Rating the rookies' roster chances

From first-round pick Justin Harrell to seventh-round pick DeShawn Wynn to everyone in between, PackerReport.com's Steve Lawrence breaks down the chances of the 11 draft picks making the final roster.

The Green Bay Packers drafted 11 players this spring. The Packers had the youngest team in the NFL last year, so in many cases, it will be young player vs. young player to win a spot on the 53-man roster. That will make next month's training camp all the more intriguing, since the salary cap won't come into play in many of GM Ted Thompson's decisions.

So, which of the 11 will make the final roster?


Defensive tackle Justin Harrell, running back Brandon Jackson and safety Aaron Rouse. Harrell (first round) and Jackson (second round) are locks based on draft status alone. Rouse, taken in the third round at No. 89 overall, is an impressive-looking prospect. Given the shortcomings at safety, there's no chance he won't be on the final roster.

Almost a lock

Wide receiver James Jones was taken before Rouse with the 78th pick. He was impressive during the minicamps and is well on his way to making the team, but there's a lot of competition at the position. Then again, of the 12 receivers on today's roster (including Koren Robinson, who will miss the first four games of the season), only Donald Driver and Greg Jennings are locks.

Slightly better than a 50-50 chance

Offensive lineman Allen Barbre and kicker Mason Crosby. Barbre, the Packers' fourth-round pick, played at Division II Missouri Southern State. If there are any signs he can adapt to the speed of the pro game, he'll be fine. But it's impossible to tell at this point, since there were no full-speed, full-contact drills during the offseason workouts.

The Packers like incumbent kicker Dave Rayner, but Crosby will be given every chance to win the job. He's got a huge leg, and he made a bunch of clutch kicks at Colorado.

Slightly worse than a 50-50 chance

Receiver David Clowney, the Packers' fifth-round pick, would give the Packers' a much-needed vertical threat, but if he was only good enough to start five games as a senior at Virginia Tech, what's there to make you think he's good enough to make an NFL roster? Again, the competition at receiver is stiff, especially after Robinson's suspension ends after Week 4.

A decent chance

Tight end Clark Harris was the last of the Packers' picks, going in the seventh round at No. 243. He's a big kid who made a bunch of catches facing quality competition at Rutgers. I'm not breaking any news when I tell you the Packers' tight end situation is a mess, so he's got a chance if he proves he can block.

Shaky footing

Korey Hall, Desmond Bishop and DeShawn Wynn. Hall, the first of the Packers' sixth-round picks (No. 191) is moving from linebacker to fullback. Fullback isn't a strength on this team, but it's asking an awful lot of a low-round pick to make that kind of move. He's a definite practice-squad candidate, though.

Bishop, taken at No. 192, looked terrible in pass coverage at the minicamps. Even if he plays well in training camp, though, he's at a stacked position. Of all the picks, Bishop would be the most unlikely to make the roster.

There are high hopes for Wynn, taken in the seventh round at No. 228. He did lead national champion Florida in rushing, after all. For someone of his size and speed, though, Wynn was remarkably unproductive, not to mention immature. Plus, the Packers are high on the running back trio of Vernand Morency, Jackson and Noah Herron. And this from the NFL.com pre-draft scouting report should give pause as the Packers consider moving him to fullback: "Doesn't seem to have a taste for blocking."

Lawrence is a regular contributor to PackerReport.com. Send comments to steve_lawrence_packers@yahoo.com.

Packer Report Top Stories