Packers Odds: Quite a Gamble

The Packers are 12-to-1 favorites to win the Super Bowl. The sports book manager at Bodog explains why and talks about the rest of the NFC North Division in this question-and-answer piece with Packer Report.

The Packers opened as 12-to-1 favorites to win the Super Bowl, according to odds set by

That trails only New Orleans (10-to-1) in the NFC and is tied with Dallas and Minnesota. In the AFC, Indianapolis is the overall favorite at 13-to-2, followed by San Diego (8-to-1), New England (10-to-1) and Pittsburgh (12-to-1).

Packer Report fired off some questions to Bodog's sportsbook manager, Richard Gardner.

Bill: You guys obviously like the Packers as one of the favorites for next season. Why do you like the Packers? Is it as simple as them winning 11 games and having a top quarterback? Or are there other factors?

Richard: It seems every year there is a lot of love for the Green Bay Packers from the betting public, and 12-1 is a fair price in a division that may or may not include Brett Favre as a member of the Minnesota Vikings. I would not consider them as a favorite as there are a few teams with lower odds than them, but rather as a team that has a good chance to make the playoffs and make a run at the championship with Aaron Rodgers at the helm and a solid defense.

Bill: What did Aaron Rodgers prove to you this season? I'm guessing the Packers' odds are a lot better now than they were at this point last year.

Richard: The Packers opened up at 25-1 going into 2009 NFL season and Aaron Rodgers has proven he can compete at the highest level.

Bill: Interesting to see the Vikings at 12-to-1, just like the Packers. Where does that line go if Favre decides to come back or he decides to retire (for real)?

Richard: With Favre as a question mar,k both teams currently sit at 12-1. If Brett finally retires for good, the Green Bay Packers would most likely move ahead of the Vikings to win the division barring any unforeseen injuries or transactions.

Bill: What are your early thoughts on the other NFC North teams, the Bears and Lions?

Richard: The Chicago Bears opened at 35-1 to win the 2011 Super Bowl and we have already seen a ton of money come in on them and now they sit at 30-1. The Bears underachieved last season but our bettors seem to think they are up for a bounce-back season. The Detroit Lions are currently at 100-1, and despite showing signs of hope with Matthew Stafford as their quarterback, they are still a few years away from having a good chance to come out of their division.

Bill: Any idea what the Saints' odds were at this time last year? And maybe you can't answer this, but anyone you like as a dark horse other than the eight teams that are 12-to-1 or better?

Richard: The Saints opened the 2009 season at 20-1 to win the Super Bowl. Our bettors seem to think the Falcons at 30-1, the Panthers at 40-1 and the Texans at 35-1 are all early contenders as a dark horse to make a strong playoff run.

Bill: How difficult of a job is this when so much can change between now and September? And do these get a lot of play or do bettors tend to wait to closer to the season when things are more concrete?

Richard: Believe it or not, we have already seen a ton of action of next year's Super Bowl odds. Even though it is the week after the Super Bowl, people just cannot get enough of the NFL and are trying to find some value in some of these teams before any big trades or free agent signings occur. Betting on who will win the Super Bowl is something that we see action on constantly from the day after the Super Bowl right up until the next one.

Agree or disagree?: Discuss hot Packers topics in our, free forums. Leave Bill a question in the subscribers-only Packers Pro Club forum.

Bill Huber is publisher of Packer Report magazine and and has written for Packer Report since 1997. E-mail him at, or leave him a question in Packer Report's subscribers-only Packers Pro Club forum. Find Bill on Twitter at and Facebook under Bill Huber.

Packer Report Top Stories