Cowboys Beat NY? The Playoff 'What-If's'
Last week we wrote an article comparing the Dallas Cowboys playoffs odds with a 5-1 and a 4-2 record. Heading into Seattle to take on the defending Super Bowl champs, most considered a 4-2 record much more likely. However, the Cowboys shocked the world when they beat the Seahawks, 30-23, and flew home with a 5-1 record for the first time since 2007.
Now, the Boys gearing up to take on the New York Giants at AT&T Stadium this Sunday, which will be the first division game for the Cowboys this season. Barring a tie, they will improve to 6-1 or fall to 5-2. Let's take a look at the playoff odds for each of those records.
The Cowboys have started with a 6-1 record nine times in franchise history.
1968 - Lost the conference championship game
1969 - Lost the conference championship game
1976 - Lost in the divisional round
1979 - Lost in the divisional round
1982 - Lost the NFC championship game
1992 - Won the Super Bowl
1994 - Lost the NFC championship game
1995 - Won the Super Bowl
2007 - Lost in the divisional round
When starting 6-1, the Cowboys have made the playoffs 9 out of 9 times (that's 100% for those who aren't good at math), winning at least one playoff game on 6 of those occasions, reaching the conference championship game six times and winning the Super Bowl twice.
The Cowboys have started with a 5-2 record 14 times in franchise history
1966 - Lost the NFL championship game
1967 - Lost the NFL championship game
1970 - Lost the Super Bowl
1972 - Lost the NFC championship game
1975 - Lost the Super Bowl
1978 - Lost the Super bowl
1980 - Lost the NFC championship game
1981 - Lost the NFC championship game
1985 - Lost in the divisional round
1986 - Did not make the playoffs
1991 - Lost in the divisional round
1993 - Won the Super Bowl
2003 - Lost in the wild card round
2009 - Lost in the divisional round
When starting 4-2, the Cowboys have made the playoffs 13 out of 14 times (about 93% of the time), winning at least one playoff game on 11 of those occasions, reaching the conference championship game 9 times, reaching the Super Bowl/NFL championship game 6 times and winning the Super Bowl once.
While the Cowboys odds of reaching the playoffs are somewhat better at 6-1, they have actually had more overall postseason success when starting out 5-2.
As of now, the Cowboys have 12-1 odds to win the Super Bowl, according to Vegas. That's a long way from the 75-1 odds that they started with at the beginning of the season. Expect those odds to get even better if the Cowboys knock of the New York Giants, over whom they are three-point favorites at home on Sunday.
The debate featuring Dallas Cowboys QB Tony Romo vs. his NY counterpart Eli Manning draws Giants supporters to quickly point to one thing ... Super Bowls!
We choose to go deeper into the numbers, and do so here to establish Romo's statistical superiority over Eli.
Rolando McClain, suddenly the leader of this surprising D, was back at Valley Ranch on Friday after taking two days off to tend to personal business back home in Alabama. He says his groin "feels way better than last week'' and expects to play Sunday.
Meanwhile, Cowboys ownership is talking about Ro as a puzzle piece of this franchise's future, even as he faces unrestricted free agency after the season while now making just $700,000 this season.
CowboysHQ noted to McClain that the Jones have been open and flattering about their thoughts here.
"We haven't talked about it and I'm not worried about it," McClain responded to our question. "I'm getting ready for the Giants. ... I'm just happy to be with the Dallas Cowboys. I'm happy with our success so far. I'm having fun with my teammates. Having a good time, gelling together and playing some good ball right now."
KD Drummond sits down with co-hosts Keith Mullins, Patrik Walker and Mike Fisher to discuss several facets of the Cowboys hot start and whether it's sustainable. Is Garrett employing the Long Con? Did jettisoning Ware kickstart this lean, mean defense? How did they outmuscle Seattle, and will it continue? Why doesn't KD have a Whataburger? Why is 1/4th of the team participating in Romo Wednesday?
We've got it all covered in our Cowboys Crunchtime Podcast! - The Evolution of Dallas.
They're here! Check out our patented facts and figures ahead of this NFC East showdown. Has Tom Coughlin ever gone 3-3? How many times has Dallas improved to 6-1? What have the Cowboys done coming off of West Coast road trips? We've got that and more - - so get set and read up! "Cowboys 100'' -- Facts and Figures for Dallas-vs.-New York -- right here.
"It is going to be the Cowboys vs. the Broncos, with the Cowboys coming out on top 53-51 in the highest scoring Super Bowl ever."- Mavs owner Mark Cuban, to ABC's "Good Morning America.''
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