OMH: The Verdict on Jeff Backus? Positive

Jeff Backus caught slack after allowing the hit that derailed Matthew Stafford's 2010 campaign. But was it all bad for the veteran left tackle? Ty Schalter looks at the numbers of Backus and right tackle Gosder Cherilus.

(This is the third in a multi-part series by Ty Schalter evaluating Detroit's off-season needs on the offensive side of the football. Ty has penned "Old Mother Hubbard" the last few years, an idiom to restocking a franchise that was once left bare - ed.)

OMH Series: Defense (Position-by-Position) | Overall Defense
Offense: Center | Guards 

After my review of the centers took a whack at a perennial fan piñata, Dominic Raiola, I've been both anticipating and dreading doing this one. Fortunately, I was pleasantly surprised:

PFF's top graded NFL left tackle is Andrew Whitworth, who is not that defensive end from the Cardinals from back in the day. A 2006 second-round pick, the 6-foot-7, 335-pounder turned in the NFL's second-best pass block grade, ninth-best run block grade, and best screen block grade. He did take seven penalties, but even that wasn't enough to drag him off the top of the heap. At the bottom is Levi Jones. Levi turned in an appalling minus-34.1 pass block grade, while allowing the Cardinals' sad menagerie of quarterbacks to get flattened.

Jeff Backus

Of course, the man of the hour is Jeff Backus, and unsurprisingly he's the Lions' best offensive tackle. His overall plus-1.4 grade puts him 21st out of 78 offensive tackles; 13th out of left tackles. His pass block grade slots him 27th, 14th amongst qualifying left tackles. His run block grade is 33rd, or 16th amongst left tackles. His four penalties called (one declined/offset) gave him the eighth-best penalty grade in the NFL (fifth-best amongst left tackles). You'll notice that his blue line is solidly above the thick black AVERAGE.

Jeff Backus performed like an above-average tackle in 2010.

That's correct. Jeff Backus performed like an above-average tackle in 2010.

Backus was 13th amongst left tackles in snaps-per-sack, or QB-hits-allowed, with 87.2 (NFL avg. 83). He was 21st amongst left tackles in snaps-per-pressure-allowed, with 34.3 (NFL avg. 41). That's the only dimension of Jeff Backus' game where he wasn't above both the mean and median for either all offensive tackles, or left tackles only: he has a below-average-but-not-awful pressures-allowed rate. Whew.

Digging into the individual-game grades a little bit, Backus (predictably) was graded either weakly or strongly positive in all but five games. His five negative grades, were: minus-1.0, minus-1.5, minus-1.5, minus-2.1, minus-2.6, and a nasty minus-5.4 against Buffalo, of all teams. From Week 4 (at Green Bay) through Week 10 (at Buffalo), Backus turned in a positive pass block grade of plus-1.0 or better for all but one game. (plus-0.1, vs. Washington). That's right, even in only truly bad game, Backus was strongly positive in pass protection. Along with the rest of the line, he was awful at run blocking data, though (minus-5.1), and he was assessed two penalties. Other than that, though, Backus was mostly positive or neutral across the board.

Bottom Line: Jeff Backus, for the second-straight year, has turned in a solidly-above-average performance at left tackle. His ten-year consecutive games streak is an amazing accomplishment, and he's playing the best football of his life. The Lions will be fine with him for 2011—but how much tread is left on those tires?

Gosder Cherilus

As the offense's answer to Cliff "It Would Be So Sweet if This Guy Stepped Up" Avril, Gosder Cherilus answered the bell, if not with the same aplomb his defensive counterpart did. Cherilus was PFF's 27th best graded offensive tackle in 2010, 13th if you're counting only right tackles. His plus-0.5 pass block grade slotted him 26th best (12th amongst RTs)—slightly better than Backus! Gosder's minus-2.7 run-block grade was only 42nd best out of 78 OTs, though, and 18th of the right siders.

PFF only has him credited with five penalties (one declined/offset), though, so his penalty rating was right about average—great news for those of us with random bald spots from pulling our hair out.

Statistically, Gosder has a nice feather for his cap: he averaged 120.9 snaps per QB sack or hit allowed! This is the 13th best mark overall, and 9th amongst right tackles. Like Backus, though, he allowed a lot of pressures; one every 31.3 snaps, on the average. That's 48th best amongst all tackles, 20th amongst primary RTs.

Gosder's individual game grades are fascinating. For the first three games, he turned in horrific grades of minus-4.6, minus-3.0, and minus-4.9. After that, he was a stud. He turned eight straight games without a negative pass block, run block, or overall grade. He was strongly positive overall for six of those eight games. In the ninth game, against Chicago, Gosder had a tough time run blocking (minuis-1.1), which brought down his overall grade for that week to minus-1.0.

After Week 3, Gosder's performance went from practice-squad material to top ten right tackle stuff.

I thought Rob Sims' grades had a noticeable "slump" in them, but this is incredibly dramatic -- like night and day. I have no idea what happened after Week 3, but Gosder's performance went from practice-squad material to top ten right tackle stuff.

Bottom Line: Gosder took a huge step forward in 2010—specifically, in Week 4 of 2010. I can't explain what turned the lightswitch on, but if he recovers from his knee injury and picks up where he left off, Cherilus will be a top ten RT in 2011 and beyond. That's a big "If," though.

Corey Hilliard

One of the biggest surprises of the year was backup RT Corey Hilliard, who came in cold in relief of Cherilus on Thanksgiving and turned in an impressive plus-1.7 grade on just 33 reps. I remember him playing a pretty good game the following week against Green Bay, too, but the PFF graders handed him a minus-1.8, due to a minus-2.0 pass block mark. He was given an overall negative grade for every game thereafter, too. His only positive grade of any sort after that New England game was his plus-1.9 run block grade against Tampa—negated in the overall grade by five pressures allowed, and two penalties assessed.

Bottom Line: By only allowing one sack in 271 snaps, Corey Hilliard flashed performance we had no idea was there. He played only better than you'd expect from a 2007 sixth-rounder with very, very few snaps of live action—but you wouldn't expect much at all, and Hillard was far short of revelatory. I expect him to be in the mix as a backup for 2011, but Hilliard does not appear to be a long-term answer. He is only 25, however.

Jason Fox

Rookie fourth-round draft pick Jason Fox only saw the field for 26 snaps, in Week 17. A natural left tackle, Fox played out of position at RT. He didn't surrender any QB sacks or hits, and only one pressure—but his run blocking was abysmal, graded out at a horrendous minus-4.0 by PFF. All the talk about him needing to develop his body, build strength in the weight room, and all that sure rings true.

Bottom Line: Fox was a project pick, and we knew that at the time. He will definitely be in the mix as a swing backup, but you cannot "pencil him in" as either the left, or right, tackle of the future just yet.

SHOPPING LIST: The Lions need a long-term heir apparent to Jeff Backus at left tackle, one who can fill in for Gosder Cherilus if his rehab falls behind schedule.

About The Author
Ty Schalter is a professional geek and family man. He regularly converts his undying fandom into words and numbers both for, and his Detroit Lions blog, "The Lions in Winter."


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