The O-fer string of predicting Indianapolis Colts games with the spread continues, but the rest of the games have continued to trent in the right direction. So, repeating again, take whatever is suggested on the Colts and just do the opposite.
That’s as close to a guarantee as you can get.
Just like the Colts’ record, I’m 3-4 predicting their games straight up. It should come as no surprise the Carolina Panthers (6-0) are the pick to win. After the spread decreased on Sunday to 6.5 points, the pick is for the Panthers to cover as well. That's a reversal from when the picks were initially posted on Thursday. But lines change and injury updates with inactives being announced 90 minutes before kickoffs often lead to last-minute changes.
Overall, last week continued a positive trend, 10-4 straight up and 8-6 against the spread. The numbers are climbing toward last year’s final clip.
(Odds by oddshark.com)
Dolphins +8.5 at Patriots — After some success last week in taking the points with road underdogs, we revert back to expecting home favorites to cover. The Dolphins have won two in a row, but against AFC South teams. Pick: Patriots 34, Dolphins 17.
Lions +5 at Chiefs — Kansas City surprised with a home win over Pittsburgh last week, so it’s without much thought that the Chiefs get the nod even if this game is in London. Maybe the Lions make it close. Pick: Chiefs 27, Lions 20.
Buccaneers +7.5 at Falcons — Again, Tampa Bay is a tempting pick to take with the point spread, but the Falcons are back home after two away games and will be play significantly better against a lousy defense. Pick: Falcons 38, Buccaneers 23.
Chargers +3 at Ravens — Say this for Baltimore, that team has been in every game. That doesn’t mean much when all but one has ended in a loss. But the hunch is the Ravens finally win a game again because San Diego is reeling. Pick: Ravens 26, Chargers 21.
Vikings Even at Bears — Chicago has given a couple of surprises and could win this one, but it doesn’t make sense to go against Vikings running back Adrian Peterson when facing this defense. Minnesota makes too much sense. Pick: Vikings 29, Bears 22.
Cardinals -4.5 at Browns — There’s no dispute that Arizona has taken care of a lot of weaker teams. Cleveland certainly qualifies in that category. While the Browns can be difficult at home, Arizona just has too much firepower. Pick: Cardinals 24, Browns 17.
Titans +4 at Texans — Four consecutive home games lost translates to nonexistent confidence in the Titans regardless of where they play. Now that the Texans have reason to be optimistic after losing Arian Foster for the season. Pick: Texans 24, Titans 16.
Giants +3 at Saints — Despite winning three in a row, don’t think for a second that New Orleans is any more than Drew Brees bringing an offense together to make just enough plays against bad teams. The Giants are better, but flawed. Pick: Saints 24, Giants 20.
Bengals Even at Steelers — The return of Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger will provide an undeniable boost, but his first game back and playing in a knee brace comes against unbeaten Cincinnati? Stick with the Bengals. Pick: Bengals 33, Steelers 30.
49ers +9.5 at Rams — St. Louis typically takes care of business at home while San Francisco is the expected mess than most expected. There’s no reason to expect the 49ers to keep this game close. Decided to change this at last minute. Pick: Rams 26, 49ers 13.
Jets -3 at Raiders — As Oakland proved at San Diego, the Silver & Black aren't pushovers anymore. The Jets played the Patriots tough on the road and that defense should make life difficult for Oakland. But the hunch is upset. Pick: Raiders 23, Jets 20.
Seahawks -5 at Cowboys — As Dallas impatiently awaits the return of quarterback Tony Romo, this season teeters on the brink. The Seahawks’ defense is sure to make life rather miserable for the Cowboys at home. Pick: Seahawks 27, Cowboys 17.
Packers -2.5 at Broncos — The week's best matchup with Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers and Denver’s Peyton Manning sharing the same field. The Broncos have the better defense, but Rodgers has been playing far better than Manning. Pick: Packers 27, Broncos 23.
Colts +6.5 at Panthers — A two-game losing streak, an offense that turns the ball over too much and a defense that can’t get off the field. The Colts now have to contend with the NFL’s No. 1 rushing offense, and on the road in primetime. Pick: Panthers 30, Colts 23.
Last week: 10-4 (.714).
Overall: 66-39 (.629).
Last year after Week 7: 71-34-1 (.675).
Last week: 8-6 (.571).
Overall: 51-51-3 (.500).
Last year after Week 7: 55-49-2 (.528).
Phillip B. Wilson also can be found on Facebook and Google+.