Poore's Picks: Week Four In The NFL

Patriots Insider is pleased to provide week four's installment of Poore's Picks, a weekly pick'em column. Jim continues to slog through the tough times, but thinks he has things turned around now. Picking the games each and every week, Jim lays his record out for all to see, mull over and rip apart come gameday. Here are Poore's Picks for week four in the 2005 NFL football season.

Poore's Picks: Week Four
By Jim Poore

There is no question this has been a very unusual NFL season so far. The injuries are already taking their toll, especially to the defending Super Bowl Champions. The New England Patriots this past week suffered some major injuries, again, and this time they might be too difficult to overcome. Although they won the game, the losses of Rodney Harrison, Kevin Faulk and Matt Light could just be too devastating for even a Bill Belichick coached team to overcome this year. In Belichick's reign as New England's head coach, this might in fact be his toughest battle yet.

Injuries haven't only affected the Patriots -- the New York Jets also lost a key player when Chad Pennington went out for the year. Jets backup QB, Jay Fiedler, is also out with an injury. In Philadelphia, Donovan McNabb has a hernia, though reports indicate he will play through the pain. McNabb's effectiveness is almost certain to be affected. And then there are some surprise 3-0 teams not yet affected by the injury bug. It is most likely that some of these teams' streaks will come to an end in the next few weeks, possibly even this weekend.

Certainly every NFL season is different, but so far, this one has been unique. The 2005 season has seen the occurrence every sort of injury, the surprise emergence of teams thought to be bottom dwellers, and firings of supposed expert coaches, and this is just the first month. Our picks have been pretty unique so far as well, right around the .500 mark, which is commendable considering the upsets. As for the picks for week number four, let's see if we can do better than .500.

The Picks For Week Four

NEW ENGLAND 5 San Diego
The Patriots injuries continue to mount, and their schedule isn't getting any easier right now. It is a good thing they are home this weekend. The Chargers are coming off of a huge Sunday night victory, but I have a feeling that emotion might be running a bit too high. The Patriots are still a very good team, even with the injuries. They might have trouble stopping all-world LaDainian Tomlinson, but stopping Drew could be a Brees. Take the Pats, but it should be a very tight game.

Poore's Pick: Patriots 23-17

 

JACKSONVILLE 3 1/2 Denver
I have discovered one thing early on this season: the Jaguars are a pretty good team. I already knew one thing: Denver isn't. The Broncos are coming off of an emotional Monday night win against the hated Chiefs, and Monday night teams generally don't fare too well the following Sunday. The Jags are 2-1 and are a play away from being 3-0. The combination of a Jacksonville home game and a short practice week for Denver should make for a Jacksonville victory.

Poore's Pick: Jaguars 20-14

 

CINCINNATI 9 1/2 Houston
I think I have already mentioned that I like the Bengals this year. They are off to a fantastic start, though they haven't had a very difficult schedule. That doesn't matter. They are winning games and winning easily right now. The Texans, on the other hand, flat out stink right now. Though they have some talent, they just can't do anything right on either side of the ball. Offensive Coordinator Chris Palmer took the fall for the team's misfortunes when he was canned. I think a lot more reorganizing needs to be done in Houston. This game could be over by halftime.

Poore's Pick: Bengals 35-10

 

Indianapolis 7 TENNESSEE
One would think after hearing that Peyton Manning only had two touchdown passes that the Colts had to be 0-3. Wrong. Manning has been just good so far, but that is all he has needed to be. The Colts defense right now is one of the hot topics in the NFL, as they lead the league in fewest points allowed. However, as I have discovered, they are also 0-3 against the spread, a number I truly care about. The Titans have been a bit better then advertised, playing tough the first three weeks. Playing at home should be no different, especially against a division rival. I like the Titans to cover here, in what should be a very low scoring game.

Poore's Pick: Colts 17-13

 

KANSAS CITY 2 Philadelphia
Every year, no matter how well the Chiefs are playing, they always struggle against the Broncos and Jake Plummer. Dick Vermeil must have been crying a waterfall on the sidelines. The Eagles are playing with an injured Donovan McNabb, though it didn't seem to bother him last week. This week should be different. I think the Chiefs will bounce back. I have trouble seeing them losing two in a row, and up until last week, their defense has been very good. Take the Chiefs in a tight one at Arrowhead.

Poore's Pick: Chiefs 26-23

 

TAMPA BAY 6 1/2 Detroit
Tampa might in fact be the biggest surprise of the season so far. But as with most pleasant surprises, all good things must come to an end. I think they will win this game, but they will struggle. Tampa might be the worst 3-0 team in NFL history. The Lions, on the other hand, stink as bad as the Texans right now. Another bad game by Joey Harrington and he might have a new best friend in the bench. I think the week off helped the Lions, though they could have used a month. Expect the Lions to keep it close, but the Bucs will prevail in the end.

Poore's Pick: Buccaneers 21-16

 

NEW YORK GIANTS 3 St. Louis
The Giants got pasted Sunday night, and now have to deal with punk Plaxico Burress shooting his mouth off. It's hard to imagine Tom Coughlin signing this someone with Burress' reputation in the offseason. The Rams are coming off of a close victory against the Titans, but they still aren't very good. Remember, Mike Martz is their head coach. I think New York bounces back here. Their defense should be able to contain the erratic Marc Bulger, and the Giants will need to win to keep pace in the tough NFC East. Take the Giants here.

Poore's Pick: Giants 27-17

 

NEW ORLEANS pick Buffalo
This is technically a home game for the Saints, though now some of the players are complaining to the NFL about the team's opening week game. Yeah, complaining three week's later about a loss will help. As for the Bills, they also were handed a huge loss with Takeo Spikes injury forcing him out for the year. The rest of the defense is really going to have to step up now, especially because the Bills offense is absolutely terrible right now. It looks like the Bills took too early of a chance on J.P. Losman, he just is not playing well right now. Take the Saints here at home. There is a reason why this game is a pick em, nobody wants to pick a winner.

Poore's Pick: Saints 30-24

 

WASHINGTON 2 Seattle
The Redskins are one of those surprising undefeated teams, but they could be worse than Tampa Bay. Washington did get some early rest with a bye in week three, but they are playing a Seattle team that could be getting hot, at least Shaun Alexander is anyway. Alexander exploded for four touchdowns last week. Seattle really should run away with the division in the NFC West, but we all know how that usually turns out. This is my upset special of the week. Like last week, it's not really a big upset, because the Redskins are favored. Besides, I have to get one right one of these weeks, I think. The Seahawks really should win this game, and they will.

Poore's Pick: Seahawks 32-20

 

BALTIMORE 7 New York Jets
This might be the first game in NFL history to end in a 0-0 tie. Both offenses are horrible right now, and the Jets is only going to get worse with Brook Bollinger taking the snaps. New York did sign My Cousin Vinny Testaverde and that should help later on. Both teams' defenses will obviously shine here, and New York's is still pretty decent. Take the Ravens here though. I don't think this is a game that is going to get on anybody's TiVo.

Poore's Pick: Ravens 13-3

 

ATLANTA 5 1/2 Minnesota
The Falcons did look impressive last week in beating Buffalo on the road. I am amazed at all of the Atlanta fans that are suddenly showing up all over the country. I didn't see them all come out 10 years ago when the team absolutely stunk. It must be the Vick factor. Daunte Culpepper finally played well last week. It only took him three weeks. I'm still not sure which quarterback is going to show up on Sunday. Even though Michael Vick is the talk in Atlanta, it's their defense that is the real story. I think the Falcons will be able to slow down Culpepper and the Viking offense. These games are usually pretty close, and this one will be as well. I think the Falcons cover the points in the end.

Poore's Pick: Falcons 26-19

 

OAKLAND 3 Dallas
With all of the talk of the undefeated teams, the Raiders are winless. Truthfully, they have actually been playing pretty well, and they haven't had the easiest schedule. The Cowboys, on the other hand, should be 3-0. It looks like Drew Bledsoe might be back in form; he has been excellent so far. The Raiders have been playing well enough that they have to win sometime. I think Bledsoe will keep it close, but I see the Raiders coming out on top to get their first victory. I think the Cowboys will still cover the points. This has the potential to be one of the better games of the week.

Poore's Pick: Raiders 24-23

 

ARIZONA 3 San Francisco
The Cardinals traditionally end up as one of the last-placed teams, and this year has been no different. They have actually been a disappointment after being picked by many to be one of the teams on the rise in the NFL. We all know the 49ers are terrible, though they played tough last week. The Cardinals should win here. Kurt Warner has been lousy (and injured) so now Josh McCown takes over the reigns once again. Dennis Green deserves a victory in Arizona, and he will get it here.

Poore's Pick: Cardinals 27-20

 

CAROLINA 7 1/2 Green Bay
I thought the Panthers were going to start a hot streak after beating the Patriots in week two. I guess that was another one of my predictions gone wrong. The Packers have been dreadful this year, and there seems to be no end in sight. I can't ever remember the Packers starting a season 0-3. Unfortunately for them, they are going to be starting the season 0-4. I can't see them upsetting the Panthers, and though Brett Favre is really showing his age, I think he will keep the game pretty close. He tends to perform well on Monday nights. The Panthers will win the game, but covering the points might be a stretch.

Poore's Pick: Panthers 28-24

Last Week's Record: 7-7
Record after Week Three: 21-24-1
Upset Special record: 0-3

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Poore's Picks: Week Four
By Jim Poore

There is no question this has been a very unusual NFL season so far. The injuries are already taking their toll, especially to the defending Super Bowl Champions. The New England Patriots this past week suffered some major injuries, again, and this time they might be too difficult to overcome. Although they won the game, the losses of Rodney Harrison, Kevin Faulk and Matt Light could just be too devastating for even a Bill Belichick coached team to overcome this year. In Belichick's reign as New England's head coach, this might in fact be his toughest battle yet.

Injuries haven't only affected the Patriots -- the New York Jets also lost a key player when Chad Pennington went out for the year. Jets backup QB, Jay Fiedler, is also out with an injury. In Philadelphia, Donovan McNabb has a hernia, though reports indicate he will play through the pain. McNabb's effectiveness is almost certain to be affected. And then there are some surprise 3-0 teams not yet affected by the injury bug. It is most likely that some of these teams' streaks will come to an end in the next few weeks, possibly even this weekend.

Certainly every NFL season is different, but so far, this one has been unique. The 2005 season has seen the occurrence every sort of injury, the surprise emergence of teams thought to be bottom dwellers, and firings of supposed expert coaches, and this is just the first month. Our picks have been pretty unique so far as well, right around the .500 mark, which is commendable considering the upsets. As for the picks for week number four, let's see if we can do better than .500.

The Picks For Week Four

NEW ENGLAND 5 San Diego
The Patriots injuries continue to mount, and their schedule isn't getting any easier right now. It is a good thing they are home this weekend. The Chargers are coming off of a huge Sunday night victory, but I have a feeling that emotion might be running a bit too high. The Patriots are still a very good team, even with the injuries. They might have trouble stopping all-world LaDainian Tomlinson, but stopping Drew could be a Brees. Take the Pats, but it should be a very tight game.

Poore's Pick: Patriots 23-17

 

JACKSONVILLE 3 1/2 Denver
I have discovered one thing early on this season: the Jaguars are a pretty good team. I already knew one thing: Denver isn't. The Broncos are coming off of an emotional Monday night win against the hated Chiefs, and Monday night teams generally don't fare too well the following Sunday. The Jags are 2-1 and are a play away from being 3-0. The combination of a Jacksonville home game and a short practice week for Denver should make for a Jacksonville victory.

Poore's Pick: Jaguars 20-14

 

CINCINNATI 9 1/2 Houston
I think I have already mentioned that I like the Bengals this year. They are off to a fantastic start, though they haven't had a very difficult schedule. That doesn't matter. They are winning games and winning easily right now. The Texans, on the other hand, flat out stink right now. Though they have some talent, they just can't do anything right on either side of the ball. Offensive Coordinator Chris Palmer took the fall for the team's misfortunes when he was canned. I think a lot more reorganizing needs to be done in Houston. This game could be over by halftime.

Poore's Pick: Bengals 35-10

 

Indianapolis 7 TENNESSEE
One would think after hearing that Peyton Manning only had two touchdown passes that the Colts had to be 0-3. Wrong. Manning has been just good so far, but that is all he has needed to be. The Colts defense right now is one of the hot topics in the NFL, as they lead the league in fewest points allowed. However, as I have discovered, they are also 0-3 against the spread, a number I truly care about. The Titans have been a bit better then advertised, playing tough the first three weeks. Playing at home should be no different, especially against a division rival. I like the Titans to cover here, in what should be a very low scoring game.

Poore's Pick: Colts 17-13

 

KANSAS CITY 2 Philadelphia
Every year, no matter how well the Chiefs are playing, they always struggle against the Broncos and Jake Plummer. Dick Vermeil must have been crying a waterfall on the sidelines. The Eagles are playing with an injured Donovan McNabb, though it didn't seem to bother him last week. This week should be different. I think the Chiefs will bounce back. I have trouble seeing them losing two in a row, and up until last week, their defense has been very good. Take the Chiefs in a tight one at Arrowhead.

Poore's Pick: Chiefs 26-23

 

TAMPA BAY 6 1/2 Detroit
Tampa might in fact be the biggest surprise of the season so far. But as with most pleasant surprises, all good things must come to an end. I think they will win this game, but they will struggle. Tampa might be the worst 3-0 team in NFL history. The Lions, on the other hand, stink as bad as the Texans right now. Another bad game by Joey Harrington and he might have a new best friend in the bench. I think the week off helped the Lions, though they could have used a month. Expect the Lions to keep it close, but the Bucs will prevail in the end.

Poore's Pick: Buccaneers 21-16

 

NEW YORK GIANTS 3 St. Louis
The Giants got pasted Sunday night, and now have to deal with punk Plaxico Burress shooting his mouth off. It's hard to imagine Tom Coughlin signing this someone with Burress' reputation in the offseason. The Rams are coming off of a close victory against the Titans, but they still aren't very good. Remember, Mike Martz is their head coach. I think New York bounces back here. Their defense should be able to contain the erratic Marc Bulger, and the Giants will need to win to keep pace in the tough NFC East. Take the Giants here.

Poore's Pick: Giants 27-17

 

NEW ORLEANS pick Buffalo
This is technically a home game for the Saints, though now some of the players are complaining to the NFL about the team's opening week game. Yeah, complaining three week's later about a loss will help. As for the Bills, they also were handed a huge loss with Takeo Spikes injury forcing him out for the year. The rest of the defense is really going to have to step up now, especially because the Bills offense is absolutely terrible right now. It looks like the Bills took too early of a chance on J.P. Losman, he just is not playing well right now. Take the Saints here at home. There is a reason why this game is a pick em, nobody wants to pick a winner.

Poore's Pick: Saints 30-24

 

WASHINGTON 2 Seattle
The Redskins are one of those surprising undefeated teams, but they could be worse than Tampa Bay. Washington did get some early rest with a bye in week three, but they are playing a Seattle team that could be getting hot, at least Shaun Alexander is anyway. Alexander exploded for four touchdowns last week. Seattle really should run away with the division in the NFC West, but we all know how that usually turns out. This is my upset special of the week. Like last week, it's not really a big upset, because the Redskins are favored. Besides, I have to get one right one of these weeks, I think. The Seahawks really should win this game, and they will.

Poore's Pick: Seahawks 32-20

 

BALTIMORE 7 New York Jets
This might be the first game in NFL history to end in a 0-0 tie. Both offenses are horrible right now, and the Jets is only going to get worse with Brook Bollinger taking the snaps. New York did sign My Cousin Vinny Testaverde and that should help later on. Both teams' defenses will obviously shine here, and New York's is still pretty decent. Take the Ravens here though. I don't think this is a game that is going to get on anybody's TiVo.

Poore's Pick: Ravens 13-3

 

ATLANTA 5 1/2 Minnesota
The Falcons did look impressive last week in beating Buffalo on the road. I am amazed at all of the Atlanta fans that are suddenly showing up all over the country. I didn't see them all come out 10 years ago when the team absolutely stunk. It must be the Vick factor. Daunte Culpepper finally played well last week. It only took him three weeks. I'm still not sure which quarterback is going to show up on Sunday. Even though Michael Vick is the talk in Atlanta, it's their defense that is the real story. I think the Falcons will be able to slow down Culpepper and the Viking offense. These games are usually pretty close, and this one will be as well. I think the Falcons cover the points in the end.

Poore's Pick: Falcons 26-19

 

OAKLAND 3 Dallas
With all of the talk of the undefeated teams, the Raiders are winless. Truthfully, they have actually been playing pretty well, and they haven't had the easiest schedule. The Cowboys, on the other hand, should be 3-0. It looks like Drew Bledsoe might be back in form; he has been excellent so far. The Raiders have been playing well enough that they have to win sometime. I think Bledsoe will keep it close, but I see the Raiders coming out on top to get their first victory. I think the Cowboys will still cover the points. This has the potential to be one of the better games of the week.

Poore's Pick: Raiders 24-23

 

ARIZONA 3 San Francisco
The Cardinals traditionally end up as one of the last-placed teams, and this year has been no different. They have actually been a disappointment after being picked by many to be one of the teams on the rise in the NFL. We all know the 49ers are terrible, though they played tough last week. The Cardinals should win here. Kurt Warner has been lousy (and injured) so now Josh McCown takes over the reigns once again. Dennis Green deserves a victory in Arizona, and he will get it here.

Poore's Pick: Cardinals 27-20

 

CAROLINA 7 1/2 Green Bay
I thought the Panthers were going to start a hot streak after beating the Patriots in week two. I guess that was another one of my predictions gone wrong. The Packers have been dreadful this year, and there seems to be no end in sight. I can't ever remember the Packers starting a season 0-3. Unfortunately for them, they are going to be starting the season 0-4. I can't see them upsetting the Panthers, and though Brett Favre is really showing his age, I think he will keep the game pretty close. He tends to perform well on Monday nights. The Panthers will win the game, but covering the points might be a stretch.

Poore's Pick: Panthers 28-24

Last Week's Record: 7-7
Record after Week Three: 21-24-1
Upset Special record: 0-3

Agree with Poore? Disagree? Want to send him part of your proceeds or a bill for your losses? You can reach him here:

Join the Patriots Insider Pick'Em Contest: Win cool stuff. Free to enter, no purchase required. (more info)


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