TALE OF THE TAPE
|HYDE, Carlos||Ohio State||Senior||5:11.5||235||4.62|
|MASON, Vincent "Tre"||Auburn||Junior||5:09.2||205||4.52|
|SIMS, Charles||West Virginia||Senior||5:11.6||213||4.54|
2013 SEASON RUSHING STATISTICS
KEY: GM indicates games played that season…ATT indicates amount of rushing attempts… YARDS indicates rushing yardage gained…AVG indicates average per carry…TD indicates touchdown runs…SDS indicates key non-scoring rushing attempts on drives that resulted in touchdowns/field goals…1st indicates rushing attempts that were good for first downs…3rd indicates successful third-down runs that were converted into first downs…4th indicates successful fourth-down runs that were converted into first downs…10+ indicates rushing attempts that gained 10-19 yards…20+ indicates carries for 20 yards or longer…RZ indicates rushing attempts inside the red zone…GL indicates carries on goal-line plays…MT indicates times runner was tackled by more than one defender on non-touchdown carries…TFL indicates times tackled behind the line of scrimmage on rushing attempts…NG indicates rushing attempts that were stopped for no gain.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: While Carey is the leading ground gainer, he did have 22 more carries than Sankey, despite playing one less game. Mason also went past the 300-carry threshold, but has some medical concerns, based on an alleged wrist injury that might require surgery…The three ball-carriers rushed past the 1,800-yard mark at an impressive clip of at least 5.4 yards per attempt… Seastrunk's quickness and cutback agility is the best in this group, but many teams, the Bears included, realize that due to his lack of power (15 reps in the 225-pound bench press) and late-game stamina issues, he might be better utilized as a change-of-pace ball-carrier. His obvious weak points are a lack of durability (nagging injuries) and little-to-no pass-catching ability…Mason reached the end zone regularly, but he operated in a system that predominantly used a lead-blocking fullback, while others were often used in a one-back scheme. With his nagging left wrist bothering him throughout the postseason, teams have not been able to evaluate Mason, though he was stopped for a loss only nine times (17 other runs ended in no gains) and had 67 non-touchdown runs where it took more than one defender to bring him down…With Seastrunk possessing no receiving skills, his limited amount of third-down carries reflects the team's lack of confidence in having him on the field during those situations...Sankey was effective as a third-down runner, converting a highly impressive 38-of-47 attempts (80.85%). Carey was successful on 25-of-34 third-down runs (73.53%), Hyde was limited to just 12-of-16 third-down tries (75.0%), Mason checked in with 21-of-26 successful carries (80.77%) and Sims delivered on 12-of-21 totes (57.14%).
POWER RUNNING GAME
KEY: ATT indicates amount of non-touchdown rushing attempts…MT indicates times runner was tackled by more than one defender on non-touchdown carries…PCT indicates percentage of multiple-tackled runs compared to total amount of carries…RK indicates rank in that category…1st indicates rushing attempts that were good for first downs…3rd indicates successful third-down runs that were converted into first downs…4th indicates successful fourth-down runs that were converted into first downs…PCT indicates percentage of runs converted into first downs compared to total amount of carries…RZ indicates rushing attempts inside the red zone…PCT indicates red zone rushing attempts compared to total amount of carries…TD indicates total touchdown runs of 1-to-19 yards (inside the red zone)…PCT indicates touchdown runs of 1-to-19 yards compared to total amount of carries…PTS for each ranking category, players receive points based on their finish-5 points for first, 4 for second, 3 for third, 2 for fourth, 1 for fifth, 0 for sixth…TOT indicates that running back's final ranking vs. the other players listed…Note-categories are based on average per game.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: While change-of-pace ball-carriers can generate big outside runs, the quality franchise-type ball-carriers in the NFL need to have success running between the tackles. One area that I examine to determine the power in a running back's game is on his non-touchdown runs that result in multiple defenders having to stop the player after the tailback breaks away from the initial tackle. The "MT" category, along with a superb performance in the weight room at the 2014 NFL Scouting Combine (26 reps in the 225-pound bench press, second-best for all tailbacks and fullbacks), Sankey further showed off his leg drive and ability to move through the pile, as 35.18% of those type of carries saw him be gang-tackled…Carey and Hyde also display a strong inside running game. In the case for Carey, it should help prevent him from sliding too far on draft boards, as some teams downgraded him after poor running performances at the Combine (4.70/4.75 in the 40-yard dash) and again during Arizona's Pro Day (4.72). Most had hoped Carey would have shown better speed, but the power area of his game is above average for a player of his shorter-than-ideal stature (5:093, 207)…Sankey and Mason seemed to thrive in close quarters, evidenced by the high amount of successful runs inside the red zone...On the other spectrum, his obvious lack of power behind his runs saw Seastrunk mostly observing play on the field when the team got close to the goal line (had 16 carries where he was dropped for a loss and seven others for no yards, leaving him with nothing to show for on 14.56% of his attempts)…Sims did adequately inside the red zone but, like Seastrunk, he is not considered a power runner (stopped for a loss 20 times and had 15 other runs for no yards, resulting in 16.83% of his carries failing to produce).
OUTSIDE RUNNING GAME
KEY: ATT indicates amount of rushing attempts…10+ indicates rushing attempts that gained 10-19 yards…20+ indicates carries for 20 yards or longer…PCT indicates percentage of long runs compared to total amount of carries…RK indicates player's ranking in that category…TD indicates total amount of touchdown runs…LTD indicates touchdown runs of 20 or more yards…PCT indicates percentage of long runs (20 yards or longer) compared to the player's total touchdown runs…TDS indicates big running plays by the player that set up touchdowns scored by other teammates…FGS indicates big running plays by the player that set up team field goals…PCT indicates percentage of carries that set up touchdown drives/field goals compared to the player's total amount of carries...PTS for each ranking category, players receive points based on their finish-5 points for first, 4 for second, 3 for third, 2 for fourth, 1 for fifth, 0 for sixth… TOT indicates that running back's final ranking vs. the other players listed.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: In the search for the "perfect" back, both inside and outside running success have been hard to find in recent years. Old-timers that remember the likes of Miami's Mercury Morris might see similar qualities in the burst and sidestep skills that Seastrunk possesses, and you can not argue the big chunks of "real estate" he gets once he locates the cutback lane. However, he has no redeeming skills as a receiver and his limited amount of touches during tight-area running opportunities will limit him, Oregon's DeAnthony Thomas, Mississippi State's LaDarius Perkins, Missouri's Henry Josey and Northern Arizona's Zach Bauman to change-of-pace type of plays only, if they make an NFL roster…For a 230-pounder, Hyde appears to have a nice blend of power and, even though he's been timed at 4.66, he runs with good body lean. He won't escape contact, but his success on outside runs comes from his ability to break arm tackles (had 43 of his 208 carries gain at least 10 yards, including 11 for 20 yards or longer)…Sankey had 119 more rushing attempts than Hyde, leading this group of ball-carriers with 50 carries for at least 10 yards, but he had 10 more attempts that generated 20 yards or longer than the Ohio State product and eight more than any other ball-carrier examined here…Sims' best quality is his ability to catch coming out of the backfield, rather than being used much on outside runs (22 first downs on 45 catches). Those that remember Green Bay's Dorsey Levens will see similar blue-collar ability in Sims, but he is better in a running back-by-committee system than to be a featured ball-carrier.
NEGATIVE RUNNING PLAYS
KEY: ATT indicates amount of rushing attempts…TFL indicates rushing attempts that the ball-carrier was tackled for a loss…NG indicates amount of carries that the ball-carrier was stopped for no gain… PCT indicates percentage of tackles for loss/no gain compared to total amount of carries…RK indicates player's ranking in that category, based on lowest percentage…GM indicates total amount of games played…PEN indicates amount of times ball-carrier was penalized…FUM indicates amount of times ball-carrier fumbled the ball…PCT indicates percentage of penalties/fumbles by the ball-carrier per rushing attempt…RK indicates player's ranking in that category, based on lowest percentage…TO indicates player's fumbles that the opposition converted into scoring drives…PCT indicates percentage of fumbles the opponent converted into scoring drives… RK indicates player's ranking in that category, based on lowest percentage…PTS for each ranking category, players receive points based on their finish-5 points for first, 4 for second, 3 for third, 2 for fourth, 1 for fifth, 0 for sixth…TOT indicates running back's final ranking vs. the other players listed.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: Sankey fumbled just three times on 327 attempts, but all three were recovered by UW. He is a patient runner with good ball-security skills. Among his 13 tackles-for-loss, 10 carries came on broken plays. All told, 13.76% of his carries did not produce positive yardage…Hyde is a load to bring down, explaining one of the lowest percentages for tackles-for-loss per carry of any top-level ball-carrier in the last decade (1.44%) and just 5.77% of his attempts did not generate yardage…10.32% of Carey's rushes did not gain yards and Mason produced a low figure of 8.52%…Sims' and Seastrunk's lack of tackle-breaking strength saw the pair get taken down for a loss or no gain at a rate of 16.83% for Sims and 14.56% for Seastrunk.
OFFENSIVE IMPORTANCE, PART ONE
NOTE: TM figures are for only the games the player competed in.
KEY: 10TD indicates player's touchdown runs for 10 yards or longer…PCT indicates percentage of player's 10-yards or longer touchdowns vs. total touchdown runs…RK indicates rank in that category… 20TD indicates player's touchdown runs for 20 yards or longer…PCT indicates percentage of player's 20-yards or longer touchdowns vs. total touchdown runs…RK indicates rank in that category…TDR indicates total touchdown runs by player…TM indicates total touchdown runs by team…PCT indicates percentage of the player vs. team's touchdown runs…RK indicates rank in that category…R/YDS indicates amount of rushing yardage by the player…TM indicates rushing yardage by the team…PCT indicates percentage of the player's rushing yardage vs. his team…RK indicates rank in that category…PTS indicates points for each ranking category, players receive points based on their finish;-5 points for first, 4 for second, 3 for third, 2 for fourth, 1 for fifth, 0 for sixth… TOT indicates that running back's final ranking vs. the other players listed…Note-This category is based on percentage of plays involved in to break any ties.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: Ball-carriers usually take whatever their offensive line can give them, but while the NFL has put greater emphasis on their passing game, college puts a bit more reliance on moving the chains. Yes, this does lead to a high amount of mileage (carries) for some of these players, but with an established running game, an offense can keep a defense honest…West Virginia had the worst running game of any of the six teams examined here and Sims carried the brunt of the rushing load. The team's minimal chances for reaching the end zone on the ground were eased somewhat by Sims scoring 11 times, but that's the lowest figure for these six ball-carriers…Sankey was Washington's featured runner as the team set school season records for total offense (6,491) and rushing (3,107), as the junior set school records for rushing yards and ranks second for touchdown runs…Most of Seastrunk's touchdowns came via long-distance carries (11-of-17; 64.71%) and that is an area he likely will be used in at the next level — providing an instant spark rather than being on the field for all four downs…Carey is not one that has a second gear and, with his low pads, balance and leg drive, is more effective running between tackles and in a shorter area, preferably at or near the goal line (had nine scores on red zone plays)…With 230 pounds to chug with and 4.66 speed, Hyde is not the type that will win races in the open field, but with his strong burst up the middle, he does manage to reach the end zone in ways similar to Carey's…I was surprised that Mason did not have more long-distance scores, as he's not the type known as a move-oriented ball-carrier, and in addition to questionable strength and a wrist injury, he's only 5:09, 207.
OFFENSIVE IMPORTANCE, PART TWO
NOTE: TM figures are for only the games the player competed in.
KEY: APY indicates player's all-purpose yardage…TTO indicates team's total offense yardage (only in games played by the ball-carrier)…PCT indicates percentage of yardage player gained vs. that of his team…RK indicates rank in that category…PTD indicates total touchdowns/drives responsible by the player…TTD indicates total touchdowns registered by the team's offense (only in games played by the ball-carrier)…PCT indicates percentage of the team's offensive touchdowns registered by the player…RK indicates rank in that category…PRF indicates amount of points player scored or helped set up via rushing attempts (led to touchdowns/field goals)…TPT indicates amount of points scored by the team's offense (only in games played by the ball-carrier)… PCT indicates percentage of the player's points responsible for vs. points scored by his team's offense…RK indicates rank in that category…PTS indicates points for each ranking category, players receive points based on their finish;-5 points for first, 4 for second, 3 for third, 2 for fourth, 1 for fifth, 0 for sixth…TOT indicates that player's final ranking vs. the other four running backs listed…Note-This category is based on percentage of plays involved in to break any ties.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: Picking up yardage on the ground is highly important, but I also need to see the end-result from those rushing attempts. One way is to see who might be the best table-setter, whether scoring on his own or making the big play to keep those touchdown drives alive. In the previous 10 years, the only drafted running back that helped account for more scoring drives than Sankey (66.74% in 2013 and 65.0% in 2012) was Stanford's Toby Gerhart (68.89% in 2009)… Carey and Hyde also were responsible for the bulk of the points scored by their teams…Mason had to split touchdown opportunities with three other ball-carriers that combined for 24 of the team's 52 scores, with Mason chipping in with 23…Seastrunk ran for 11 touchdowns and set up six others but, like Mason, he was not the featured ball-carrier, as the other Bears combined for 29 touchdown runs, including 14 by QB Bryce Petty.
RECEIVING STATISTICS, PART ONE
NOTE: TM figures are for only the games the player competed in.
KEY: GP indicates games played…NO indicates amount of receptions…AVG indicates average receptions per game…RK indicates rank in that category…YDS indicates yards gained receiving…AVG indicates average yards gained receiving per game…RK indicates rank in that category…TD indicates touchdown receptions…AVG indicates average touchdown receptions per game…RK indicates rank in that category…SP indicates amount of big plays via receptions that led to the receiver's team capping that possession with either a touchdown or field goal…AVG indicates average big plays via receptions per game…RK indicates rank in that category…PTS indicates points for each ranking category, players receive points based on their finish;-5 points for first, 4 for second, 3 for third, 2 for fourth, 1 for fifth, 0 for sixth…TOT indicates that player's final ranking vs. the other running backs listed.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: Seastrunk was such a bad receiver, none of the Baylor quarterbacks ever targeted him, making him the only starting tailback in the last five years to not have a pass thrown his way for an entire season…Sims is the best receiver in this group and in the entire draft class. That is what brings comparisons to Levens, who was a stellar pass catcher. Sims pulled in 45-of-53 passes targeted to him (84.91%), dropping just one toss…While some liken Sankey to Cincinnati's Giovani Bernard, his ability to coyly slip out of the backfield is more like the success that Emmitt Smith used to have. He snared 28-of-34 tosses (82.35%) as a junior…Carey pulled down 26-of-34 targeted throws (76.47%) and Hyde managed to collect 16-of-24 passes headed his way (66.67%).
RECEIVING STATISTICS, PART TWO
NOTE: TM figures are for only the games the player competed in.
KEY: GP indicates games played…NO indicates amount of receptions by each athlete/TM indicates amount of receptions for the entire team…PCT indicates percentage of catches by each athlete vs. total amount of catches for the entire team…RK indicates rank in that category…YDS indicates yards gained receiving by each athlete/TM indicates amount of receiving yards gained by the entire team…PCT indicates percentage of receiving yards gained by each athlete vs. total amount of receiving yards by the entire team……RK indicates rank in that category…TD indicates touchdown receptions by each athlete/TM indicates amount of touchdown catches for the entire team…PCT indicates percentage of touchdown catches by each athlete vs. total amount of touchdown receptions by the entire team…RK indicates rank in that category…SP indicates amount of key receptions by the athlete that led to scoring drives (either a touchdown or field goal)/TM indicates amount of scoring drives generated by the offensive unit (either a touchdown or field goal)…PCT indicates percentage of scoring drives each athlete was responsible for vs. the total amount of scoring drives generated by the offensive unit…RK indicates rank in that category…PTS indicates points for each ranking category, players receive points based on their finish;-5 points for first, 4 for second, 3 for third, 2 for fourth, 1 for fifth, 0 for sixth…TOT indicates that player's final ranking vs. the other running backs listed.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: With West Virginia often playing catch-up ball, it was very beneficial to have the best pass catching tailback occupying their backfield. Eighteen of his 45 catches were for 10 yards or longer, as he recorded 22 first downs, including 7-of-12 third-down grabs, as he scored three times, set up two other touchdown drives and three field goals in 2013…Sankey was also highly effective as a receiver. He generated 13 first downs on 28 catches, three coming on third-down snaps and another on a fourth-down play. Twelve of his grabs gained 10 yards, including three for 20 yards or longer. He scored once, setting up eight other touchdowns drives and on four possessions that ended with field goals…Carey has to be a bit more patient securing the ball, as he lost it three times via fumbles, but did convert 10 of his 26 catches into first downs, five coming on third-down snaps and one more on fourth down, collecting at least 10 yards on nine of his receptions…Hyde is limited as a receiver, as six of his catches produced negative yardage…Seastrunk's liability as a receiver, with more drops (ten) than receptions (nine) during his two-year career.
FINAL REPORT CARD
|MASON, Vincent "Tre"||14||12||05||08||05||09||04||07||050||5|
NOTE: This chart lists the statistics compiled by each running back during their respective seasons… PRG indicates points scored in the above Power Running Game Comparison Chart…ORG indicates points scored in the above Outside Running Game Comparison Chart…NPC indicates points scored in the above Negative Play Comparison Chart…OIC1 and OIC2 indicates points scored in the above Offensive Importance Comparison Chart…REC1 and REC2 indicate points scored in the above Receiving Statistical Comparison categories… OIC2 indicates points scored in the above Offensive Importance Comparison Chart (part two)…PTS indicates total points scored from all of these categories…RK indicates final ranking, based on total points scored.
ANALYZING THE RESULTS: The point distance between Sankey and the second-place finisher might not be enough to convince a team he is the best running back in this draft, but it certainly shows his all-around skills. Some say I am sticking my neck out here, but with his durability, power, quickness, balance and, most of all, his production, he is the closest thing I've seen since "sticking my neck out" and stated that one Emmitt James Smith III was by far a better ball-carrier than the more touted Blair Thomas (Jets), Darrell Thompson (Packers) or Steve Broussard (Falcons)…Sims pulled ahead of the rest with his impressive ability as a receiver, but hindsight says he was better off staying at the University of Houston rather than transferring to a stale offense that West Virginia featured…Hyde is the best big back in this draft. Teams looking for a Michael Turner type are sure to go early for this between-the-tackles ball-carrier. He's not in the Steven Jackson mold, though, as I doubt if he will offer much value as a receiving option out of the backfield…Carey was all the "rage" before the season, with a few teams concerned about his off-field troubles last summer. But the postseason has not been kind to the Wildcat, as he failed to impress at the Scouting Combine and further disappointed with an even worse performance during Arizona's pro day…As much as he continues to deny any issue with his left wrist, Mason could do a freefall if enough teams are concerned that the injury will require surgery…Seastrunk is going to have to rely on his speed to earn playing time as a change-of-pace back and as a returner. As a receiver, I liken him to former boxer Roberto Duran (hands of stone). Baylor's lack of confidence having him tote the ball in tight quarters was because they felt he was not strong enough to move the pile.