# Grading the Draft, Sort of

At JagNation we believe that it's unfair to grade a draft before any of the players even play a snap. That said, people love to read draft grades. Instead of using the standard "A-F" grades, we decided to put our underutilized mathematical skills to the test and create a formula.

The Formula

The draft will be graded upon the following four categories: (1) position of need; (2) positional value; (3) player value at the selection; (4) player value (potential). The final results are weighted regarding the round selected, as the first round holds the highest value, and so on down. All scores are based on a ten-point scale.

Finally, the Jaguars draft:

1st round, 10th overall pick- Tyson Alualu, DT, California- the position of need registers a score of 8.0 being that the Jaguars have two solid starters at defensive tackle. If and when the team completes its switch to the 3-4, this number will grow higher as Alualu is a perfect 3-4 end. Second, the value of the defensive tackle position in round one we give a score of 7.5. Defensive ends, cornerbacks, left tackles and of course quarterbacks all rate higher. The value of the player at the selection yields just a score of 5.0 as the team could've likely traded back to grab extra picks and still nabbed Alualu and paid him less. Finally our player grade for Tyson Alualu is a solid 8.5 as he should be able to play two positions and is a disrupter.

Averaging the four scores calculates to a final score of 7.25

3rd round, 74th overall pick- D'Anthony Smith, DT, Louisiana Tech- the position of need registers a score of 6.5 being that the Jaguars now have three starters at defensive tackle, which basically tells us that John Henderson will not be on the roster. At best, Smith will be a rotational player in the 4-3, but will likely act as the Jaguars other 3-4 defensive end. The value of the defensive tackle position in round three we give a score of 8.0. The value of the player at the selection yields a score of 7.5, as the Jaguars likely could've grabbed Smith at least a round later. Finally our player grade for D'Anthony Smith is 7.0 as he should be able to play a couple positions.

Averaging the four scores calculates to a final score of 7.25

4th round, Jaguars trade the 108th overall pick to the Oakland Raiders for linebacker Kirk Morrison and the 153rd overall pick- we will grade this just as a draft pick, and the position of need registers a 9.0 as Morrison will start in the middle from day one. The value of the linebacker position we give a solid 8.0. To get a player of Morrison's caliber by giving up a third-day selection is virtually unheard of unless the player has off the field issues, which Morrison does not. We give the value a 9.5. Finally, our player grade for Kirk Morrison is a solid 8.5, as he has registered 100+ tackles in each of his first five seasons. The grade would be higher if not for his age (28).

Averaging the four scores calculates to a final score of 8.75

5th round, 143rd overall pick- Larry Hart, DE/OLB, Central Arkansas- the position of need registers a score of 8.0 as the Jaguars traded Quentin Groves earlier in the week and currently don't have any real 3-4 outside linebackers on the roster. The value of the DE/OLB position in the fifth round scores a solid 7.5. The value of the player is a solid 8.0, as Hart was expected to go somewhere early in the third day. Finally, our player grade for Hart is a 7.0, as his upside could equate to a Robert Mathis.

Averaging the four scores calculates to a final score of 7.63

5th round, 153rd overall pick- Austin Lane, DE, Murray State- Lane, a traditional 4-3 end fills a position of need as the Jaguars have Aaron Kampman and Derrick Harvey slated as starters, so we give this a score of 8.5. Defensive end is a premium position so the selection grades out at 9.0. The value of Lane in the middle of the fifth round is a solid 8.5. Finally, our player grade for Lane is a 7.5, as he had a nice Senior Bowl week and the Jaguars have had luck with many of the small school guys.

Averaging the four scores calculates to a final score of 8.38

6th round, 180th overall pick- Deji Karim, RB, Southern Illinois- The position of need registers a solid 7.5 for the Jaguars as the depth behind star runner Maurice Jones-Drew is uncertain at best. The value of the position is just a 7.0, as third-down backs can be found late in the draft. The value of the player at the pick is a 7.5, as Karim was expected to go in the later rounds. The value of the player is a more than solid 8.5, as Karim has great explosiveness and should score touchdowns.

Averaging the four scores calculates to a final score of 7.63

6th round, 203rd pick- Scotty McGee, PR/KOR, James Madison- The position of need is a solid 8.5 for the Jags, as they really don't have many who can fill a returner role. The value of the position is just a 6.0, as many of these guys can be found undrafted. The value of the player at the pick is a 6.0 as it's doubtful that he would've been drafted if the Jags hadn't taken him. The value of the player is a 6.0 as there are always little, fast guys who can serve as returners but many flame out.

Averaging the four scores calculates to a final score of 6.63

Using our weighting scale, the Jaguars 2010 draft scores a 7.45 out of a possible 10. The Jaguars didn't have the worst draft in the NFL, but it appeared as if they went very much for need and the value for most of the selections seemed poor. We will keep an open mind and we'll have a better opportunity to evaluate in a few years.

Charlie Bernstein is the Editor-in-Chief of JagNation.com, a member of the Pro Football Writers of America, and also the co-host of CB Sports Radio on ESPN 1420 in St. Augustine, FL. You can contact him at charlie@jagnation.com or follow him on twitter @nflcharlie