When Is Sanchez at His Best?

In his second year with the New York Jets, Mark Sanchez showed an interesting tendency with his accuracy, Nick St. Denis reports.

Mark Sanchez does best 30 and under. 20 and under, even better.

And no, we don't mean with the ladies in da club. Get your mind out of the gutter. We're talking passing attempts. If we were talking about the other, we'd be talking numbers in the teens anyway.

Last season, the New York Jets signal-caller maintained an 82.5 passer rating on his first 10 attempts in a given game. His rating barely dipped to 81.3 in passes 11 to 20, and in passing attempts 21 to 30, Sanchez's rating fell again -- this time to 76.8.

The notable change comes when he hits the 31-plus count.

Sanchez's quarterback rating drops to 65.5 on pass attempts 31 and up, and the sample size is large enough. He attempted 81 passes after the 30 mark, completing 48.1 percent of them and tossing three touchdowns to three interceptions.

It's fair to assume that effectiveness can be reduced because of too many reps and fatigue, but that's not the case for other quarterbacks in the league.

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, for example, gets better the more he throws. In 2010, his rating was 98.8 on his first 20 passes and 111.3 on passes 21 or more. On 75 total passes after eclipsing 30 in a game, he had a 117 rating and completed them at a 70.7 percent rate.

A more reasonable comparison is Josh Freeman, who was drafted by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers the same year Sanchez was picked up in New York. Freeman tossed for a 98 quarterback rating last season but was 103.6 after 20 passes and 103.9 after 30. His completion percentage improved nearly five percent after 20 passes.

Despite Sanchez's drop in efficiency the more he throws, game-winning plays in the final ticks of big games are what defined him in 2010. No one can argue with his leadership or the fact that he's 4-2 in road playoff games through two years in the NFL.

But if the best offensive line in the league has the run game going, it's best to keep Sanchez's pitch count in the mid-20 range.

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\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\nblog comments powered by Disqus","mobileBody":"Mark Sanchez does best 30 and under. 20 and under, even better.

And no, we don't mean with the ladies in da club. Get your mind out of the gutter. We're talking passing attempts. If we were talking about the other, we'd be talking numbers in the teens anyway.

Last season, the New York Jets signal-caller maintained an 82.5 passer rating on his first 10 attempts in a given game. His rating barely dipped to 81.3 in passes 11 to 20, and in passing attempts 21 to 30, Sanchez's rating fell again -- this time to 76.8.

The notable change comes when he hits the 31-plus count.

Sanchez's quarterback rating drops to 65.5 on pass attempts 31 and up, and the sample size is large enough. He attempted 81 passes after the 30 mark, completing 48.1 percent of them and tossing three touchdowns to three interceptions.

It's fair to assume that effectiveness can be reduced because of too many reps and fatigue, but that's not the case for other quarterbacks in the league.

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, for example, gets better the more he throws. In 2010, his rating was 98.8 on his first 20 passes and 111.3 on passes 21 or more. On 75 total passes after eclipsing 30 in a game, he had a 117 rating and completed them at a 70.7 percent rate.

A more reasonable comparison is Josh Freeman, who was drafted by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers the same year Sanchez was picked up in New York. Freeman tossed for a 98 quarterback rating last season but was 103.6 after 20 passes and 103.9 after 30. His completion percentage improved nearly five percent after 20 passes.

Despite Sanchez's drop in efficiency the more he throws, game-winning plays in the final ticks of big games are what defined him in 2010. No one can argue with his leadership or the fact that he's 4-2 in road playoff games through two years in the NFL.

But if the best offensive line in the league has the run game going, it's best to keep Sanchez's pitch count in the mid-20 range.

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