Roster Cutdown Analysis

There weren't a lot of major surprises from the Dolphins in Saturday's roster cut to the NFL limit of 53, but there were some things that were interesting. We revisit our predictions from Friday and tell you how it played out.


On the roster: 4: Chad Pennington, Chad Henne, John Beck, Josh McCown

Number kept: 3

Locks to make the team: Pennington, Henne

On the bubble: Beck, McCown

Almost no shot to make the team: Nobody

Prediction: Pennington, Henne, McCown

OUTCOME: Pennington, Henne, Beck

Pre-cut Analysis: Yes, it was Beck who followed Henne in the game the last two preseason games, but we're thinking that maybe it had more to do with giving him more looks and perhaps showcasing him for a trade than anything else. Based on the way Henne performed late in the preseason, it actually wouldn't surprise us if the Dolphins ended up letting both Beck and McCown go.

FINAL ANALYSIS: The trade of McCown to Carolina settled the decision here, and it wouldn't have surprised had Beck been the one traded instead.


On the roster: 7: Ronnie Brown, Ricky Williams, Patrick Cobbs, Jalen Parmele, Lex Hilliard, Reagan Mauia, Boomer Grigsby

Number kept: 5

Locks to make the team: Brown, Williams

On the bubble: Cobbs, Parmele, Hilliard, Grigsby

Almost no shot to make the team: Mauia

Prediction: Brown, Williams, Grigsby, Cobbs, Hilliard

OUTCOME: Brown, Williams, Grigsby, Cobbs, Parmele

Pre-cut Analysis: We're thinking Cobbs will make the team because he's a better special teams player than either of the two rookies, Hilliard or Parmele. Hilliard beats out Parmele because he also can play fullback and because of Parmele's fumbling issues in the preseason. Mauia has no shot because his pass catching is just too weak.

FINAL ANALYSIS: In the end, the Dolphins obviously decided that Parmele simply was a better running back than Hilliard, although we still like Hilliard's versatility.


On the roster: 7: Anthony Armstrong, Ernest Wilford, Jayson Foster, Ted Ginn Jr., Greg Camarillo, Davone Bess, Derek Hagan

Number kept: 6

Locks to make the team: Ginn, Wilford

On the bubble: Armstrong, Camarillo, Bess, Hagan

Almost no shot to make the team: Foster

Prediction: Ginn, Wilford, Hagan, Bess, Camarillo

OUTCOME: Ginn, Wilford, Hagan, Bess, Camarillo, Armstrong

Pre-cut Analysis: In case you're surprised to see Hagan on the bubble instead of a lock, just look at his preseason performance. Bess actually outplayed him, and by a lot. Foster never showed good enough hands to make up for his lack of size.

FINAL ANALYSIS: A little surprised the Dolphins kept six wideouts considering it's not exactly a Pro Bowl-laden group.


On the roster: 5: Anthony Fasano, David Martin, Justin Peelle, Sean Ryan, Matthew Mulligan

Number kept: 3

Locks to make the team: Fasano

On the bubble: Martin, Peelle, Ryan

Almost no shot to make the team: Mulligan

Prediction: Fasano, Martin, Peelle

OUTCOME: Fasano, Martin, Ryan

Pre-cut Analysis: It actually wouldn't shock us here to see the Dolphins keep four tight ends because they will use a lot of two-tight-end formations, and there's also not much separating Peelle and Ryan.

FINAL ANALYSIS: As we stated, there wasn't much difference between Ryan and Peelle, although Ryan did have the advantage of playing for Bill Parcells in Dallas a few years back.


On the roster: 12: Mike Byrne, Matt Spanos, Samson Satele, Donald Thomas, Shawn Murphy, Justin Smiley, Trey Darilek, Ikechuku Ndukwe, Pedro Sosa, Daren Heerspink, Vernon Carey, Jake Long

Number kept: 8

Locks to make the team: Long, Carey, Smiley, Satele, Thomas

On the bubble: Murphy, Darilek, Ndukwe, Sosa, Heerspink, Spanos

Almost no shot to make the team: Byrne

Prediction: Long, Carey, Smiley, Satele, Thomas, Darilek, Ndukwe, Murphy, Sosa

OUTCOME: Long, Carey, Smiley, Satele, Thomas, Darilek, Ndukwe, Murphy

Pre-cut Analysis: Among the backups, Darilek probably is the safest bet because of his versatility. Sosa was signed this week and has promise, which is why the Dolphins might not want to risk waiving him to then sign him to the practice squad.

FINAL ANALYSIS: Nothing surprising here. But this might not be the group that takes the field next Sunday.


On the roster: 9: Kendall Langford, Phillip Merling, Lionel Dotson, Rodrique Wright, Randy Starks, Paul Soliai, Vonnie Holliday, Anthony Toribio, Jason Ferguson

Number kept: 8

Locks to make the team: Langford, Merling, Starks, Holliday, Ferguson

On the bubble: Dotson, Wright, Soliai

Almost no shot to make the team: Toribio

Prediction: Langford, Merling, Starks, Holliday, Ferguson, Wright, Soliai

OUTCOME: Langford, Merling, Starks, Holliday, Ferguson, Wright, Soliai, Dotson

Pre-Cut Analysis: Matt Roth actually is listed as a defensive end on the roster, but we're going with him at outside linebacker since that's where he's been playing. If seven seems a lot number of defensive linemen, keep in mind you don't need as many playing a 3-4 defense.

FINAL ANALYSIS: We really didn't see a whole lot from Lionel Dotson in the preseason to warrant a roster spot, but he was a draft pick, so maybe the Dolphins don't want to give up on him too quickly.


On the roster: 13: Kelly Poppinga, Junior Glymph, Rob Ninkovich, Matt Roth, Akin Ayodele, Channing Crowder, Titus Brown, Joey Porter, Maurice Fountain, Quentin Moses, Charlie Anderson, Reggie Torbor, Edmond Miles

Number likely to be kept: 8

Locks to make the team: Roth, Ayodele, Crowder, Porter, Torbor

On the bubble: Glymph, Ninkovich, Brown, Moses, Anderson, Miles

Almost no shot to make the team: Poppinga, Fountain

Prediction: Roth, Ayodele, Crowder, Porter, Torbor, Miles, Anderson, Ninkovich, Brown

OUTCOME: Roth, Ayodele, Crowder, Porter, Torbor, Anderson, Ninkovich, Moses

Pre-cut Analysis: This is going to be a tough decision for Tony Sparano and company because little separates guys like Ninkovich and Moses.

FINAL ANALYSIS: The surprising thing here is the Dolphins kept only three inside guys with Crowder, Ayodele and Torbor.


On the roster: 11: Nathan Jones, Joey Thomas, Michael Lehan, Will Billingsley, Andre' Goodman, Will Allen, Chris Crocker, Jason Allen, Yeremiah Bell, Courtney Bryan, Renaldo Hill

Number kept: 9

Locks to make the team: Will Allen, Goodman, Bell

On the bubble: Jones, Thomas, Lehan, Billingsley, Crocker, Jason Allen, Bryan, Hill

No shot to make the team: Nobody

Prediction: Jones, Thomas, Lehan, Goodman, Will Allen, Crocker, Jason Allen, Bell, Hill

OUTCOME: Jones, Thomas, Lehan, Goodman, Will Allen, Crocker, Jason Allen, Bell, Hill

Pre-Cut Analysis: The fact that we're considering only three players as locks in the secondary tells you about the depth here. Unfortunately, what the Dolphins are lacking is a difference-maker back there.

FINAL ANALYSIS: We went 9-for-9 on that one.


On the roster: 3: Brandon Fields, Dan Carpenter, John Denney

Number kept: 3

Locks to make the team: Fields, Carpenter, Denney

On the bubble: Nobody

Almost no shot to make the team: Nobody

Prediction: Fields, Carpenter, Denney

OUTCOME: Fields, Carpenter, Denney

Pre-cut Analysis: Unless the Dolphins surprise everyone and decide to go outside the organization, all suspense ended here with the release of Jay Feely.

FINAL ANALYSIS: Like we said, no suspense here. The Dolphins just have to hope Carpenter rewards their faith.

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