WHEN THE BROWNS HAVE THE BALL: Rookie quarterback Colt McCoy, who will get his fourth start since replacing an injured Seneca Wallace, has been very efficient calling signals for the Browns. He's completed 67.6 percent of his passes but has a TD-INT ratio of 1-2. McCoy has also shown good mobility and recorded a rushing touchdown, so suffocating him within the pocket will be key for New York's defense. McCoy faces a Ryan defense in practice but has yet to face a REX Ryan defense, so Sunday will probably be arguably his toughest test to date because of the Jets' confusing looks against the pass… Cleveland will go as far as running back Peyton Hillis takes them. Hillis has scored seven times on the ground and averages 4.8 yards a carry this year behind what has been a pretty good run-blocking offensive line. Cleveland will have trouble if it can't run the ball, and things won't be easy against the fourth-ranked rush defense in New York.
WHEN THE JETS HAVE THE BALL: Averaging 148 rushing yards per game, New York remains near the top of the NFL on the ground. Expect a heavy dose of rushing, as Rex Ryan clearly wants to boast his team's toughness against the Browns… What better way to do it than in the trenches? Shonn Greene should see some good work here... The Jets will have opportunities through the air, too. Despite giving Patriots quarterback Tom Brady fits last weekend, the Browns defense ranks 25th against the pass… Braylon Edwards may have something to prove, as well, as he returns to Cleveland to face his former team. Edwards already said that he expects boos from the crowd, and he'll be eager to verify that he left his ball-dropping ways with his old No. 17 Browns jersey.
THE X-FACTOR: Dustin Keller. With Cleveland using confusing defensive looks to try and throw off Mark Sanchez, the Jets signal caller will be looking for his safety valve often. Keller will get in and out of coverage because he is a matchup nightmare -- especially with Santonio Holmes and Edwards drawing attention outside.
Nick's pick: Jets win, 20-13.