Trade scenarios for Packers

Veteran Packers reporter Matt Tevsh offers four trade scenarios that general manager Ted Thompson should strongly consider this weekend to help Green Bay obtain the impact player it needs.

The multi-million dollar question coming out of Packers' camp this week is, of course, who will the Packers take with the 16th pick in the first round of the 2007 NFL Draft? Marshawn Lynch? Reggie Nelson? Greg Olsen? Ted Ginn, Jr.?

How about nobody?

When the draft analysis finally subsides and prospect evaluation is fully completed, the Packers should try to maneuver a trade with their first pick. Where they are slotted to pick, the number of players being discussed as possible selections are of debatable mid-first round quality. That makes the possibility of trading their first-round pick more likely this draft than in Ted Thompson's previous two in Green Bay.

Of course everything will depend on what players the Packers value and how the picks ahead of them unfold on Saturday. The first few hours of the draft, as always, will be crucial.

If there is any guarantee that Thompson has given Packers' fans on draft weekend, it is that he will make a trade. He has yet to make such a move in the first round, but has been proactive in executing his plan to acquire picks the last two years.

What makes this draft different for the Packers is that they no longer need to stockpile picks. The majority of their roster, and depth chart for that matter, is set. Their priorities are different. They need an impact player now.

Because Thompson has been quiet this off-season in free agency, this weekend is the time to strike. The Packers are on the verge of becoming a good NFL team and making a statement on Day One of the draft is the best way they can make that happen.

Here are four trade scenarios, three involving the No. 16 pick, which should be pursued by the Packers when the draft clock starts. No doubt the team's personnel staff has discussed some of these already. If they have not, they need to.

1. Trade up to get running back Adrian Peterson of Oklahoma.
Making such a bold move would seem to require an amount of ammunition the Packers do not have. Because of that, acquiring Peterson, one of the top five players in the draft, is the least likely scenario, but a juicy one nonetheless.

While many mock drafts suggest the Packers will select Lynch, of California, at No. 16, he may not be available. The only other back considered first-round quality (and the Packers need a running back) is Peterson, who looks like a sure-fire franchise player and arguably the second biggest impact player in the draft behind Georgia Tech's Calvin Johnson.

So what can Thompson do to draft Peterson? He will have to be creative. There will be no easy deal. Sweet-talking the volatile Redskins at No. 6, though, is a good place to start if Peterson is still available at that pick.

2. Trade draft pick(s) for the Chargers' Michael Turner
Since trading up to select Peterson is a long shot, a more feasible move for Thompson would be to deal for Chargers' running back Michael Turner, who at least has NFL experience and could be the next big thing. No other college running back in the draft, besides Peterson, can match Turner's ability.

Though Turner re-signed with the Chargers as an unrestricted free agent this off-season, he still has tremendous trade value playing behind LaDainian Tomlinson. Turner is short (5-foot-10) but explosive, just needing the opportunity as a starter to break out. In three years in the NFL, he has averaged six yards per rush on 157 carries. Ten of those carries have gone for 20 or more yards.

Giving up a second-round pick for Turner would be a fair trade for both teams, and if that deal is available for the Packers, they should jump on it. Even swapping first round picks with the Chargers (who stand at No. 30) and throwing in a third-rounder has to be considered.

3. Trade a third-round pick for Randy Moss.
Moss talk has dominated off-season headlines in Green Bay and the draft might just be the perfect time to pull off a deal for the Raiders' disgruntled wide receiver.

Remember the Javon Walker trade last year? Talk of dealing Walker was all but dead headed into the draft, but then, in a swift 15 minutes in the second round, picks were being swapped and Walker was sent to Denver like it was an afterthought. New head coach Mike McCarthy even admitted his head was spinning for a moment in the draft room watching the action take place. Such a situation could present itself again this year, only with Moss.

Giving up a second-round pick for Moss would be too much at this point in the waiting game. The Packers appear to be the only suitor left and the best fit for the 10-year veteran. There is also the chance that Moss could be released, but if the Packers want to make sure to get him, giving up a third-rounder is well worth the risk.

4. Trade the No. 16 pick for a later first-rounder and a third-rounder
Because there is so much uncertainty regarding the talent being discussed in the middle of the first round, trading down is a strong possibility (albeit probably not a popular one) for the Packers. Thompson could follow suit with his past drafts and add more selections to the nine that the Packers have going into the draft.

Though Thompson gave an indication on Monday at his pre-draft press conference that the team is likely to stay at No. 16, do not count on it. Adding a third-round pick from another team to move down as much as 16 spots would be a tough deal to turn down.

Matt Tevsh

Matt Tevsh is a regular contributor to and Packer Report. E-mail him at

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