Week 12 Preview: Packers vs. Vikings

We have everything you need to know about Sunday's game at Lambeau Field between the Packers (5-5) and Vikings (2-8), from notes and stats to our prediction.

MINNESOTA (2-8) at GREEN BAY (5-5)

KICKOFF: Sunday, noon

TV: Fox

OPENING LINE: Packers by 5

RECORD VS. SPREAD: Minnesota 4-6, Green Bay 4-6

SERIES RECORD: Packers lead 56-49-1

LAST MEETING: Packers beat Vikings 44-31, Oct. 27, 2013

LAST WEEK: Vikings lost to Seahawks 41-20; Packers lost to Giants 27-13

AP PRO32 RANKING: Vikings No. 30, Packers No. 14

STREAKS, STATS ANS NOTES: 106th meeting between teams, Vikings' most common opponent in franchise history. ... Meeting of two teams in bottom fourth of NFL in turnover margin, with Vikings at minus-8 (tied for 27th) and Packers at minus-6 (tied for 24th). ... RB Adrian Peterson needs one TD rushing to have at least 10 in each of first seven seasons. Coach Leslie Frazier said he was "cautiously optimistic" at midweek that Peterson (groin) will play. ... DE Brian Robison has three sacks in past three games. ... KR Cordarrelle Patterson's 962 kickoff return yards are most by Vikings player through first 10 games of season. Patterson set NFL record last time teams met with 109-yard kickoff return for touchdown. ... Packers looking to avoid first three-game home losing streak since losing first three games at Lambeau Field in 2006. ... Packers did not allow sack last week against Giants, first time since Week 4 last season against Saints. ... RB Eddie Lacy has 645 yards rushing over last seven games, tops in NFL in that span. ... LB Clay Matthews has at least one sack in each of last four games against Vikings. ... QB Scott Tolzien set to become first Packers QB other than Brett Favre or Aaron Rodgers to start back-to-back games since Don Majkowski started first three games in 1992.

PACKER REPORT PREDICTION (9-1): Talking to a scout on Friday night, he put Aaron Rodgers' broken collarbone into this perspective: Rodgers is so good that, if "nothing else goes right, you still go 8-8." At least the Packers are playing the Vikings this week. "Hey, Peterson's not full strength so at least you have a chance," he said with a laugh. He discounted our premise that the Packers would roll but agreed the Packers would win. Even without Rodgers, the Packers have more weapons than the Vikings, and their defense is better than Minnesota's, too. As with the last matchup, Minnesota's best chance depends on a touchdown by its special teams, which certainly isn't out of the question, especially on a cold afternoon in which touchbacks just aren't going to happen.

Turnover Margin (-6)13 24T
Points Scored (25.8)6 7
Points Allowed (23.9)9 18
Total Offense (417.4)2 3
Rushing (134.3)5 6
Passing (283.1)3 5
Total Defense (350.9)8 18
vs. Rush (103.8)6T 12T
vs. Pass (247.1)10 21
Third-Down Offense (42.3%)4 7
Third-Down Defense (35.8%)5 10T
Red-Zone Offense (43.2%)16 30
Red-Zone Defense (57.6%)10 19
Passing: Rodgers (108.0)2 3
Rushing: Lacy (696)7 8
Receptions: Nelson (57)7 13
Rec. Yds.: Nelson (889)3 7
Interceptions: 4 players (1)43T 74T
Sacks: Daniels (4.5)21T 45 T
Turnover Margin (-8)14 27T
Points Scored (24.0)10 14
Points Allowed (32.0)16 32
Total Offense (317.7)13 26
Rushing (111.5)8 16T
Passing (206.2)13 25
Total Defense (391.7)14 30
vs. Rush (111.6)8 14
vs. Pass (280.1)13 29
Third-Down Offense (39.7%)6 9
Third-Down Defense (49.0%) 16 32
Red-Zone Offense (53.6%)10 18
Red-Zone Defense (60.5%)13 26
Passing: Ponder (74.9)15 27
Rushing: Peterson (851)4 4
Receptions: Simpson/Jennings (34)32T 69T
Rec. Yds.: Simpson (492).27T 52T
Interceptions: 3 players (2)17T 29T
Sacks: Allen (5.0)17T 35T

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