By the Numbers: Comebacks

We go inside the numbers to detail Aaron Rodgers' success in fourth-quarter comeback situations.

A look at the Green Bay Packers' performance in opportunities for fourth-quarter comebacks or game-winning drives during Aaron Rodgers' tenure as the starting quarterback.

0: Fourth-quarter comebacks accomplished against teams that finished with a .500 record or better. According to FootballOutsiders.com's Scott Kacsmar, Rodgers is 0-18 in those games, which does not include this year's losses to San Francisco and Cincinnati because their final record has not been established.

.172: Rodgers' winning percentage in fourth-quarter comeback opportunities, a 5-24 record. Cam Newton (2-16) is the worst among current quarterbacks at .111, followed by Rodgers, Jason Campbell (7-25; .219), Philip Rivers (14-35; .286) and Sam Bradford (5.5-10.5; .344), according to Kacsmar.

.257: Rodgers' winning percentage in game-winning drive opportunities, a 9-26 record. Newton (2-17) is the worst at .105, followed by Rodgers, Campbell (10-26; .278), Rivers (17-38; .309) and Bradford (5.5-11.5; .324), according to Kacsmar.

1: Fourth-quarter comeback accomplished against a team that finished 0-16 (48-25 win at Detroit in 2008).

2: Game-winning drives accomplished against teams with winning records (10-3 over Chicago in 2010, 38-35 over the Giants in 2011).

3: Missed field goals by Mason Crosby that would have won games. Two of the kicks were misses from beyond 50 yards and the third was a 38-yard try that was blocked at Chicago.

5: Fourth-quarter comebacks by Rodgers. Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson, rookies last season, also have five fourth-quarter comebacks. Luck is 5-4 and Wilson is 5-5. 5: Overtime games played by Rodgers. He owns a 0-5 record in those games. The offense was on the field for three of those games. In two of those games, the Packers failed to get a first down. In the third, Rodgers threw an interception.

7: More comebacks/game-winning drives that Rodgers would have had if not for breakdowns by the Packers' defense and special teams: Carolina and Jacksonville in 2008, Pittsburgh in 2009, Chicago in 2010, Seattle and Indianapolis in 2012 and San Francisco in 2013.

7: Of Rodgers' nine game-winning drives, seven came against Detroit (four) and Chicago (three).

18: Of Rodgers' 26 failures in comeback/game-winning opportunities, 18 came against teams that finished with winning records. One came against a .500 team and two more came against teams that finished 7-9. (Two games came this season, so their final record has not been established. So, officially, 18-of-24 had winning records, or 75 percent.)

97.8: Rodgers' career passer rating in games in which the final margin is seven points or less. His rating is 102.4 in games decided by eight to 14 points and 119.0 in games decided by 15-plus points.


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Bill Huber is publisher of Packer Report magazine and PackerReport.com and has written for Packer Report since 1997. E-mail him at packwriter2002@yahoo.com, or leave him a question in Packer Report's subscribers-only Packers Pro Club forum. Find Bill on Twitter at twitter.com/PackerReport.


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