Packers Training Camp Countdown — 19 Days: Comparing the 2011, 2012 Drafts

You know the Packers drafted poorly in 2011 and 2012. We look at those drafts through a 2016 prism, comparing the current impact of every team's draft.

For the Green Bay Packers — a team built upon a philosophy of draft and develop — the 2011 and 2012 drafts were a major blow to their championship fortunes.

The Packers added 18 players during those drafts, including Derek Sherrod, Randall Cobb and Alex Green with the first three picks in 2011 and Nick Perry, Jerel Worthy and Casey Hayward with the first three picks in 2012. Other than Cobb, the 2011 draft was a bust, with fourth-rounder Davon House being the only other player to make an impact. Mike Daniels was the lone star harvested from the 2012 draft. The only players to survive to last year’s roster were Cobb from 2011 and Perry, Hayward and Daniels from 2012.

That, however, is the past. What about the upcoming season?

Other than the No. 1 picks from 2012 who had their first-round options picked up by their clubs, all of those draft picks have reached free agency. Which players are still with the teams that drafted them and, in light of that, how do the Packers’ drafts fare with the rest of the league?

Green Bay sits amid a large group of teams in the middle of the pack with three players still on the roster (Cobb, Daniels and Perry) and two projected starters (Cobb and Daniels).

Minnesota has a league-high eight players remaining from those drafts, a group that includes five starters (tight end Kyle Rudolph and guard Brandon Fusco from 2011 and left tackle Matt Kalil, safety Harrison Smith and kicker Blair Walsh from 2012).

Cincinnati has the most impact players with six starters — receiver A.J. Green, quarterback Andy Dalton and guard Clint Boling from 2011 and cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick, guard Kevin Zeitler and safety George Iloka from 2012.

The Los Angeles Rams have six draft picks still on the roster, including five starters. Dallas (six, with four starters), Seattle (five, with five starters) and Philadelphia (five, with four starters) also had outstanding drafts that are still paying dividends.

While there’s not a strong correlation between those teams’ draft successes and the win column, there’s an overwhelming correlation between bad drafts and a bad product on Sundays. The Giants don’t have a single player on the roster to show for their 15 picks. The Browns and Raiders have one player apiece, but no starters, from their 19 and 14 selections, respectively. Baltimore (16 picks), Chicago (11 picks) and Jacksonville (11 picks) each have one player — a starter — still on the team. Those six teams posted a combined record of 32-64 last season.

One thing that’s clear from the data is teams are reluctant to re-sign backups, preferring instead to churn over the roster with fresh faces on inexpensive rookie contracts. A total of 512 players were drafted in 2011 and 2012. Of the 99 players still on their original teams’ rosters, 79 are projected starters and 20 are backups.

WHO’S LEFT FROM 2011 AND 2012 DRAFTS

This chart shows the number of draft picks in 2011 and 2012 (first three columns) and the number of players, with starters in parentheses, on their original team’s roster (last three columns). “Starter” is from the depth charts at Ourlads.com and includes specialists.

Team11 Picks12 PicksTotal11—on team (start)12—on team (start)Total (start)
Minnesota 10 10 20 2 (2) 6 (3) 8 (5)
Cincinnati 8 20 18 3 (3) 4 (3) 7 (6)
Los Angeles 8 10 18 2 (2) 4 (3) 6 (5)
Dallas 8 7 15 2 (1) 4 (3) 6 (4)
Seattle 9 10 19 2 (2) 3 (3) 5 (5)
Philadelphia 11 9 20 1 (1) 4 (3) 5 (4)
Buffalo 9 9 18 2 (2) 2 (2) 4 (4)
Indianapolis 5 10 15 1 (1) 3 (3) 4 (4)
Tampa Bay 8 7 15 1 (1) 3 (3) 4 (4)
Denver 9 7 16 2 (1) 2 (2) 4 (3)
Washington 12 9 21 2 (2) 2 (1) 4 (3)
New England 9 7 16 2 (1) 2 (1) 4 (2)
Houston 8 8 16 2 (2) 1 (1) 3 (3)
Pittsburgh 7 9 16 2 (2) 1 (1) 3 (3)
Arizona 8 7 15 1 (1) 2 (1) 3 (2)
Green Bay 10 8 18 1 (1) 2 (1) 3 (2)
Kansas City 9 8 17 2 (2) 1 (0) 3 (2)
Miami 6 9 15 2 (1) 1 (1) 3 (2)
Tennessee 9 7 16 2 (1) 1 (1) 3 (2)
Atlanta 6 6 12 0 (0) 2 (2) 2 (2)
Carolina 8 7 15 1 (1) 1 (1) 2 (2)
Detroit 5 8 13 0 (0) 2 (2) 2 (2)
New Orleans 6 5 11 2 (2) 0 (0) 2 (2)
San Diego 8 7 15 1 (1) 1 (1) 2 (2)
San Francisco 10 7 17 2 (2) 0 (0) 2 (2)
N.Y. Jets 6 8 14 2 (1) 0 (0) 2 (1)
Baltimore 8 8 16 1 (1) 0 (0) 1 (1)
Chicago 5 6 11 0 (0) 1 (1) 1 (1)
Jacksonville 5 6 11 1 (1) 0 (0) 1 (1)
Cleveland 8 11 19 0 (0) 1 (0) 1 (0)
Oakland 8 6 14 1 (0) 0 (0) 1 (0)
N.Y. Giants 8 7 15 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0)

Bill Huber is publisher of PackerReport.com and has written for Packer Report since 1997. E-mail him at packwriter2002@yahoo.com or leave him a question in Packer Report’s subscribers-only Packers Pro Club forum. Find Bill on Twitter at www.twitter.com/PackerReport.


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