants 23, Cowboys 17.
Eagles +3 at Panthers — Quarterback Cam Newton says Carolina doesn’t get enough respect. This line would support that theory, considering the Panthers are unbeaten and Philadelphia prevailed Monday despite turning the ball over and playing sloppy. Pick: Panthers 26, Eagles 20.
Ravens +10 at Cardinals — Those who used to say Baltimore can’t be this bad are starting to figure out that, yes, the Ravens are what their 1-5 record suggests. Arizona stumbled at Pittsburgh, but will bounce back. Hunch is Ravens will keep it close. Pick: Cardinals 30, Ravens 23.
Last week: 10-4 (.714).
Overall: 56-35 (.615).
Last year after Week 6: 61-29-1 (.676).
Last week: 7-6-1 (.536).
Overall: 43-45-3 (.489).
Last year after Week 6: 48-41-2 (.538).
Phillip B. Wilson also can be found on Facebook and Google+.