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GWR's Nick St. Denis with his look at Saturday night's game.

Something to watch when the Colts are on offense –

Indy is tied with the Giants for the league-lead in fewest sacks given up (16). This isn't because the Colts' offensive line has been spectacular. In fact, Indianapolis' front unit has been par at best. The difference is Peyton Manning is stubborn about getting the ball out of his hand before he goes down, which may be a big reason why he threw 11 interceptions in a three-game span earlier in the season.

The Jets may have some chances to make plays on the ball if they can make Manning feel pressured enough to prematurely throw it into a good secondary.

Something to watch when the Colts are on defense –

The Colts have given up the fifth-most 20+-yard rushes with 16. Indianapolis sees just fewer than 28 rushes per game, but that could change Saturday night. If the Jets are smart, they'll try to run the heck out of the ball in order to keep Manning off the field, and also because the more you pound this defense on the ground, the more susceptible it is to giving up one of those big runs.

Shonn Greene and/or LaDainian Tomlinson will bust a big one for a score. A Colts strength –

Manning leads the No. 1-ranked passing offense in terms of yards per game (288.1). Everyone knows about what this air attack is capable of: efficiency, great first-down play, backbreaking third-down conversions and stellar use of slot receivers.

A Colts weakness –

Some will excuse Indianapolis' lack of a running game as having poor numbers because "the Colts choose not to run." Well, would you run if you were at the bottom of the league in yards per carry, gaining just 3.8 yards a clip? ‘Nuff said.

Matchup to watch –

Reggie Wayne vs. Antonio Cromartie.

Put Cro on Wayne all game with a little safety help and allow Darrelle Revis to take on the hot-hand receiver, whoever it may be that quarter. If Cro can keep an outside position on Wayne when he goes down the field, he may give his safety in opportunity to jump the route for a pick.

Final thoughts and Nick's picking –

Jets are better pretty much everywhere but the pass rush and quarterback. New York runs the ball well up the gut to neutralize the outside rush and the Jets secondary has a big day. NYJ win, 21-20.

Follow Nick St. Denis, Author of the blog OffTheLineFootball.com, at Twitter.com/NickStDenis


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